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    • Tue, Feb 25, 2020 - 11:04am

      #2

      Dogs_In_A_Pile

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      First step….

    Develop an understanding that a 5.5% pullback isn’t even a correction, much less the onset of a bear market.

    Then trade what the market gives you, in the direction of the overall market.

    • Tue, Feb 11, 2020 - 10:36am

      #6

      Dogs_In_A_Pile

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      Buy AAPL? No. Trade AAPL? Yes, definitely.

    As expected, AAPL crushed their earnings on 28JAN and were immediately rewarded with a nice $16 pop that wasn’t tradable.

    But the subsequent $14 tank on 30JAN was indicated all over the big charts.  Put options brought ridiculous returns.

    As did the calls a couple of days later.

    Cash now waiting for the Coronavirus shoe to drop.  Or not.

    Logical Mr. Spock, no?

    • Mon, Dec 31, 2018 - 06:10pm   (Reply to #24)

      #25

      Dogs_In_A_Pile

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      If it’s any consoloation robie….

    The D18 is made from ~200 year old mahogany that was felled ~100 years ago. Some number of logs sank into the silt as they were being floated downstream. There is a cottage industry recovering these logs.  C. F. Martin got their hands on enough to make about 90 D18s. So my almost 2 year old D18 is made from almost 300 year old wood.
     

    • Fri, Dec 28, 2018 - 04:37pm   (Reply to #21)

      #22

      Dogs_In_A_Pile

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      Cats do not need humidification…an expert opinion

    Alexabartel wrote:
     
    Please humidify your cats without oils.
     
     
    Unless your cat is a 2015 C. F. Martin East Indian Rosewood Custom J40 12 string, or a 2015 C. F. Martin HD28 dreadnought, or a 2017 Brazilian “Sinker” Mahogany D18, I strongly urge you not to humidify cats.  
     
    It does not go well.  
     
    Do not ask me how I know this.
    • Wed, Jan 17, 2018 - 05:19pm

      #23

      Dogs_In_A_Pile

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      Missing Screen Cap

    Apparently the ability to attach a picture is beyond me….I should maybe be a Civil Defense message operator?

    This didn’t help.  (This is being circulated as the message menu option for Hawaii’s EOC, so I’m going to assume it’s validity)

    Maybe it’s just the nuke in me, but I would have message selection menus divided a lot better than this.  Like maybe a “Drill/System Test” section separated from a prioritized and categorized “Real World Event” section?

    Hell, my OCD is screeching at me because it’s not even in alphabetical or numeric order.  Good thing I am also ADD/ADHD so I only care for a little bit….

    • Wed, Jan 17, 2018 - 03:58pm

      #21

      Dogs_In_A_Pile

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      Terrible Message Menu

    This didn’t help.  (This is being circulated as the message menu option for Hawaii’s EOC, so I’m going to assume it’s validity)

    Maybe it’s just the nuke in me, but I would have message selection menus divided a lot better than this.  Like maybe a “Drill/System Test” section separated from a prioritized and categorized “Real World Event” section?

    Hell, my OCD is screeching at me because it’s not even in alphabetical or numeric order.  Good thing I am also ADD/ADHD so I only care for a little bit….

    • Tue, Jan 16, 2018 - 10:53pm   (Reply to #6)

      #19

      Dogs_In_A_Pile

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      Nuclear Shakespeare? Much Ado……..

    sand_puppy wrote:

    Stupid stupid stupid mistake?  Hold my beer and watch me do something really crazy?  Hack of the broadcast system by someone who wanted to let someone know that they could? 

    Turns out it was nothing more than a mistake.  The screen caps I’ve seen of the message/warning selection menu could be confusing to some.

    Quote:

    A real blip on a screen that someone (or some machine) briefly thought might actually be a launch?

    Not likely.  While historically there have been about three false alarm events per week that trigger MDCs (Missile Display Conferences), the vast majority are typically resolved as non-events within minutes if not seconds.  We use Dual Sensor Phenomenology (multiple sensor IR and/or radar) to confirm a launch event.  Many times these detected events are consistent with publicly (or properly within private comms channels) announced events like a satellite launch or rocket motor ground testing.  The US military (NORAD under NORTHCOM in conjunction with USSTRATCOM/USSPACECOM) is the cognizant authority that employs these systems.  In the event of a validated Missile Event, once laydown fans and rough projected impact areas have been calculated, the appropriate (affected) civil defense authorities are informed so their notification protocols can be activated.  Along with the appropriate military response actions.

    The system doesn’t work backwards however.  NORAD has no direct input in states’ civil defense systems so “they” had no way to override or correct the erroneous notification.  Based on experience gained from my previous tours at STRATCOM, my best guess is the watch team received notification of the Hawaii CDW warning and went “Huh?!?!”  In the event of a “real” launch, their systems would have already been triggered.  The report was determined to be invalid within seconds.  Hawaii CDW flat out blew this one. 

    Now, not to diminish the fears of those Hawaiians (and their loved ones in CONUS) who are not familiar with the way nuclear launch detection and warning works, a little knowledge and attention would have helped.  To date, North Korea has yet to conduct a successful launch of a missile capable of ranging Hawaii or the US.  They have yet to achieve exoatmospheric flight over intercontinental ranges with even a simple booster, much less a delivery platform with a mated dummy physics package.

    • Thu, Mar 02, 2017 - 04:18pm

      #13

      Dogs_In_A_Pile

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      Movement and Earnings

    [quote]

    I think the miners are going down because of something happening with recent earnings releases.

    [/quote]

    TB – years of chart study have shown me that there are typically two responses in stock price that occur wrt earnings announcements.  Earnings announcements are made 4 times a year.  I run charts back about 8 weeks prior to earnings release dates each quarter and look for historical equity price movements.  Over the years I have compiled a list of "calendar trades" to watch for.  Some stocks have fantastic moves going into all earnings release dates.  Others once or twice a year.  Others don't really move at all beforehand.  Those that have historical, repeated moves go into my trading manual that I refer to every day.

    When my indicators tell me a potential movement to the upside is setting up that is consistent with historical expectations, I sell naked puts and buy calls.  Once the price movement is over, I buy back the puts and sell the calls.  I NEVER care about why the price moved….only that it did/does.  When indications match expectations, trade. 

    Once earnings are announced, it's more about guidance.  I have seen companies miss by $0.20 per share, explain the miss and issue upside guidance and the stock price soared.  I have also seen companies beat earnings estimates by $0.20 per share, but guide lower and the stock gets hammered.

    It's all about price movement….

    [/quote]

    • Wed, Jul 13, 2016 - 06:13pm

      #15

      Dogs_In_A_Pile

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      What’s the difference….

    Between an exploding robot, or "negotiating" on a phone long enough to get a sniper in position to pink mist the "suspect's" head?

    I wasn't there, but we were way past the 4th, 5th and 6th Amendments IMO.

    Unless the deathbot is the new 6th?

    • Fri, Jun 24, 2016 - 12:42pm

      #45

      Dogs_In_A_Pile

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      Correction needed????

    [quote=Algie]

    Will TPTB let this run it's course……………

    [/quote]

    TPTB should be changed to TPTW….The Powers That Were

Viewing 10 posts - 1 through 10 (of 640 total)