- The 3 reasons why deflation will continue to haunt the global economy
- The importance of cash flows in a deflationary environment
- Understanding the deflationary reasons behind the recent drop in oil prices and the material implications this will have going forward
So an very important question remains despite the trillions in new currency printed around the world in the past few years: Why are deflationary pressures still present?
- The debt overhang from the prior cycle has not vanished by a long shot. In fact today there is significantly more debt outstanding globally than was the case at the highs of 2007, primarily driven by global government borrowings. The following chart is total US credit market debt relative to GDP. You can see that very little has been reconciled since the peak. By the way,
Data Source: US Federal Reserve
Additional global debt assumption means additional interest cost burdens, even under an environment of interest rate suppression. And that means…