Tag Archives: Exponential Growth

  • Blog

    Doing The Impossible

    How to successfully engage your spouse/friends/co-workers on the topics that most concern you
    by Adam Taggart

    Wednesday, January 8, 2020, 2:07 PM

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    We’re excited to announce that we’ve locked Peter Boghossian in as a featured speaker at the Peak Prosperity annual seminar on May 1-3, 2020 in Sebastopol, CA this year.

    He joins Bruce Bueno de Mesquita, creator of the “rules for rulers” (whom we announced last week also recently signed on as a presenter) and the amazing line-up of Mike Maloney, Charles Hugh Smith, Wolf Richter, Axel Merk, John Rubino, Richard Heinberg, Jeff Clark, and Joe Stumpf.

    The programming for this year’s seminar just gets better and better with each passing week. It’s easily going to be our best ever.

    And we still have 2 more big names to announce in the coming days…

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  • Podcast

    Dennis Meadows: The Limits To Growth

    Revisiting one of the most seminal studies of our era
    by Adam Taggart

    Tuesday, December 17, 2019, 5:23 PM

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    Fifty years ago, an international team of researchers was commissioned by the Club of Rome to build a computer simulation of exponential economic and population growth on a finite planet.

    In 1971, its findings were first released in Moscow and Rio de Janeiro, and later published in 1972 under the title The Limits To Growth. The report concluded society would start experiencing serious declines in resources and population soon after 2030.

    One of the original seventeen researchers involved in The Limits To Growth study, Dennis Meadows, joins us for the podcast this week. Fifty years later, what does he foresee ahead?

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  • Insider

    Why The Risk Of A Correction Is So High Right Now

    Prices have already vastly front-run the new wave of liquidity
    by Chris Martenson

    Friday, November 15, 2019, 3:31 PM

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    Executive Summary

    • How our driven pursuit of “growth” is putting the entire system at risk
    • Why those running the system do NOT have our interests in mind
    • Why a correction risk is so high right now
    • Why our odds keep getting worse

    If you have not yet read Part 1: The Federal Reserve Is Directly Monetizing US Debt , available free to all readers, please click here to read it first.

    My main message here in Part 2 is to show you why, from my vantage point of following the economy and financial markets daily, things are serious right now.

    I trust actions over words; and the Fed’s actions are consistent with a big problem happening somewhere deep in the shadow banking system.

    Further, all of the global macro data I track closely is screaming that a slowdown is here.

    On top of that, investor confidence in the Fed’s ability to push market prices ever higher is dangerously overextended.

    Stock gains have zoomed way ahead of the Fed’s recent excess liquidity, as this chart shows… (Enroll now to continue reading)

     

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  • Podcast

    Ben Hunt: Prepare To Get Burned

    Society is pretending its actions don't have consequences. It's badly mistaken.
    by Adam Taggart

    Thursday, September 19, 2019, 5:01 PM

    6

    History teaches us that there is no free lunch, reminds Dr. Ben Hunt, publisher of EpsilonTheory.com.

    And science informs us that even simple systems become nearly impossible to predict or control with 100% precision as time and variables change.

    But our society today is ignoring these lessons. It’s betting that the increasingly excessive distortions required to keep the status quo continuing will succeed, and come at no cost.

    That’s a losing bet, warns Hunt.

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  • Insider
    Shutterstock

    Facing Reality

    Only those willing to see things as they are will prosper
    by Chris Martenson

    Friday, January 25, 2019, 6:19 PM

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    Executive Summary

    • We are fighting (i.e. losing against) exponential functions on multiple fronts
    • Social unrest (e.g. Yellow Vests) is a spreading symptom that collapse is accelerating
    • Which path will collapse take?
    • Preparing for the future of “Less”

    If you have not yet read Part 1: Collapse Is Already Here, available free to all readers, please click here to read it first.

    The reason I write and speak and sometimes travel to talk about The Three E’s – the Economy, energy and Environment – is because I hope to reach those who are ready to listen…and to then act.

    Typically, I find that I am reaching people with a certain level of economic and professional success in their lives (many doctors, engineers, architects and lawyers in my audience) and who have the entirely-too-rare ability to face difficult information square on.

    One of the more important principles concerns exponential growth, which has a nasty habit of speeding up towards the end.  Those numerate among us grasp the serious implications of exponential growth quickly and easily. The rest of us have to work a lot harder to understand, which is why most of the masses never do.

    In the world of finance, exponential (or parabolic) growth always ends badly for the last investors in. Just ask those who bought into dot-Com stocks or Bitcoin near the highs.

    However, where any of today's inflated prices go from here is not subject to traditional analysis.  Everything depends on the actions that the central banks will take from here.  Will they print more?  Undoubtedly. 

    How much more suppression of the price of gold will the authorities demand?  As much as necessary to keep unwanted attention off of their policy errors.

    Looks, what I’ve learned from investing is(…)

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  • Podcast

    Tim Jackson: The High Price Of Growth

    A finite planet cannot sustain infinite economic growth
    by Adam Taggart

    Monday, October 16, 2017, 7:31 PM

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    Modern society is addicted to and engineered for perpetual economic growth.

    Now, a fourth-grader can tell you that nothing can grow forever, especially if you have finite resources. But that simple realization is eluding today's central planners, despite multiplying evidence that growth is becoming harder and harder to come by.

    This week's podcast guest is Professor Tim Jackson, sustainability advisor for the UK government, professor of sustainable development at the University of Surrey and Director of CUSP. Tim is also a full member of the Club of Rome.

    He explains why the exponential growth rates of today's economies, and their associated rates of resource extraction/consumption, will not be able to continue for much longer — and why a pursuit of "prosperity" (defined much more broadly than simple consumerism) is a much healthier goal for humanity.

     

     

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  • Blog
    Peak Prosperity

    What Should I Do? – Crash Course Chapter 26

    Take prudent steps NOW, while there's still time
    by Adam Taggart

    Saturday, January 10, 2015, 3:43 PM

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    If there’s one message to take away from this newly-updated Crash Course video series, it’s this:  It’s time for you to become more resilient and more engaged. Things are changing quickly and nobody knows how much time we have before the next economic, ecological or energy related crisis erupts.  Nobody knows when, but we do have a pretty good idea of what is coming.

    And it is within your control to enter the coming future with a higher degree of security, prosperity and fulfillment than you enjoy now.

     

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  • Blog
    Martin Capek/Shutterstock

    Future Shock – Crash Course Chapter 25

    The unsustainable often ends abruptly
    by Adam Taggart

    Saturday, December 27, 2014, 3:24 AM

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    Chapter 25 of the Crash Course is now publicly available and ready for watching below.

    Here at the penultimate chapter of The Crash Course, everything we've learned comes together into a single narrow range of time we'll call the twenty-teens. 

    What this chapter offers is a comprehensive view of how all of our problems are actually interrelated and need to be viewed as such, or solutions will continue to elude us.

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  • Blog
    National Archives and Records Administration (NARA)

    The Environment: Depleting Resources – Crash Course Chapter 23

    Why scarcity will define the future
    by Adam Taggart

    Friday, November 28, 2014, 7:44 PM

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    The bottom line is this: we, as a species, all over the globe, have already mined the richest ores, found the easiest energy sources, and farmed the richest soils that our Environment has to offer.

    We have taken several hundreds of millions of years of natural ore body, fossil energy deposition, aquifer accumulation, soil creation, and animal population growth — and largely burned through them in the few years since oil was discovered. It is safe to say that in human terms, once these are gone, man, they’re gone.

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  • Blog
    Peak Prosperity

    Compounding Is The Problem: Crash Course Chapter 4

    By the time the problem is visible, it can't be avoided
    by Adam Taggart

    Friday, July 11, 2014, 4:32 PM

    3

    Chapter 4 of the Crash Course is now publicly available. It includes Chris' famous "magic eye dropper" example of how the compounding nature of exponential systems speeds up over time, often in ways very non-intuitive to the human mind.

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