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Here, I did two easily believable scenarios for Seattle! I don’t know the exact details of incubation times, hospitalization times, recovery times, etc. I also used “spider senses are tingling” values where I could. CFR was published by the WHO at 3.4% so I went with that, despite many countries showing 5% or higher.
If Seattle did nothing to reduce the R0 from 6.7
If Governor Inslee’s legislation somehow magically reduced R0 by 40% a week ago
Oh, you mean this? Published yesterday
Australian Minister of Home Affairs who met with AG Barr, Ivanka Trump, others tests positive.
Jair Bolsonaro, Brazil’s President, who was literally right next to Trump 3 days ago, confirmed.
Translation: he has it
Ojo: Bolsonaro confirmado con Covid. Primer presidente latinoamericano infectado.
— Víctor Hugo Michel (@vhmichel) March 12, 2020
Just an update here, this same person is begging the broader community for PPE for their clinic at this point.
Ya’ll are drinking the kool-aid, and that’s coming from a person that can reassure you all my close friends and family are starting to think is crazy.
Let’s keep this topic to news events and reports that report world leaders that either contract or perish from SARS-CoV-2
I’m making zero claims about the fidelity of the numbers. Just presenting the published works, and obviously taking them with a grain of salt.
However, as @denisgoddard pointed out here, the trends in the figure tell a story we see anecdotally confirmed in published works from Western civ (US). I posted that paper on the 1918 influenza here: https://www.peakprosperity.com/forum-topic/turns-out-weve-been-here-before/
The same person who runs a clinic just also posted:
For anyone who might be interested in coronavirus testing, this is the latest information the following is the latest update that I have received. – I spoke with my Quest Diagnostics rep yesterday (Friday 3/6). Starting Monday (3/9) Quest will be able to process samples taken for coronavirus, as will LabCorps and the UW. The Quest test is a viral culture swab, nasopharyngeal or throat, nasopharyngeal is preferred. The samples get collected and sent to their San Juan Capistrano lab and are processed in 24-48 hours and will then be forwarded to the CDC. They have lifted the restriction of having to have had direct contact with someone who has traveled to China, Korea, Italy or Iran. They do still want patients screened over the phone and other illnesses ruled out before testing for coronavirus (at least that’s what I last heard). The test is a PCR test with RNA amplification so the likelihood of inaccurate results is slim. And, since the CDC will also receive the sample, it is assumed that it will be double verified. If a patient has symptoms of dry cough, fever over 100.4 and is having SOB or other respiratory distress they should CALL AHEAD (PLEASE DO NOT WALK IN!!) to find out the protocol for the medical facility they are planning to go to. Every clinic and hospital has a different protocol, or hasn’t created one yet and isn’t prepared to see patients. As unnerving as it may seem to potentially have this virus, calling ahead is imperative to keeping other, more vulnerable patients safe. Patients should be masked before entering a facility if at all possible, or not even enter and get screened in their cars. If a patient has had these symptoms but hasn’t been officially diagnosed, it is recommended that people stay home from work and away from other people for 72 hours after the last day of fevers. – If anyone in the healthcare field knows anything different, please feel free to share.
Also, your forums are still woefully unprepared for the mobile experience 🤷♂️