Video Description

The policy responses to Covid have been awful, but those failures are utterly dwarfed by the energy and supply chain policy inactions that are bringing us into a very dark winter.

While COVID-19 has occupied a lot of our intellectual and emotional energy over the past year and a half, energy and material shortfalls are far more likely to seriously impact your life.  I alerted this channel to the energy issues last June, and sent out an ALERT over a week ago to my Insider members. I stand by the urgency of those messages even more now.

Access to all of Chris’s content, live webinars twice a month, and much much more is available to our paying members. Click this link for a special introductory offer: https://www.peakprosperity.com/product/welcome-youtube

An energy crisis is roiling across the UK and Europe on the cusp of winter, and the rest of the world is on the horizon.  It’s already being felt in the UK, Europe, China, Russia, and the U.S.

In the UK, the media is chalking up the energy crisis to consumer panic buying and truck driver shortages, but this blames everyday citizens for what is actually a much deeper structural problem and bungling executed by government policies.  A more accurate explanation acknowledges the origins of the current energy crisis in a predictable outcome of the failure to invest in the production of oil and supply stability during the COVID-19 mismanagement and shutdowns. 

While the governing elite will have you believe the crisis is as “transitory” as the inflation they themselves create through central bankers’ monetary policies, it would be foolish to take them at their word. A major economic shock is guaranteed at this point in the story – one that will disproportionately impact the middle and lower classes.

Watch this video to have your eyes opened to the reality that “energy is everything” and come over to www.PeakProsperity.com to learn more about how we might create energy resilient societies that safeguard human flourishing for everyone, not just the ultra-wealthy.

Links:

https://www.ft.com/content/7e79e4a8-7a1e-4b2c-8f81-cbf4e9969e28

https://www.theguardian.com/business/2021/sep/21/iea-calls-on-russia-to-send-more-gas-to-europe-before-winter

https://www.reuters.com/world/china/china-energy-crunch-triggers-alarm-pleas-more-coal-2021-09-28/

https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2021-09-03/russia-has-a-gas-problem-nearly-the-size-of-exports-to-europe?sref=ZAnvU9CI

https://twitter.com/JavierBlas/status/1442872704219037698

https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2021-09-27/europe-s-energy-crisis-is-about-to-go-global-as-gas-prices-soar?sref=ZAnvU9CI

https://t.co/J2znSAMujE?amp=1

https://www.peakprosperity.com/alert-shortage/

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36 Comments

  • Tue, Sep 28, 2021 - 8:09pm

    #1
    Netlej

    Netlej

    Status: Silver Member

    Joined: Dec 09 2020

    Posts: 332

    9

    Consolidation = Control

    As I said in another post first there is all sorts of disruptions constraining a sector of the economy which is then amplified by the BIGGIES. This goes on long enough that all the small to medium players go BK. Then the BIGGIES players swoop in and buy up all assets for pennies on the dollar. The Biggies are now free to dominate the industry and rake in massive profit all the way down. This is seen by those who are doing "Gods Work" as necessary and beneficial for all humanity...twisted I know.

    Ready for winter here.

     

     

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  • Tue, Sep 28, 2021 - 10:32pm

    #2
    James Hanson

    James Hanson

    Status: Member

    Joined: Sep 28 2020

    Posts: 1

    1

    ESG Standards might not do much for supply chains

    For a corporation to get a loan in Europe, they must be assessed on their carbon footprint.   Enter ESG (Environmental, Social, and Governance) Standards.   The AICPA and the SEC are toying with implementing these standards into the 10K.   Imagine the power to call what is "green" and what is not.   Will lithium miners get a better green score than an off shore oil rig?   It is up to regulators and independent assurance consultants to decide.   Given 70% of US energy is from fossil fuels, and given the Saudis have employed Russia for defense in absence of US missals, supply chain issues could be an issue given technocrats are fiddling with our oil based economy for profit.   Sort of like a kid playing with fire, or like no electricity in sub-freezing weather in Texas.    They have no idea what they are doing to humanity for their profits, IMO.   It will come back to haunt them.

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  • Wed, Sep 29, 2021 - 12:22am

    #3
    Jamie Mason

    Jamie Mason

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    Joined: Jan 02 2012

    Posts: 24

    3

    Collapse now and avoid the rush.

    Chris,

    Awesome video as always but wanted to point out that John Michael Greer likes to say collapse now and avoid the rush, not panic...at least as far as I've heard and I read all his stuff as I do yours.  I think it's meant to convey that collapsing isn't a bad thing if you do it voluntarily.

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  • Wed, Sep 29, 2021 - 2:10am

    #4
    DaveDD

    DaveDD

    Status: Silver Member

    Joined: Sep 08 2019

    Posts: 495

    5

    Boy, am I glad I found PP

    Partly due to the info spread on PP, we are now (almost) electricity dependent.  We are almost done with a small project to reduce our household dependency on natural gas with ~80%.

     

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  • Wed, Sep 29, 2021 - 9:43am

    #5
    LRacine

    LRacine

    Status: Member

    Joined: Feb 13 2016

    Posts: 19

    0

    FYI,

    I posted this review on the Redit Collapse Blog

    "I appreciate some of Chris's work. With most of the work he does that is before his pay wall, his statements are usually supported by cites embedded in the description of the video or on his site, (not so much the stuff behind the pay wall, lots of ranting and "opinions" going on there..imo). But when I logged into his site to check out the cites for this segment, there were none to be found. Doesn't mean he didn't do his "homework", just means he got lazy with this one and his current audience (rolling my eyes) is not holding his feet to the fire. tsk tsk Chris! I could not find the data to support his claims, but I will continue looking for it."

    Could you please share your data source on some of your key statements.  This is a comment that I would have defended you against had you shared your sources.

    "When you are relying on social media posts for your sources, it's not good journalism."

    Thanks

    L

    Admin: We're not sure what you're referring to.  All links are embedded within every presentation and then posted as clickable links beneath the video here and on YouTube.  Everything is easily searchable by Google using keywords. Is it possible that r/Collapse is getting lazy?  We'd advise they try to avoid that.

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  • Wed, Sep 29, 2021 - 10:15am

    Kathy

    Kathy

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    Joined: Feb 21 2020

    Posts: 522

    6

    Journalism?

    I don’t see this as journalism.  This is more of a think tank where all sorts of thoughts and ideas are discussed.  To that end a social media post is the jumping off point of a discussion.  It is a data point of how the world is reacting.

    Now we do have the central idea of the three Es (Econony, Energy and Environment) which focuses us a bit so we aren’t discussing the best way to beat the boss in Super Mario Brothers.   Although I could discuss, without fossil fuels will the concept of the Princess in the castle that needs saving return?  Cause I have to tell you, I’m not physically strong enough to do a lot of things without fossil fuels.  I am going to need a guy to “save” me on a few things.

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  • Wed, Sep 29, 2021 - 10:36am

    #7
    Jennifer Koehler

    Jennifer Koehler

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    0

    Jennifer Koehler said:

    nice

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  • Wed, Sep 29, 2021 - 10:55am

    #8
    ofte0012

    ofte0012

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    Joined: Dec 16 2020

    Posts: 1

    3

    Where is Chris’s “Genius Grant”?

    You called the pandemic on day one, I think Chris deserves a Genius Grant

    https://www.npr.org/sections/goatsandsoda/2021/09/28/1031691146/trevor-bedford-two-astounding-awards-for-virologist-who-raised-early-covid-alarm?utm_source=facebook&utm_medium=news_tab&utm_content=algorithm

     

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  • Wed, Sep 29, 2021 - 12:46pm

    #9
    Jamie

    Jamie

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    Joined: Jun 21 2021

    Posts: 9

    2

    Investing

    I have stalked up and believe I am prepared as can be for this coming shortage. Is there any way to invest and prosper for this coming shortage? Is investing in coal futures, oil futures, etc worthwhile looking into? Any thoughts or ideas?

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  • Wed, Sep 29, 2021 - 2:28pm

    Netlej

    Netlej

    Status: Silver Member

    Joined: Dec 09 2020

    Posts: 332

    5

    Business opportunity for collapse.

    Jamie - So you admit you are a stalker?

    Here is an idea for making money;

    "Custom Body Bags". Don't let your loved ones get bagged up in a generic monotone plastic bag. A full line of decorated body bags custom engraved with the deceased's name and a QR code linking to a video of their best moments.

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  • Wed, Sep 29, 2021 - 2:33pm

    #11
    Acorn Endeavors

    Acorn Endeavors

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    Posts: 108

    2

    Acorn Endeavors said:

    My husband once interviewed a candidate that recorded on his resume that his last job was night stalker.  He refrained from asking about it 🙂

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  • Wed, Sep 29, 2021 - 3:10pm

    #12
    Netlej

    Netlej

    Status: Silver Member

    Joined: Dec 09 2020

    Posts: 332

    2

    Great and important analysis Chris!

    Historically it is high prices that instigates investment in development and production but I think that is is different this time.

    I have read quite a bit of commentary that over a trillion, possibly several trillion dollars were lost on the whole Shale/Fracking fiasco making it very difficult over the last several years to drum up money for development and production on any play that even hints at being risky, which is all of them now. That and for the first time in 12 years of my pee-coil research I am hearing constant talk about "renewables" taking over and increasing risk even more. IMO "renewables" will never scale but the threat is there.

    Bottom line ...this is it I think!

    Cheers!

    jef

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  • Wed, Sep 29, 2021 - 3:42pm

    #13
    helmadi

    helmadi

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    Joined: May 23 2021

    Posts: 77

    3

    Pfizer Launches Final Study For COVID Drug That's Suspiciously Similar To 'Horse Paste'

    https://www.zerohedge.com/covid-19/pfizer-launches-final-study-covid-drug-thats-suspiciously-similar-ivermectin

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  • Wed, Sep 29, 2021 - 3:50pm

    #14
    nordicjack

    nordicjack

    Status: Platinum Member

    Joined: Feb 03 2020

    Posts: 1470

    2

    pfizmectin

    Yeah its a joke - at least to anyone intelligent.   But scrub 3$ cure - and give you something they can control you with.   $$$$$ and who and how and why you can have.

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  • Wed, Sep 29, 2021 - 4:58pm

    #15

    thc0655

    Status: Platinum Member

    Joined: Apr 27 2010

    Posts: 2729

    13

    Stockbroker’s advice

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  • Wed, Sep 29, 2021 - 7:03pm

    Nate

    Nate

    Status: Silver Member

    Joined: May 05 2009

    Posts: 576

    7

    PF-07321332 and ivermectin structures

    File:PF-07321332 structure.svg - Wikimedia Commons

    Pfizer's new drug 07321332

    Chemical structure of the macrocylic, highly effective antifouling... |  Download Scientific Diagram

     

    Chemically very, very different.  Similar modes of action (protease inhibitor).

    The reality is PFE's new drug just might be better than ivermectin.  Just don't have the data yet.

    How chemists make these large molecules is beyond me.

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  • Wed, Sep 29, 2021 - 7:44pm

    #17
    Netlej

    Netlej

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    Joined: Dec 09 2020

    Posts: 332

    11

    About overwhelming hospitals.

    Mega Corporations and private equity have been buying up hospitals and clinics all across the country and abroad. Then they close up rural facilities by the hundreds and thousands, cut back on staff and infrastructure on what is left to save money, then buy up ambulance and air ambulance services which are booming since it is hours to care facilities now for much of rural America. This is the real story of overcrowded hospitals and ICUs. America now has the lowest hospital beds per capita of the top 12 countries of the developed world. That and the least healthy, most obese, most medicated  population.

     

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  • Wed, Sep 29, 2021 - 7:59pm

    #18

    Arthur Robey

    Status: Member

    Joined: Feb 03 2010

    Posts: 1428

    0

    Back on Topic

    We, as a civilization, should have started years ago attacking all the assumptions that we have made about Physics. Assume that every physics "Law" is an assertion and start from there in order to ensure our continued energy supply.

    Dare I make an "all true scientists" falsehood? Why Yes, indeed.

    All true scientists are open minded skeptics.

    Fortunately, humans are not equal; they come in all shapes and sizes. (No, Gladys. They are not of equal value; Some are just plain rotten.)

    So. Where is this conversation going? Allow me to introduce to you scientists who are contented to go on a rampage through the entire Edifice of Kludges and bring down the termite and mold infested structure.

    Dr. Michael Clarage who brings us a new model of the cosmos. He and a whole team of iconoclasts, like Halton Arp, Ralph Jurgens,  Engineer Wal Thornhill,  Stephen Caruthers, Professor Vyotski and the usual suspects. (Quite a little name dropper, aren't I?) I have not done justice to the list of my heroes.

    Did you think Plank's constant or Newton's "Laws" of gravity are sacrosanct? Think again. To destroy even one of these Illusions is a Life well spent.

    Perhaps a little aperitive to give you courage to venture through the door next to the Overton Window to the banquet on the other side.

    Chaos theory says that only two-body objects have stable orbits. Introduce a third, and it flies apart. And how many planets orbit our sun in perfect harmony?

     

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  • Thu, Sep 30, 2021 - 12:59am

    #19
    RainDog

    RainDog

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    Joined: Oct 14 2020

    Posts: 9

    6

    Labor Shortage

    I heard analysis on the subject of the labor shortage that says it's about the high unemployment payouts that have allowed many to just stay home. I have heard expressions of bewilderment over it's continuation beyond the termination of unemployment benefits. How about this explanation. How many covid-19 deaths were over 70 years old? Most of the 770,000, right? Or the question might be how many excess deaths were there due to covid-19 and/or the response to covid-19. How many inherentance events just happened in the last 18 months? Some had nothing to pass down. Some, a small amount of wealth. Some passed down enough to allow their offspring to retire, a paid-for home perhaps. Some may just have inherited enough to take a year off from that soul-sucking job. 'Some' just may be hundreds of thousands.

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  • Thu, Sep 30, 2021 - 8:18am

    Arthur Robey

    Status: Member

    Joined: Feb 03 2010

    Posts: 1428

    0

    Perhaps Fewer Words are Clearer.

    Behold the Fruits of attacking scientific certainty.

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  • Thu, Sep 30, 2021 - 9:55am

    #21
    Blackraven27

    Blackraven27

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    Joined: Sep 24 2021

    Posts: 1

    5

    Less Fear - More Understanding

    This interview was an incredible watch for me, and it made me think of the millions (billions??) that are terrified for their lives, thanks to fear tactics, yet that is what they end up throwing away. Everything that is vitally important to us we are separated from and terrified of.

    I wonder how it might come across for others?

    THE HIGHWIRE INTERVIEW

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  • Thu, Sep 30, 2021 - 11:40am

    Ision

    Ision

    Status: Silver Member

    Joined: Feb 07 2020

    Posts: 310

    12

    The MORE I Understand, The Worse It Gets.

    I have found the more I learn about what is happening to Humanity in these horrid times, the more I witness the displayed intellectual capacities of my species, the more I see the obvious propaganda being vomited forth by the dumb driven cattle and those, who herd them, the more censorship I see, the more irrationality I hear being applauded as the epitome of Reason, the more my fear has grown.

    In my case, understanding this Reality, does not result in less fear.  It is just that I am very good at handling fear...   However, I suck at handling my chronic fear of heights, which is only getting worse the older I get.

    Oh, well.

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  • Thu, Sep 30, 2021 - 2:48pm

    #23
    mkoos2021

    mkoos2021

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    Joined: Apr 01 2021

    Posts: 15

    2

    For You ALL and Chris - I really like her

    The Gene Code Experiment

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  • Thu, Sep 30, 2021 - 3:51pm

    westcoastjan

    westcoastjan

    Status: Platinum Member

    Joined: Jun 04 2012

    Posts: 1078

    5

    Highly recommend the Zach Bush MD interview

    The message conveyed at the ending of this interview moved me to tears. He is so bang on. It is such a treat to watch him speak so cogently, with understated passion, using visual imagery to trigger emotions that foment deeper understanding. That he can do so without any sensationalism or politicization is remarkable, and much appreciated. He is a true leader, one we can only hope will be emulated far and wide.

    His website homepage says the following: "Curiosity is the most powerful force on Earth". I wholeheartedly agree! Solutions to problems begin with curiosity. Let us hope that the Great Awakening includes a return to embracing this, and the other core values that help us to become our best evolutionary selves.

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  • Fri, Oct 01, 2021 - 7:50am

    Tycer

    Status: Gold Member

    Joined: Apr 26 2009

    Posts: 279

    1

    Thanks Blackraven 🙏🏼

    That was great. You’re right Jan, the ending message was beautiful.

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  • Fri, Oct 01, 2021 - 11:06am

    #26
    Doug

    Doug

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    Joined: Feb 25 2020

    Posts: 2

    4

    Energy shortage not the half of it

    This energy shortage isn't the half of it.  Because of ESG pressure, energy companies have severely cut back investments in fossil fuel future production because of fear of "stranded assets."   Add to this the anticipated peak production for all major commodities including oil and gas.  The easy/cheap-to-find material has been found and produced already.   Consider also whether this results in high prices, or simply an inability to pay the prices needed to finance these new discoveries.   Consider also the impact on the "growth" mantra from the crowding out of investment in other areas to meet the energy investment needs.   So possibly this shortage won't end anytime soon, because of a combination of bad politics and bad economics.

    To add to this, let me remind you of Chris' article "Getting Real About Green Energy" October 4, 2019.   He shows that it is physically impossible to replace the fossil fuel energy usage with an equivalent amount of renewable energy in the next 30 years.  A quote from this article says:

    " So the math here is simple: to achieve net-zero carbon dioxide emissions by 2050, the world would need to deploy 3 [brand new] nuclear plants worth of carbon-free energy every two days, starting tomorrow and continuing to 2050. At the same
    time, a nuclear plant’s worth of fossil fuels would need to be decommissioned every day, starting tomorrow and continuing to 2050.
    I’ve found that some people don’t like the use of a nuclear power plant as a measuring stick. So we can substitute wind energy as a measuring stick. Net-zero carbon dioxide by 2050 would require the deployment of ~1500 wind turbines (2.5 MW) over ~300 square miles, every day starting tomorrow and continuing to 2050."

    In other words, massive overwhelming investment and urgency.   Where will it come from?  And how will the generally destructive policies of the US Government make it happen?

    Other articles have made the calculation of the need for rare earth and other critical elements, and find that there is simply not enough production (or even known reserves) to meet anywhere close to the need, and many of the production processes are environmentally damaging.

    The end conclusion:  we won't use as much energy in the future.   The low energy countries near the equator will be less impacted, but migration of people from the low energy countries of the South to the high energy countries of the North will make it worse.   The solution, if you believe Agenda 2030 and associated plans, is massive population reduction to achieve sustainability.  Is "growth" dead? How can it die if the population continues to increase, without a reduction in living standards for all?

    Sad, but that's where the arithmetic leads us.   Show me wrong.

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  • Sat, Oct 02, 2021 - 1:23pm

    #27
    Hladini

    Hladini

    Status: Bronze Member

    Joined: Dec 28 2011

    Posts: 363

    4

    Thanks for the reminder

    As usual, top notch reminder that the next 20 years will be nothing like the last 20 years.  So this is what peak energy  looks like.  Unfortunately,  energy shortages spell war.

    All I can do is keep prepping away.  Remember when we PP did that survey during Covid lockdowns last year?  Well, I realized I was not utilizing my time properly and started an exercise program after that.  I'm in my 9 or 10th month and going strong.  Just ordered some long range walkie talkies and still researching Ham and CB radios.

    Heading out to the shooting range tomorrow - as a novice and with two other grandmas.

    Covid and the ensuing piss poor public policies are one thing, adding in the three E's to this cluster mix just makes life that much more interesting.

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  • Sat, Oct 02, 2021 - 4:40pm

    Quercus bicolor

    Status: Gold Member

    Joined: Mar 19 2008

    Posts: 987

    2

    And that would cost ...

    Net-zero carbon dioxide by 2050 would require the deployment of ~1500 wind turbines (2.5 MW) over ~300 square miles, every day starting tomorrow and continuing to 2050.

    31 years * 365 days * 1500 turbines * $1.3 million per megawatt * 2.5 megawatts = $55 Trillion!

    And the land area:

    31 years * 365 days * 300 square miles = 3.4 million square miles!  Area of the continental United States is 2.96 million square mile, perhaps 1/2 or more of which is unsuitable for wind turbines or already has them. This amounts to about 6% of the total land area of the earth including lots of places with weaker winds or that are inaccessible..  And then there is a fairly good working hypotheses that if we build enough wind turbines, we will slow down the near surface winds enough to significantly reduce the available power.

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  • Sun, Oct 03, 2021 - 7:22pm

    grahamia2

    grahamia2

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    Joined: Sep 12 2020

    Posts: 2

    2

    grahamia2 said:

    agreed, and since when have we not been facing the energy supply crunch? it's just the obvious outcome of the Crash Course. So now some immediate triggers like say microchip supply are cascading through the economy and energy becomes constrained by the current situation. But really aren't we all supposed to be getting ready for a lot less (net) energy (remember EROI) and carbon budgets and peak everything limits?

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  • Sun, Oct 03, 2021 - 7:53pm

    grahamia2

    grahamia2

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    Posts: 2

    0

    grahamia2 said:

    show you that you're right!

    another source: William Rees at U British Columbia:

    “We argue that the only viable response to overshoot is a managed contraction of the human enterprise until we arrive within the safely stable territory defined by ecological limits. This will entail many fewer people consuming far less energy and material resources than at present.”

    They propose “one-Earth living”.

    Also interviewed by Alex Smith at ecoshock.org

    Is “Green” Energy a Dangerous Myth?

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  • Sun, Oct 03, 2021 - 9:34pm

    Robert Gully

    Robert Gully

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    Joined: May 02 2017

    Posts: 1

    5

    Robert Gully said:

    One  thing to come  out of the  fracking  oil  boom was  the ability to drill horizontal holes. There are companies   such as   Eavor using that technology to drill down 3 kilometers to where the earths rocks are hot and then create a closed loop and create and endless supply of  steaming hot water to drive a turbine on the surface. Non polluting and 24 hours of energy that can  be done anywhere on the earth giving us and endless supply of energy.   Bit  oil companies are investing in it.

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  • Mon, Oct 04, 2021 - 1:49am

    DaveDD

    DaveDD

    Status: Silver Member

    Joined: Sep 08 2019

    Posts: 495

    2

    What could possibly go wrong?

    More than 90% of biomass lives underground (bacteria). The last several years, millions of previously unknown subterranean bacteria have been found.

    What could possibly go wrong? after all, we learned in this covid episode that everything highly linear and that humans are in full control because all their plans work projected…

    edit: I will add some links. I started monitoring this four years ago, I have to search my notes.

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  • Mon, Oct 04, 2021 - 10:11am

    LBL

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    Posts: 421

    0

    LBL said:

    >>>  But really aren't we all supposed to be getting ready for a lot less (net) energy (remember EROI) and carbon budgets and peak everything limits?

     

    They keep moving the goalposts.

    Saudi Arabia has more oil now than 15 years ago ?!

    Venezuela has 300 Billion Barrels - of what ?

     

    Saudi Arabia - whose citizens attacked us on 9-11 - are our "Friend" ?

    Venezuela - who did not attack us on 9-11 - are our "Enemy" ?

    Maybe we should stop allowing the CIA to tell us who our Friends and Enemies are.

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  • Mon, Oct 04, 2021 - 11:20am

    #34
    skywolf

    skywolf

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    Joined: Feb 14 2021

    Posts: 59

    1

    "Was anyone predicting energy shortages a month ago?"

    Power cuts in China (WSJ).  And from the FT: "Power crunch looms in India as coal stocks reach crisis point. More than half the country’s power plants have less than three days of supplies remaining."  Is this now "a thing"?  Was anyone predicting this a month ago?  [from Marginal Revolution]

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  • Mon, Oct 04, 2021 - 1:45pm

    eek

    eek

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    0

    eek said:

    Seems like a great place for those doctors and nurses who refused the shot to start up their own practices, hmm?

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  • Mon, Oct 04, 2021 - 6:28pm

    Hugh Pendergrass

    Hugh Pendergrass

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    0

    Hugh Pendergrass said:

    A+ for creativity!

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