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  • Podcast

    Ted Siedle: The Greatest Retirement Crisis In The History Of The World

    The pension crisis is even worse than we imagine
    by Adam Taggart

    Friday, April 12, 2019, 9:14 AM

“We are on the precipice of the greatest retirement crisis in the history of the world. And that makes perfect sense because, first of all, we have the largest elderly population in the history of the world.

Just focusing on the United States: our elderly are woefully unprepared to retire. And in the decades to come we will witness millions of elderly American's, Baby Boomers and others, slipping into poverty. 'Too frail to work, too poor to retire' will become the new normal for many elderly Americans.”

So warns pension fraud whistleblower Ted Siedle.

Siedle's firm, Benchmark Financial Services, Inc. has pioneered over $1 trillion in forensic investigations of the money management industry. He's nationally recognized as an authority on pensions and investment management matters, having testified before the Senate Banking Committee regarding fund scandals and is an expert in various Madoff-related and other litigations.

In 2017, he secured the largest SEC whistleblower award in history of $48 million, and in 2018, the largest CFTC award in history at $30 million. 

Siedel rings a loud warning bell regarding the solvency of today's public pension system. Specifically, his investigations show that most of them:

  • Are much too under-funded to meet their future payout obligations (e.g., Kentucky's state pension plan is only 12% funded)
  • Are experiencing annual returns far below the required 7% average the plans assume in their forecasts
  • Have oversight boards making portfolio allocation decisions that are staffed by individuals with zero experience managing financial securities (e.g., policemen, kindergarten teachers)
  • Have little transparency. Many are rarely audited. And many have moved their capital off-shore without accounting for where it's been moved to.
  • Are heavily influenced by politics when making portfolio allocations. Pet projects, such as sports stadiums, get funded to disastrous results while making local politically-connected 'friends of the pension board' rich
  • Are paying much higher fees to Wall Street than they used to, whose advisors are putting them into riskier and poorer-performing vehicles (e.g. hedge funds) in a desperate reach for yield

Siedel's Top 10 Reasons Why Stealing From State And Local Public Pensions Is The Perfect Crime is reading certain to give nightmares to anyone depending on a public pension, or worried about being forced to bail out failed funds by paying higher taxes in the future:

I think there will be bailouts. The alternative is chaos, disaster, Armageddon. I mean, it's like when people say we should cut Social Security benefits. Well, the majority of people that get Social Security live on nothing but Social Security. If you cut Social Security  benefits people will die. People will get sick. People will not be able to get healthcare. Elderly people will be thrown out of their homes, their apartments, whatever

Wall Street will say “We've got a solution!” They'll offer pension obligation bonds, whatever. The solution Wall Street offers always is: Pay us more fees. Pay us to underwrite bonds. There will be many “solutions” offered. Taxing property owners is always popular as well. 

Click the play button below to listen to Chris' interview with Ted Siedle (58m:11s).

Other Ways To Listen: iTunes | Google Play | SoundCloud | Stitcher | YouTube | Download |

 

Transcript

Chris Martenson: Welcome, everyone, to this featured voices podcast. I am your host, Chris Martenson. And it is April 3rd, 2019.

Pensions. We've discussed them here at Peak Prosperity over the years, pointing out that they are kind of a mathematical nightmare for everyone involved.

But, as bad as the pension nightmare seems on the surface, it's even worse below the covers. I recently had the chance to hear a true pension expert talk about how America's pension system is ripe for fraud and abuse and mismanagement.

Sure, pensions routinely overpromise, but it's actually worse than that. They also routinely under deliver because the people on the pension boards are often underqualified, outgunned, our maneuvered by slick operators from sometimes predatory operations that simply cannot resist the honey pot of money tied up in pensions.

Our expert today is Ted Siedle. He's been called the Sam Spade of money management, the Financial watchdog and even the pension detective. Born Edward Ahmed Hamilton Siedle, he grew up in Trinidad, in Venezuela, Panama, Peru, England, Uganda, Egypt and the US. Certainly a very well-traveled, well rounded individual.

He's a former SEC attorney and former legal counsel and director of compliance to Putnam Investments. For over 20 years he has owned security trading and investment banking firms.

His firm, Benchmark Financial Services, Inc. has pioneered over one trillion in forensic investigations of the money management industry. He's nationally recognized as an authority on pensions and investment management matters, having testified before the Senate Banking Committee regarding the mutual fund scandals and is an expert in various Madoff and other litigations.

In 2017, he secured the largest SEC whistleblower award in history of $48 million, and in 2018, the largest CFTC award in history at $30 million. Welcome, Ted.

Ted Siedle:: Thank you very much for inviting me on your podcast.

Chris Martenson: Very excited to have you here.

Let's start here. By way of background, Ted, I discovered that you too are a graduate of Simon's Rock College. I got out of there with an associate's back in 1982. It gave me a start that was otherwise unavailable. I just had to point that out because I haven't ever interviewed another graduate of Simon's Rock.

Ted Siedle:: Well, not only did I go to Simon's Rock, I am being awarded an honorary degree by Simon's Rock at commencement a month from now.

Chris Martenson: Really!

Ted Siedle: So, like you, I did not graduate with a Bachelor of Arts, so they are awarding me the honorary Bachelor of Arts degree, the first one they’ve awarded in 35 years. I believe the last one was awarded to Isaac Asimov. He was a very noted writer and scientist.

Chris Martenson: Well, congratulations. And what are they awarding this for?

Ted Siedle:: I gather for my lifetime work investigating forensically Wall Street abuses, and really looking at – working as an expert for the public to decode what Wall Street and it's legion of experts have been foisting on the American public.

I've written about, on Forbes, that we are on the precipice of the greatest retirement crisis in the history of the world. And that makes perfect sense because, first of all, we have the largest elderly population in the history of the world, and our elderly in this country and in other parts of the world, as well.

But let's just focus on the United States. Our elderly are woefully unprepared to retire and risk in the decades to come, we will witness millions of elderly Americans, Baby Boomers and others, slipping into poverty, too frail to work, too poor to retire, will become the new normal for many elderly Americans.

So, our demographics suggest that pensions, and the lack thereof, lack of retirement security, is a major national issue. And I am one of top experts who's speaking on behalf of the public on that issue.

Chris Martenson: So let's divide this into its two pieces. First, I opened with the idea that there's a little bit of mismanagement, maybe some fraud, maybe some abuse going on in there.

And you're talking about something that maybe is something that's on the other side too, which is the math problem that exists here which is rooted in demographics and maybe simple miscalculations of promises versus returns.

So let's separate those two out. Let's go to the math problem to start. Pensions, everybody's heard the headlines: possibly three trillion, four trillion underfunded. Let's take people through the math of this a little bit. What does that mean when a pension fund is underfunded?

Ted Siedle:: Well, when a pension fund is underfunded, it means it does not have enough money in the bank to pay all it has promised to pensioners or retirees. So, it means that there is a gap between what's been promised and what's in the bank.

Chris Martenson: And that gap is measuring in the trillions now. Is that a correct assessment?

Ted Siedle:: Yes. Many public pension funds in the country, like in the state of Kentucky, is only 12% funded. Others are – Saipan, which is a U S territory, is the first public pension to seek bankruptcy protection about five years ago. Illinois is in terrible shape.

So around the country, there are many pension funds that are funded only in the teens, and the end is near. It is clear that with the limited amount of money they have on hand, the benefits that they're paying and what had been promised, that they will run out money. That big issue is the under funding of pensions.

Chris Martenson: So in my own human terms, if I had a child I knew was going to go to a college that was going to cost $200 thousand, 12% funding would mean I have $24,000 set aside for that $200 thousand liability that's upcoming.

Ted Siedle:: That's right.

Chris Martenson: And so, how does somebody like Kentucky – first, how are they going to potentially close that gap? What are the mechanisms that are available here?

Ted Siedle:: Well, the simplest way to understand pensions and the health of pensions is that there are three components. The three components of pension health are how much money goes into the pension. The second component is how is the money that is in the pension managed over, let's say, a 30 year period of time, a worker's lifetime, say 30 years. And then, the third component is how much money is paid out of the pension.

So the three components are how much money goes in, how the money is managed over 30 years, and then, finally, how much money is paid out.

If not enough money goes in, that's a problem. The pension will be unhealthy. If the pension is mismanaged over time, there's a problem because no matter how much water you pour into a leaky bucket, the bucket will never be full. The third issue is if too much money is paid out, then the pension will obviously run out of money over time. So, if more money is paid out than is going in and is being generated on the investments, then you have a problem.

So those are the three main issues. The fix is found in those three components. If you want to fix the problem you either, A, put more money in; B, manage the money more efficiently; or C, you take less money out.

Now, option A and C, or 1 and 3, putting more money in is politically suicide. Final. Taxpayers do not want to hear that state pensions are running out of money, or municipal pensions are running out of money, and more money needs to be put in.

Cutting benefits is potentially legally not on the table. May not be legal under state law. And, of course, state workers are not going to be at all happy. So that's political suicide, too.

So then, the question is what do you do? The one element that is least discussed is the investments. Are the investments being managed efficiently? And almost universally they're not. And the reasons for that, which we can go into, but the investment of the money is the issue that is discussed the least and is an issue which the public is really pretty much unaware of.

Chris Martenson: So, Ted, this is the part I really want to get to because the money in, money out is fairly easy to track, and a lot of people are already up the curve on that. You really opened my eyes when you started to discuss that second bucket, the management of that money.

We all are assuming, even though there's a several trillion dollar shortfall, there's also trillions of dollars stuffed in these things. It's a big pile of money. And I guess I had the assumption that money was being managed not only efficiently but as well as possible.

So let's go into that for a second. First, what we're really talking about here is public pensions. Is there a difference between a public pension and say one that's managed by a company? And then I want to get into this management. Who is it that's actually doing the management of these public pensions?

First, what's the difference? Second, let's get into who's doing the managing.

Ted Siedle:: Well, public pensions are very different from private pensions because public pensions are not subject to any comprehensive federal law, particularly ERISA is the comprehensive federal law that governs and protects private corporate pensions.

I've written an article in Forbes called The Top Ten Reasons Why Stealing from State and Local Pensions is the Perfect Crime. Stealing from public pensions is the perfect crime for the same – basically because these pensions are not run professionally and are not regulated.

So let me rattle off the top ten. First, reason number one is with over $4.0 trillion in assets in these funds they have a boatload of money. So a few million or a few billion stolen is rarely missed. It's reason number one, lot's on money.

Reason number two is public pensions have boards. They're overseen by boards of trustees which are composed of laymen that utterly lack any knowledge or expertise in investment or fiduciary matters. Few state or local statutes require public pension board members to meet any minimal standards related to pensions. So you have police, fire fighters, sanitation workers, kindergarten teachers; these are who are on these boards.

So time and again, when Wall Street comes calling on public pensions, Wall Street professionals are very adept at pulling the wool over these laymen's eyes.

The third reason is that these public pensions are subject to politicization. So the composition of the board, of these boards, and the decision that these boards make regarding pension investments are generally tainted by political considerations. So you will find a pension investing in a convention center or a football stadium. And you ask yourself, these are typically terrible investments.

How did this investment get there? Politics. The political climate was such that politicians said the city pension should fund the building of a football stadium. It may not make any sense, but those are situations where you very clearly see politics involved. So, politicization of investments is reason number three, why stealing from public pensions is a perfect crime.

Reason number four is that while these state and local pensions are generally subject to public records laws that mandate transparency, these funds are so defensive about decisions they make and skilled at thwarting public disclosure requirements, that scams rarely get exposed.

And I would encourage you listeners to, wherever you sit, there is a city, county, or state pension fund that is subject to Freedom of Information laws, your state access to public records laws. I encourage you to use those laws to write and get information about the public fund that is of greatest interest to you.

And most of these funds today have websites, and there's a tremendous amount of information that are on these websites. So, I would encourage you to seek transparency, request information, and continue to push for it because, while they are subject to public records law, they are reluctant to comply. So the more members of the public that agitate for transparency, the better.

Reason number five, why stealing from public pensions is the perfect crime is what I eluded to initially, that they are not subject to ERISA, which is the federal law that establishes minimum standards for private pensions. ERISA was enacted to protect the interest of employee benefit plan participants by requiring disclosure of information and establishing standards of conducts and providing appropriate remedies in federal courts. ERISA does not apply to public pensions. So they would not need to be concerned about any of ERISAs protection if they go stealing from public pensions.

Reason number six, and I'm racing through these, is we're still – not only are public pensions not subject to any comprehensive federal law, they are regulated by a thin patchwork quilt of state and local laws. And most of the issues that relate to managing pensions are unanswered by state and local statute.

So, for example, if your city, the city of Amherst, Massachusetts, pension wanted to invest in bitcoin, is it illegal? There's probably not an answer. So that's under state law or city law. So there's lack of federal regulations, lack of state regulation. And there's lack of federal and state law enforcement policing these plans. And most of these plans are not annually audited by independent certified accountants.

Chris Martenson: No?

Ted Siedle:: Now, I did an investigation of the hundred billion dollar State of North Carolina pension. And the first observation I had was that the pension had never been audited-

Chris Martenson: Wow.

Ted Siedle:: -in its history. It's the only pool of money in the state – the Housing Authority and all the other pools of money in the state, had been audited, just not the pension.

Chris Martenson: Wow.

Ted Siedle:: And in response to my observation, the Treasurer of the State, who was a young woman who had no investment experience, she said that the cost of an audit wasn't worth the benefit that it would provide. Well, the cost of an audit would have been maybe $100,000. The reason why the Treasurer would not want to pay $100,000 to audit a hundred billion dollar fund is because she knows what the audit would find.

So those are some of the big issues. The final two reasons why stealing from public pensions is a perfect crime is that – number nine is that ever growing percentages of the money in these plans are being swept into offshore accounts with illiquid hard to value assets where nobody's even checking to see if the money is there.

So significant amounts of money from let's say, CalPERS or any of the largest pension funds, are actually supposedly in the Cayman Islands. So somebody has made a decision that it is prudent to invest state workers money in the Cayman Islands, which lacks any of the protections we have, federal, state securities and other banking laws that we have here in the United States. But nobody even knows if the money is actually there.

Chris Martenson: That's astonishing.

Ted Siedle:: Yeah, I mean, I have worked on cases where, when we look, we find the money is not there and hasn't ever been there.

And so the final reason that stealing from public pensions is the perfect crime is because as long as taxpayer rage is focused on the amount of money going into these plans, and the supposedly rich benefits they pay out to state workers and retirees, then no one is focusing on investment scamming in the portfolio, which is where I'm focused. And so that's the piece that's missing.

And I'd like your listeners to think about – we talked a lot about money going into these plans and the supposedly rich benefits they pay out. Let's focus for a while on who's scamming the investments.

Chris Martenson: Ted, fantastic summary. I'm literally agog that this could be this bad. The idea that you have hundreds of billions of dollars that are never audited. My summary is poorly regulated, unaudited, staffed with people who are unqualified in many respects with a giant pot of money. What could go wrong?

Ted Siedle:: Exactly. And increasingly, investing in opaque offshore illiquid assets and increasingly thwarting the state public records laws. CalPERS and every pension in the United States that has invested in hedge funds, private equity funds and other what we call alternative investments, i.e. not stocks and bonds, have interpreted state public records laws to read that these investments may be kept secret.

So we, for the first time in the history of this country, 30% or so of the assets of all of the nation's public pension funds, 30% of $4.0 trillion, let's say, is in secrecy accounts, which means that has been deemed not subject to public scrutiny, not subject to disclosure under public records law. That's never happened in the history of the country, and that's where we're at now. And that is, to me, the most – that's what makes this the most dangerous time for state pensions in the history of this country.

Chris Martenson: So we have $1.3 trillion, if I'm doing my 30% of $4.0 trillion properly in my head, we have about $1.3 trillion that's in secret. We don’t know where it went, but trust us, it's being managed properly and it's going to deliver a tasty return. Again, what could go wrong?

So Ted, take us through, real quickly, because I really what to burrow into this. But first, we used a term – help people understand what forensic accounting means. I want to give people some clues what they might look for if they decided to, I don't know, unbutton their own local fireman pension fund where would they start looking?

But let's back up. What is forensic accounting? What does that mean?

Ted Siedel: Well, I'm not a forensic accountant. I'm a forensic lawyer. But I straddle both worlds in that my specialty is in investment matters. I look at both the investments and the law.

But forensics simply means, denotes, of a quality that would be acceptable in court. So when you're doing a forensic analysis, I often tell people that the work I do is similar to the show CSI Miami. And in the show, the investigators go into a room here there's a dead body, and they ask did the body die of natural causes or was there foul play?

In my work, I go into a dead or dying investment or pension and I ask is the pension dead or dying because of natural, unforeseen forces like, simply, the stock market went down, or was there foul play? And foul play is defined as conflict of interest, hidden or excessive fees, and violation of laws. Those are the things that I look for in my forensic protocol that I've developed.

So forensic means that you're doing an investigation which will produce a quality report that can be submitted in a court of law, and it will be used in a legal context.

The thing that I look for, and I would encourage your members to look for, are those three things: conflict of interest, hidden and excessive fees, and violations of law.

These pensions universally underreport the fees they're paying. That is a big issue because they are paying higher fees to Wall Street, exponentially higher, 10 times higher today than they were 10 years ago. And so that is something I would encourage your listeners to look at because I don’t know a single pension in this country that properly reports the fees they're paying, i.e., they're all underreporting the ever growing fees they're paying.

And, of course, your listeners should be savvy enough to know that fees, the fees you pay, are tremendously significant to the intelligent investor because the only thing we can control as investors are the fees we pay. We can't control the outcome, but if we keep our cost low, we increase our chances of having superior net performance, that is gross performance minus the costs of fees, net performance.

If these funds are paying out 2.0%, 3.0%, 4.0%, 5.0%, 6.0% a year in fees, and the market is only making 5.0% 6.0%, 7.0% a year, then the net performance – well the majority of the net gains are going to Wall Street, not to the public, not to the participants in the fund. So that's why it's so critical to look at fees in investing, and particularly when you're investing in high risk, high cost opaque investments like hedge funds, private equity funds, pension funds, real estate funds. All those fees are of paramount concerns because the fees are far greater than investing in, let's say, an index fund.

Chris Martenson: So let's take this all the way through. Hey, we walked in the room, we can't find the body but there's a lot of blood. We're looking for the body in this investigation. Let's go back to point number three you said about how public pensions are ripe for being stolen from. Politicization of things, you said stadium, real estate, they might invest in kind of hokey local projects that don’t return.

Real estate has been just a slam dunk, really strong return asset for portfolios for many decades now. How have public pensions fared in that arena if we're looking for clues that might say politicization happened here?

Ted Siedle:: Well, let's backtrack for a bit there. You said what could your listeners be looking into? One of things we always look at is when you see a local pension investing in a local deal, whether it's real estate or a brewery or venture capital, that's always suspect because that typically means this was not an arm's length transaction where they scoured the universe to find the best investment for the pension. But there's a high risk that the local entrepreneur, promoter, used political connections to walk this deal into the pension.

One of the things that I would look for is if you're in a city and you notice that the city pension has a big real estate holding in its portfolio, look at how it's done. Has that investment done well for the pension or badly for the pension? If it's done great, then maybe you don’t have to look any further. If it's done terribly and it's a for profit helicopter landing port, you might say, well, how the hell did the city decide this was a smart thing to do, and who was behind it, and the performance seems to be terrible.

But in investigations that I've done, like on I did in the state of Rhode Island, the state actually did horribly in real estate investment. I don’t have the number off the top of my head, but over a 40 year period, the state's investment in real estate had produced I think a negative 3.0% or something like that.

Chris Martenson: That's hard to do.

Ted Siedle:: Yeah. It's pretty hard to own real estate for 40 years and lose 3.0%. In fact, short of having a nuclear bomb leave radioactive waste on the property, I would think it would be pretty hard to lose over a 40 year period.

So what we do see is that real estate is a strong investment and is actually the first alternative investment pensions invested in, alternatives to publicly traded stocks and bonds.

Real estate has been in pension portfolios for decades. But in many cases, you see that the real estate has done very poorly.

Chris Martenson: A lot of explanation for that poor return has to lie in the bucket two mismanagement. This has been – or not efficiently managed, as you said. But there's certainly clues there to suggest if you're doing that poorly in real estate, it's almost impossible to be that bad randomly. So there's probably something there to look at.

Ted Siedle:: Yeah. And real estate investments in public pensions are packaged by Wall Street in ways that are very different from what your typical direct real estate investor would be involved with. They can be fund-to-fund where you're investing in a partnership that invests in other partnership that invests in REITs. And you're paying two, three, four levels of fess.

So the real estate investments that you will find in pension portfolios may be very different from what a local real estate investor would invest in and may perform very differently. and most certainly would have layers of fees attached that a direct investor of real estate would not experience.

Chris Martenson: So, Ted, I'm really curious about something. Roughly ten years ago, when I was first looking into pensions, because I've been curious about this for a long time, and this would be before the great financial crisis, roughly speaking. Pensions were managed conserve actively, if you would look at it that way, with a 60/40 split, bonds to stocks. So 60% bonds, 40% stocks.

Today, the data I have shows that that's being entirely reversed, 60% in stocks, 40% in bonds, a lot less conservatively managed. Obviously, the great financial repression that the Federal Reserve did driving interest rates down pushed pensions towards needing higher returns. I'd love to hear your take on their assumed rate of returns next.

But first, given this massive increase in equity exposure and the big, huge rebound in equity prices, courtesy of easy Central Bank policies, pensions should be in far better shape than they were ten years ago. Are they?

Ted Siedle:: They're not in better shape. And one of the problems you have today when you look at pension asset allocation is many of the allocations are being mischaracterized. So they're not 60/40 or even 70/30. The structure of the investment, the composition of portfolios, is more confused and obscure than ever today.

So whatever you see – in virtually every pension I've ever looked at, if you look at their investment holdings, you will see that some of the funds and the product that they're invested in are mischaracterized. And they're mischaracterized to appear far less risky than they really are. That's something you really need to take in account.

They’ve actually gotten into far riskier investments. And the killer is they're paying ten times the fees they used to pay. So they're not performing better. They should be, they could be, but they're not. They're paying more to Wall Street than ever, and they're performing terribly for the most part.

Chris Martenson: And these higher fees, I assume this is because pensions know they're behind the eight ball, they're been sold a bill of goods which is oh, gosh, you going to have to work extra hard to make up some lost ground, so they swinging for the fence, possibly. Of course, they want to underreport the amount of risk they're taking. I understand the drive for that.

But really, honestly, if we want to go to the headwaters of the Nile, a lot of this has to be laid at the feet of the Federal Reserve seeking financial repression, driving interest rates to a place that's so low that investors, not just pensions, were yield starved, have had to do some really crazy things to just try and survive given their financial parameters and all of that.

Has not the environment itself been also conductive to really forcing these pensions to do some crazy stuff?

Ted Siedle:: The environment has, clearly, with interest rates remaining absurdly low. That has made it more difficult than ever to achieve their assumed rate of return. I think today most pensions assume that they're going to get a rate of return on their investment of let's say 7.25%. That is the stated return. Their actuaries have signed off on this.

I don’t know about you, but I would love to get 7.50% return, or 7.0% return, or even 6.5%. I will pledge to you today, I will invest $10 million in a guaranteed 6.5%, 7.0% investment. If you've got one that is ironclad, guaranteed, give me 7.0%, I will give you $10 million of my money to manage.

And so, the pensions, almost universally, claim that they will make 7.0% a year. Warren Buffet himself has said that is an unrealistic return. He discussed this extensively in his Berkshire Hathaway Annual Report a few years ago. So, they have assumed rate of return on 7.0%.

And Wall Street's solution to every problem is, the solution to your problem is to pay us more money. Wall Street says if you need to get 7.0%, then you got to pay us 3.0%. Instead of paying us a half percent, or one tenth of percent, as you would pay in an index fund, you need to pay us 3.0% to be in a hedge fund. Wall Street's solution to every investor problem is always, and will always be, pay us more fees.

And that, as Warren Buffet with tell you – and that's what they’ve done. They’ve paid greater fees to be in ever riskier rolls of the dice. And the net result has been the higher fees and the greater gambling has resulted, predictably, in worse performance. That's where we're at today.

Chris Martenson: I'm reminded of the Peanuts comic strip with Lucy yanking the football way. I'm not sure how many more examples we need to understand that Wall Street operates in its own best interest, and they play fast and lose whenever possible. You watch things like The Big Short or any of the other of the exposes that come out and guess what? When there's a lot money involved, people will do anything they possibly can within the letter of the law. And many of the coyotes at the edge of that will do whatever they can sort of outside the boundaries of the letter of the law. And some of them will just commit overt fraud.

And I was shocked. I mentioned in the intro. I found out that you had been an expert in the Madoff litigations. And just to look at what Markopolos had done – for those who aren't familiar – Markopolos was a private individual who was looking at the returns of the Madoff funds, which were publicly disclosed and said, "These are impossible."

First off, he would have to have been basically consuming more than were the options that were actually available for the entire universe of SBX index funds. But anyway, he just looked at the stuff, clearly impossible, hands it to the SEC on a silver platter. Here you go, here's the data, totally impossible. And I think it ran – I'm sure you know more than me – but I think it ran for many years, maybe ten years, after the first disclosure.

So these things are there. They're rampant. They should be expected. And still, I think somehow things like the Madoff scam will go away, and people assume that we took care of the bad stuff and now we're back to reasonably fair and open operations.

It just feels to me, like Lucy yanking the football away, that people should go in with the understanding that fleecing is what you should expect. It's not the exception, it's the rule. And therefore, you need – please, go ahead, if that's enough to--

Ted Siedle:: That's definitely right. I think I mentioned to you all in my speech the other day in Fort Lauderdale that I am finishing a book called How to Steal a Lot of Money.

Chris Martenson: Great.

Ted Siedle:: And How to Steal a Lot of Money is about how Wall Street and investment scammers steal money perfectly legally. This is a practical guide to investment scamming; It's based on true events. And it's how to steal legally. Not how to steal illegally. It's how to steal legally.

Every device I mention in the book we go into is perfectly legal, and it is not against the law in this country to sell an investment that has no chance, zero chance, of ever producing a decent rate of return. So that's where it's at. You can sell anything as long as you do it in a right way with the right disclosures, and it will be perfectly legal. And there are a lot of, a tremendous amount, of common practices on Wall Street that make no sense, that are obviously wrong, but they're legal.

For example, when I testified in the Madoff cases against Madoff feeder funds – these are funds that pensions invested in these funds, feeder funds, that gave all the money to Madoff to manage. So it's a feeder vehicle to get into the—and the feeder fund said, well, you can't sue us. We wrote right in the prospectus, and they did, there is a chance the broker managing the money, Madoff, may "abscond with the assets." We disclosed he might steal. You can't sue us.

So that, of course, is the most absurd example. But short of that, you can pretty much disclose away any kind of wrongdoing you can imagine. So Wall Street and investment scammers get away with stuff that is outrageous.

And How to Steal a Lot of Money book is my take on financial literacy. And I'm hoping that a number of colleges will start using it as a teaching device because investors need to understand that when you deal with investment scammers, Wall Street, whatever, you are really involved in a life or death struggle over your money. And you need to go into the relationship with that understanding that they are not there to do what's best for you, and you need to be eternally vigilant.

One of the chapters of the book is called How to Create a Fake Resume. Now, when I wrote an article about this on Forbes they didn’t like it. They took it down. They said you're teaching people how to commit crime. I said, no, I'm not. I'm teaching people how to spot a fake resume.

And one of the things I have in there on How to Create a Fake Resume is to claim to have obscure sports accomplishments. In other words, accomplishments in sports that no official body ever records. And what we saw recently in this college scandal thing is that students were being given sports scholarships in obscure sports where they were admitted to the school to be on the sailing team or the rowing team where nobody at the school would ever know if they ever sailed or rowed.

So the purpose of my book, How to Steal a Lot of Money, is to raise awareness of how investment scammers operate within the law and at the fringes of the law and to reduce the likelihood that people get scammed, as opposed to trying to create a new generation of criminals.

Chris Martenson: Ted, when that book, How to Steal a Lot of Money comes out, let's do another interview because I will help you get a lot of those books out into the public, hopefully, because it's an important concept.

Here's my maxim in life. If money's involved and people are involved, there's going to be fraud and theft involved. It's just how people are wired.

And I noted recently that – I'm sort of smiling as I say this, but I found it kind of sad – in Illinois, where they have just an extraordinary pension shortfall going on, the Federal Reserve official in charge off that region actually suggested publicly that one of the ways they might close the gap was to put an extra 1.0% levy on top of the existing real estate taxes, essentially mining the equity of homeowners in order to cover the liability shortfall over on the other side. As if the state balance sheet consisted of the equity in people's homes, the liabilities plus the assets and the pensions, that somehow that could all balance.

Meanwhile, it was the Fed itself that created a lot of this trouble by creating the financial repression in the first place. I thought that was just a really inappropriate way to go about first creating the problem or feeding it, and then suggesting that the solution to it was to go after number one on your list. We need just more money is, and we're going to harvest the equity, basically leverage our balance sheet.

I did not like that solution at all. But people should increasingly expect that going forward, shouldn't they?

Ted Siedle:: Yeah, they should. And I've been proposing to do forensic investigations in Chicago and Illinois going back to 2004. I was written up in the Wall Street Journal or the New York Times for a proposal to investigate.

It was clear to me 14 years ago that the Chicago and the Illinois funds where being fleeced. And I sent a proposal to the boards in those cities, Springfield and Chicago, and the boards said they would consider having a forensic review done. But they ultimately, obviously, decided they would not look good, so they shot it down. But the fact that they were considering was written up in the New York Times.

But getting back to the other point you made, and this is something I regularly tell people, any human who sits with other people's money long enough will sooner or later turn to thinking how they can convert that money to their own. It's human nature that if I gave you a million dollars and said hold it for me for ten years, I'm going off on a trip around the world, there's a good chance that at some point while I'm gone, you will think about, hm, could I borrow a little of that money? Maybe I'll use some to go on a trip. I'll pay it back later. Or I got a great idea. I'll invest in the stock market and get 10% and I'll keep the 10% because all he said was give me my million dollars when I come back.

So it is human nature. So whenever you're dealing with humans or algorithms in computers, with your money, you should be eternally vigil.

Chris Martenson: Well, absolutely. And for the final question here, I watched Illinois recently floated another bond offering where they're going to go into debt to put money into their pension. I think it's a dumb idea, but that's not my question. My question is looking at the rate, the yield, that those bonds went off at, I couldn’t understand them because it was just a few tens of basis points above what I would consider to be – it was negligible.

And so my question here is whoever is buying those bonds is assuming that if Illinois goes under in this example, or say Kentucky, that there will be some sort of a bailout, like those bonds are somehow covered in some way, possibly.

Is it possible in your mind, Ted, that a federal bailout could happened of these state pensions? Is there a mechanism for that? Could you ever see that happening, or are these people sort of really wishfully, maybe, ignorantly assuming that their money is safer than it is?

Ted Siedle:: Well, I think there will be bailouts. The alternative is chaos, disaster, armageddon. I mean, it's like when people say we should cut Social Security benefits. Well, the majority of people that get Social Security live on nothing but Social Security. If you cut Social Security benefits people will die. People will get sick. People will not be able to get healthcare. Elderly people will be thrown out of their homes, their apartments, whatever.

If the state of Illinois truly went bankrupt it would be armageddon. People would take to the streets. What are you going to do? No electricity, no water.

We seem to have a certain disregard for territories like Puerto Rico. We will allow them to go bankrupt., but the notion that a state will be allowed to go bankrupt, I don’t see it happening.

Wall Street will say we've got a solution. Let's sell some bonds, pension obligation bonds, whatever. The solution Wall Street offers always is pay us more fees. Pay us to underwrite bonds. There will be many solutions offered. Taxing property owners is always popular, as well. But in the end, a bankruptcy of a state, I don’t see it happening.

Chris Martenson: And so if I followed all this correctly, pensions are publicly managed. They are subject to Freedom of Information laws. People would be able to, if they were interested, let's say I know somebody who's a firefighter who I care about a lot and they have a fire fighters pension. He's counting on it. If I was so interested, I would be able to go in and request the records and start to take a look and see what they're invested in and start to poke at that.

And if I found something that seemed interesting or curious or questionable that I wanted to follow up further, what's the mechanism there for shining light or being able to exert any sort of leverage or influence on that process?

Ted Siedle:: Well, what we were able to do in Rhode Island, which was very innovative, was we crowd funded forensic investigations of the state pension. Basically, through crowd funding we can have a nation of citizen inspector general's where the citizens of the state or county say we're wondering – we have concerns about how the city pension fund is being managed. We're going to raise $20,000 on the internet via donations of $50 each or whatever, $100 each, to crowdfund a forensic investigation of the pension.

Likewise, you could do that for your city water supply. Let's say the citizens of your town believe the water is tainted. Raise $5,000 to hire someone to do a water analysis. We are in an age of crowdfunding and internet funding. There is a vehicle to hire forensic experts to investigate on behalf of the public anything the public feels strongly about.

For those who are interested, if you type in my name, [email protected], you will see that we had three successful crowdfundings, or was it two – maybe it was two, two successful crowdfunding investigation in the Rhode Island Pension Fund. And we delivered those findings to the FCC and raised awareness. And the state of Rhode Island stopped investing in hedge funds after losing half a billion dollars. So that was the result there.

And they increased the disclosure on fees to ten times. The disclosed fees when I started investigating Rhode Island were $10 million. Within five years, we've forced them to disclose that the fees were $90 million. Nine times.

So, I would encourage you all to get as much public information as you can from the public pensions in your area. Be an agitator, be a thorn in their side because they don’t like to give the information out, but they're required to.

And if you find some interesting things, think about crowdfunding and investigation, having a professional brought in to examine the facts, prepare a report, and then give the report to state and local regulatory and law enforcement

Chris Martenson: Wow. That's fantastic. It's a great idea. And for those listening who might be listening on YouTube, at our website where this is also posted, we will be putting in the links to the Top Ten Reasons for Stealing, the Forbes article, as well as the results from the Rhode Island crowdfunding search that Ted just recommended because we think you should read those.

And again, citizen activation sounds like the thing that is going to be needed in this case, and that's usually the case. Without accountability, without daylight being shown, these things – imagine a giant pod of money that's just sitting there. Listen, it's not is the possibility that something funky is happening there, it's definitely happening. So that's just human nature.

So Ted, thank you so much for your time today. I can't wait to have you back on to talk about your book, How to Steal Money, legally, of course. And I really applaud you for the work that your doing. It sounds, not just sounds, but it is incredibly valuable to have somebody out there poking around and making sure that things are being managed as well as can be and shining light on that.

So thank you for that work. Thank you for your time today. And is there any place you would direct people who want to follow your work more closely?

Ted Siedle:: Well, I have a website which is benchmarkalert.com. But I write a monthly column for Forbes, and the column is entirely about forensics and pensions. I'm not a reporter writing about what other people's work. I write about what I find. So I would encourage you all just to type in my name and Forbes, and you will find my monthly column on there.

Chris Martenson: Fantastic. We'll certainly be doing that, and again, thank you so much for your time today.

Ted Siedle:: Thank you.

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29 Comments

  • Mon, Apr 08, 2019 - 11:20am

    #1
    pat the rat

    pat the rat

    Status Member (Offline)

    Joined: Nov 01 2011

    Posts: 108

    pension

    It dosen’t take some one with a lot of brains to know that the pensions are a mess. This is easy ,but the hard part is knowing the details,and the devel is in the details.When the pensions go bad in one state every other state is going jump on the band wagon. Now all hell is going to break loose.
     

     

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  • Mon, Apr 08, 2019 - 3:55pm

    #2

    dabenham

    Status Member (Offline)

    Joined: Oct 29 2011

    Posts: 15

    Great interview. Book!

    Definitely let us know when his book is out.  Look forward to listening to the follow up interview you plan on.

     

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  • Mon, Apr 08, 2019 - 5:24pm

    #3

    Stabu

    Status Bronze Member (Offline)

    Joined: Nov 07 2011

    Posts: 95

    Worse than I Expected

    Prior to this I thought that the pension problem was mostly casued by promising the unions too lavish benefits defended by impossible actuarial assumptions such as 8% return without recessions etc. I never imagined that the so called advisors could pull more than 3% of fees from the fund nor that the funds would be invested in practically useless infrastructure projects such as stadiums. While I appreciate Ted’s call to become active and obtain information, I truly feel that this is one of those ships that has already sailed a long time ago, the ship is actually probably already on fire and in the process of sinkign to boot. Not sure if there’s any point to attend to the problems of such a ship. I just feel lucky that my corporate 401k is invested in the most conservative bond fund available to me (don’t tell me, I know, they too have many, many problems).

     

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  • Tue, Apr 09, 2019 - 6:46am

    #4

    newsbuoy

    Status Bronze Member (Offline)

    Joined: Dec 10 2013

    Posts: 54

    Remember SDS?

    Which now stands for Seniors Desperate Survival. Maybe that’s why Dr Guy McPherson’s predicament theory seems so reassuring. Nobody is going to get out alive later so live your life as if tomorrow ain’t there.
    Meanwhile, I don’t recall if Chris or Adam have interiewed this fellow? http://survivalacres.com/blog/zero-sum-survival-part-i/
    Elder Preppers Unite!
    The Seniors United Can Never Be Defeated!
     Ho Ho, Ho Shit, Man!
    Let My Pea Plants Go!

     

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  • Tue, Apr 09, 2019 - 7:06am

    #5

    LesPhelps

    Status Silver Member (Offline)

    Joined: Apr 30 2009

    Posts: 461

    2 plus 2

    Finally, someone said that cutting off social security will cause seniors to starve.
    We’ve been hearing for years that baby boomers have no retirement savings and that social security will become insolvent.  2 plus 2.
    Many baby boomers paid into social security all of their lives.  Perhaps some of them would have had savings, if they werent forced to fund an earlier generations retirement?  Perhaps not.
    Social security is not an entitlement for people who have paid into it all of their lives.  
    It can be revoked, but if so, be honest about the theaft.

     

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  • Tue, Apr 09, 2019 - 7:55am

    #6

    cmartenson

    Status Platinum Member (Offline)

    Joined: Jun 07 2007

    Posts: 4479

    My response too - worse than I thought

    Stabu wrote:

    Prior to this I thought that the pension problem was mostly casued by promising the unions too lavish benefits defended by impossible actuarial assumptions such as 8% return without recessions etc. I never imagined that the so called advisors could pull more than 3% of fees from the fund nor that the funds would be invested in practically useless infrastructure projects such as stadiums. While I appreciate Ted’s call to become active and obtain information, I truly feel that this is one of those ships that has already sailed a long time ago, the ship is actually probably already on fire and in the process of sinkign to boot. Not sure if there’s any point to attend to the problems of such a ship. I just feel lucky that my corporate 401k is invested in the most conservative bond fund available to me (don’t tell me, I know, they too have many, many problems).

    I thought I understood how bad things were.
    Ted made me realize it’s much worse than that.
    Really…there’s $1.3 trillion of pension money parked offshore in unaudited, opaque accounts?  Here’s my thought, that money is already gone.  It’s been reduced to fantasy digits on statements that CalPers, et al., have but that’s about it.
    Maybe, with luck, there will be a decade long, protracted battle to pry back $0.13 on the dollar, before legal fees.
    The idea that Wall Street gets to merrily predate on the hapless and uninformed ordinary people doing their best in a game heavily stacked againast them is both sad and wearying.
    But by all means let’s cheer on the “”market”” rescues that are now a daily feature because a rising stock “”market”” must mean that America is doing great!!  Right?
    Here’s a free tip for all the journalists that can’t seem to connect the dots; a country that kills its children by making insulin unafordable, prints up billionaires by handing them free central bank money, and kills its seniors by legally stealing their retirement money is not a civilization.  Not by any measure of that word.
    It’s a horror show.
     

     

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  • Tue, Apr 09, 2019 - 9:03am

    Reply to #6

    Snydeman

    Status Member (Offline)

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    Posts: 478

    Spot-on

    cmartenson wrote:

    Here’s a free tip for all the journalists that can’t seem to connect the dots; a country that kills its children by making insulin unafordable, prints up billionaires by handing them free central bank money, and kills its seniors by legally stealing their retirement money is not a civilization.  Not by any measure of that word.
    It’s a horror show.

     
    Chris, that was by far one of the most poignant, all-encompassing, hard-hitting comments I’ve ever read from you…and you are often a cornucopia treasure trove of great comments.
     
    When this failed experiment called civilization collapses, I won’t weep for it, even if I may weep for the lives crushed in the collapse.

     

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  • Tue, Apr 09, 2019 - 11:23am

    #7

    dcm

    Status Bronze Member (Offline)

    Joined: Apr 14 2009

    Posts: 106

    It’s also

    It’s also a whore show

     

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  • Tue, Apr 09, 2019 - 1:23pm

    #8

    Matt Holbert

    Status Member (Offline)

    Joined: Oct 03 2008

    Posts: 67

    Perspective from an insider...

    I’ve been investment officer for both public and private funds.
    Although there is a lot to unpack from this interview I’ll start by stating that if whistleblowers in really important matters were paid millions instead of being confined to embassies and jail we might not even have to worry about this pension stuff…
    The most important thing to remember and it has been revealed here at PP many times is that infinite growth on a finite planet is not possible. The “foundation” of any pension plan is growth and we are now at a point where the only sane solution is degrowth. Pensions are an anachronism and will not work in a shrinking resource environment. Period.
    Siedle is mistaken that public plans have less oversight than private. ERISA has not been effective in the underfunding of private pensions.
    I have found that there is little difference between public boards and private boards. The two public plans that I was involved with had well-meaning — for the most part — lay boards but they really did not call the shots. The consultants and advisory boards — and staff for that matter — had the ability to nix dumb ideas.
    It was not unusual for public investment officers to make the shift to the private realm. The one exception for me was the Washington State Investment Board. My replacement in 1996 is still there as are at least 3 senior investment staff members that were there when I was there. It is not a meritocracy. In 2017, they all made $316,000-$317,000 annually. Only to be eclipsed on the state payroll by professors and coaches. Bread and circuses and political correctness rule! By contrast, many of my peers at the Alaska fund made the shift to private. It could be that Olympia is more hospitable than Juneau. Because I made a big stink about excessive fees I was not a candidate to make the move to the private sector.
    Here is how it works… When I was at the Washington State Investment Board, Barry Sternlicht and Jay Sugarman came to our real estate staff of three to make a pitch for a mezzanine fund (a type of fund where the originators can make a buttload of money while pension plans can do all right if things go right.) The point was made that Sugarman was representing the Pritzker family. While staff was impressed with the pitch, our outside real estate consultant did not like the track record of Sternlicht. He had been involved with the development of Canary Wharf (London) and although it went on to be successful, it was not performing in the mid-90’s. She was able to nix our decision to invest.
    The bottom line is that the world is controlled by a group — you can figure out who they are — similar to those mentioned in the above paragraph and for whatever reason they have yet to admit that infinite growth on a finite planet is not possible.

     

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  • Tue, Apr 09, 2019 - 1:27pm

    Reply to #6

    Michael_Rudmin

    Status Gold Member (Offline)

    Joined: Jun 25 2014

    Posts: 828

    I remain unconvinced.

    I still tend to think that the horror show may be EXACTLY what civilization is.
    Which is why Snydeman won’t weep for it.
    Am I wrong?
    Please convince me otherwise.

     

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  • Tue, Apr 09, 2019 - 1:53pm

    Reply to #5

    Grover

    Status Gold Member (Offline)

    Joined: Feb 15 2011

    Posts: 691

    T4T

    LesPhelps wrote:

    Finally, someone said that cutting off social security will cause seniors to starve.
    We’ve been hearing for years that baby boomers have no retirement savings and that social security will become insolvent.  2 plus 2.
    Many baby boomers paid into social security all of their lives.  Perhaps some of them would have had savings, if they werent forced to fund an earlier generations retirement?  Perhaps not.
    Social security is not an entitlement for people who have paid into it all of their lives.  
    It can be revoked, but if so, be honest about the theaft.

    Les,
    I agree with your sentiment; however, you need to realize SS is just a Ponzi scheme in its purest form. “Benefits” to one group are supplied by taxes on another group. We were the tax serfs for preceeding generations. As long as there is an ever increasing base from which to tax, the scheme appears to work. Unfortunately, the ever increasing tax base results from a greater population and/or greater “productivity.” Improvements from productivity come mostly from increased mechanization that require additional energy inputs. The very solution will cause additional problems down the road. All Ponzi schemes are doomed to failure and SS isn’t an exception.
    Politicians aren’t as concerned with fixing the problem as they are with kicking the can down the road so they can get reelected. After all, if they don’t get reelected, they can’t possibly solve the problem. Due to the enormous costs involved with campaigning, they need to focus on building a war chest for the next election as soon as they get (re)elected. The easiest way is to curry donations by crafting loopholes in the laws the rest of us have to live with. Most of us consider that to be corruption. What are they to do when everyone else in their position does the same thing?
    Perhaps that is why the Millennials are embracing socialism. They know that the system isn’t working for them. College has become extraordinarily expensive. Once they graduate, the jobs most can get are too low waged to pay off the loans, buy an overinflated house, raise a family, and have enough left over to actually enjoy their time off. So, we declare them to be slackers because they still live in mom & dad’s basement. What would you do if you were born a couple of generations later?
    I expect widespread chaos when the system finally topples. It won’t just be a single component that goes haywire. When the government has to admit it can’t keep promises made generations ago, it will affect everyone everywhere. Even those who had the foresight to prepare for this eventuality will be targets for the desperate masses. Do you think that pension promises will actually be honored when everything else fails?
    So, what will Boomers do when their government promises get reneged? You can bet that they’ll be bitching at the top of their lungs … at first. If The Fourth Turning (T4T) predictions are correct, Boomers will eventually realize that their situation has changed. The new normal won’t get “fixed.” There won’t be other options, so they’ll embrace austerity and start bragging about how little they need to survive. The main reason will be to help their precious Millennials who were coddled in youth (participation trophies ???)
    I feel sorriest for the Gen-Xers. The rug will get pulled out from under them just before they receive any benefits for “contributing” taxes their entire working lives to this failed system. If congress is predictable, congress will ask them to contribute even more while modest cuts to beneficiaries will be implemented and additional borrowing will balloon the debt – until it suddenly is deemed too big by bond buyers. Bond yields increasing rapidly will be the canary that signals the imminent end.
    We’re all to blame for the impending failure. We weren’t vigilant enough (and still aren’t) when politicians sing the sweet siren song. We really, really want to believe them when they paint their pretty word pictures. My advice: Trust math, not politicians.
    Grover

     

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  • Tue, Apr 09, 2019 - 2:33pm

    Reply to #5

    thc0655

    Status Platinum Member (Offline)

    Joined: Apr 27 2010

    Posts: 1426

    It’s going to be like Bracken has predicted

    “Rwanda times Yugoslavia”

     

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  • Tue, Apr 09, 2019 - 4:43pm

    #9

    Stabu

    Status Bronze Member (Offline)

    Joined: Nov 07 2011

    Posts: 95

    Off Topic: Insulin Isn't Unafordable

    cmartenson wrote:

    a country that kills its children by making insulin unafordable

    While it’s true that pharma companies overcharge for medications due to monopoly or duopoly pricing and it’s condemnable, the insulin part of that story isn’t entirely true. It is true that ultra-short acting insulins like Humalog and Novolog are unafordable, but short acting insulins like Regular (brand names Humulin and Novolin) are very cheap and only costs $24.88 at Walmart per vial and one vial lasts at least a month for practically any Type 1 diabetic (hard to say about Obese Type 2s because of insulin resistance and stupid amounts of food that some of them can consume). The reason why Endos prescribe Humalog/Novolog is because it acts faster and that fast action is necessary if the person in question eats a lot of fast acting carbs like pasta, sugary soda, bread (including whole grain), cakes, rice, potatoes, french fries etc. so items that are commonly part of the Standard American Diet or SAD for short. But if you eat non-startchy vegetables, protein foods (e.g. meat) or fat, the regular insulin is way better and to boot you don’t even need a prescription for it! The dietitians and endos in general btw. recommend a high carbohydrate diet for type 1 diabetics, which is kind of like recommending a diet high in peanuts to someone with a peanut allergy.

     

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  • Tue, Apr 09, 2019 - 4:57pm

    #10

    cmartenson

    Status Platinum Member (Offline)

    Joined: Jun 07 2007

    Posts: 4479

    Insulin Appears to be Unaffordable

    Tons of stories out there like these:

    Americans are dying because they can’t afford insulin
    Living with Type 1 Diabetes When You Can’t Afford Insulin

    Jun 22, 2017 – Some doctors are uncomfortable discussing costs with patients; many patients are embarrassed to admit they can’t afford medication, and …
    Dec 4, 2018 – Study finds 1 in 4 patients can’t afford insulin. Results highlight urgent need to address affordability. It’s widely known at this point that patients …
    Dec 9, 2018 – People who need insulin for their type 1 or type 2 diabetes are skimping … said they skipped required doses because they could not afford the medication. …. Between buying food and medicine paying bills I can’t hardly afford …

    Seems to be a problem for many people…  
    …but it sounds like their problem could be, in some (many?) cases bad information from the MD, a SAD diet that’s otherwise controllable, or both.

     

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  • Tue, Apr 09, 2019 - 4:59pm

    #11
    brushhog

    brushhog

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    Joined: Oct 06 2015

    Posts: 41

    Its every man for himself

    …But I always knew that. Thats why I never paid much into social security, and I havent contributed a dime in over ten years. The natural world is a competition for resources. As those resources get scarcer, the competition gets more vicious. Those who have their hands on the control levers are going to take advantage of those that dont. Its a jungle. Things like trustworthy institutions, governments, banks, and communities are relics from another time when there was so much growth and resources available to everyone that people could afford to be that way. 
    In the new world, he who is most self sufficient and strong will get hurt the least. Those who put their trust in others outside of their own family and close friends will die with knives in their backs [ and even some will get it from their own ]. As time goes on it’s going to get more intense as the facade of civilization falls away completely. You should have a good portion of your wealth close to hand under your own protection already, and be poised to pull the rest out from those “institutions” before they take it all.
     

     

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  • Tue, Apr 09, 2019 - 5:55pm

    #12
    Uncletommy

    Uncletommy

    Status Bronze Member (Offline)

    Joined: May 03 2014

    Posts: 509

    Pensions and unaffordable insulin? Problem solved!

    Superbugs to kill ‘more than cancer’ by 2050
    https://www.bbc.com/news/health-30416844

     

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  • Tue, Apr 09, 2019 - 6:17pm

    #13

    davefairtex

    Status Diamond Member (Offline)

    Joined: Sep 03 2008

    Posts: 3084

    worse - for different reasons

    The pension issue is definitely worse for different reasons than I thought.
    Just like Siedle said, I was focused on the outflow – lavish pension grants to individuals who are gaming the pension system.  I didn’t focus on the fees, which is where the real money vanishes.
    Long ago there was the Teamsters pension fund, which Jimmy Hoffa was found guilty of having looted.  For $25 million.  It seems as though Wall Street was informed by that event – that there was a lot of money to be looted, and also, how to execute the looting in a strictly legal manner.
    https://www.nytimes.com/1964/07/27/archives/hoffa-convicted-on-use-of-funds-faces-20-years-he-and-6-others-are.html
    “little people” corruption is annoying, but it is the systemic corruption where the real looting takes place.  I just have to keep remembering that.  3% per year in “fees” – after 10 years of that, you’re talking about real money.
     

     

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  • Tue, Apr 09, 2019 - 6:23pm

    Reply to #6

    westcoastjan

    Status Bronze Member (Offline)

    Joined: Jun 04 2012

    Posts: 177

    More like this please

    People need to see your anger and emotions Chris. I have always found that for change to happen we have to ding people’s hearts first. Empathy and understanding are needed before they can be moved to a place of action.
    Keep the gloves off and keep swinging. There is not much else left that we can do!
    Jan

     

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  • Wed, Apr 10, 2019 - 8:46am

    Reply to #5

    LesPhelps

    Status Silver Member (Offline)

    Joined: Apr 30 2009

    Posts: 461

    Grover wrote:Les,I agree

    Grover wrote:

    Les,
    I agree with your sentiment; however, you need to realize SS is just a Ponzi scheme in its purest form.
    So, what will Boomers do when their government promises get reneged? You can bet that they’ll be bitching at the top of their lungs … at first. If The Fourth Turning (T4T) predictions are correct, Boomers will eventually realize that their situation has changed. The new normal won’t get “fixed.” There won’t be other options, so they’ll embrace austerity and start bragging about how little they need to survive.
    Grover

    I’m going to have to disagree with you on this Grover.
    A Ponzi scheme is perpetrated on volunteer participants.  When it’s forced on an entire country, it’s name is changed to Socalism.
    “The problem with Socialism is that eventually you run out of other peoples money.”
    – Margaret Thatcher
    Just don’t call something I’ve been forced to pay for all my life an entitlement.  It isn’t.  And, when you decide not to meet your obligations, call it theft or something honest.
    A very few baby boomers will squeek by on austerity, but many won’t.  Look around you.  There are baby boomers just getting by on the payments they receive.
    I will probably be able to cover necessities and putting food on the table.  I may, toward the end of my lifespan, struggle paying taxes and health care costs.
    Les

     

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  • Wed, Apr 10, 2019 - 10:37am

    Reply to #10

    LesPhelps

    Status Silver Member (Offline)

    Joined: Apr 30 2009

    Posts: 461

    Diabetes Risk Factors

    I find the World Health Organizatios pipublications less biased than the CDC, American Cancer Society, American Heart Association or AMA publications.  Perhaps they get less funding from US agriculture, food manufacturing and drug industries.
    Here’s a portion of their US diabetes chart, including the percent of people overweight and obese:

     

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  • Wed, Apr 10, 2019 - 11:08am

    #14

    Grover

    Status Gold Member (Offline)

    Joined: Feb 15 2011

    Posts: 691

    Same Coin. Different Sides.

    Les,
    I think you and I are mostly in violent agreement. It is socialism and it dies when the scheme runs out of other peoples’ money. Ponzi schemes do not invest the funds to grow for the inevitable promised payouts. Instead, current contributions (whether voluntary or mandatory) are used to pay dividends (or entitlements) to earlier participants. The system was designed as a socialist Ponzi scheme. It is doomed to failure.
    Eventually, the money will run out. At that point, there will be massive changes everywhere. Those who are currently ‘living large’ will have the biggest transition. As you say, many won’t be able to do so. That will be the new reality when it hits.
    We talk about planning for the future … but nobody really wants to consider the harshness that accompanies chaos.
    Grover

     

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  • Wed, Apr 10, 2019 - 1:47pm

    #15
    Uncletommy

    Uncletommy

    Status Bronze Member (Offline)

    Joined: May 03 2014

    Posts: 509

    diet affects pensions

    I post this particular address, in its complete form, as it addresses exactly how the social safety net will collapse over the coming years. Les Phelps has cogently pointed in the correct direction on subject. Dr. Lustig gives a complete and vehement explaination on how this will play out over the next decade. Worth every minute of your time to consider the reality of what he is saying.

     

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  • Wed, Apr 10, 2019 - 2:30pm

    #16

    Matt Holbert

    Status Member (Offline)

    Joined: Oct 03 2008

    Posts: 67

    Freudian Spelling Error?

    When it’s forced on an entire country, it’s name is changed to Socalism.

    Sorry, Les, I just couldn’t pass this up… : )

     

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  • Thu, Apr 11, 2019 - 2:28pm

    Reply to #15
    DennisC

    DennisC

    Status Bronze Member (Offline)

    Joined: Mar 19 2011

    Posts: 101

    Thanks for that

    Excellent video and terrific presenter, IMO; thank you for passing it along.

     

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  • Thu, Apr 11, 2019 - 4:11pm

    Reply to #15

    dabenham

    Status Member (Offline)

    Joined: Oct 29 2011

    Posts: 15

    Hacking of American Mind with Dr. Robert Lustig

    I promise to watch this diet affects pension video in near future, but happen to already be familiar with Lustig’s work/talks on the intersection of the Standard American Diet (SAD) and social networks focused on pressing our dopamine buttons, all for the detriment of our society.   Here’s an interview related to his most recent book.

     
     

     

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  • Fri, Apr 12, 2019 - 10:57am

    #17

    montani79

    Status Member (Offline)

    Joined: Jul 26 2012

    Posts: 15

    The Best Pension Plan is Children

    None of this surprises me.  Money isn’t real and never has been.  Even gold and silver are just lumps of metal, with zero intrinsic value.  I still have have and use money, of course, but only because its necessary in the current system.  We are no different than any other animal walking the planet.  We derive all of our material goods and sustenance from the resources of the earth that are available around our local environment (some of which is currently imported).  All money has ever done was induce humans to productive work and divvy up the spoils.  With the exceptions of non-perishable food stuffs, perennial plants, and the constantly decaying stock of “stuff” in the built environment, all wealth is produced and consumed the year it is made. 
    Fossil fuels have enabled us to keep the year over year amount of wealth increasing for a couple hundred years.  The cost has been depletion of stocks of every physical thing we need, and huge population overshoot.  When the conventional fields come off the bumpy plateau and unconventional oil becomes unable to cover for the accelerating decline rates, it’ll be jigs up for fiat currency.  Probaly jigs up for precious metals too, at least until after die off and a new equilibrium population is reached.
    I’m betting the only REAL sources of wealth during the collapse are going to be food and tools necessary for physical survival (garden implements, clothes, weapons, etc.).  We are going to see the truth as it has been all along: We live hand to mouth just as every other creature on this planet.  When we get too old to meet our own needs, we had better have children (or their equivalent) to care for us.

     

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  • Sat, Apr 13, 2019 - 9:02am

    Reply to #17
    DennisC

    DennisC

    Status Bronze Member (Offline)

    Joined: Mar 19 2011

    Posts: 101

    Underappreciated item, IMO

    As you mentioned, I think clothing may be an infrequently thought of item for some folks when it comes to SHTF planning.  So, my “anecdotal” suggestions are:  buying new jeans or pants you like, buy two.  Got some great, long lasting shoes that fit well; buy two pairs. Same with underwear.  If you’re like me and wear shoes (or underwear) until they almost fall apart, you might be surprised when you go to replace your favorite pair of knotted undies.  Assuming they are still available, chances are they’re made somewhere else, of poorer materials and quality, more expensive, and don’t fit as well. Bonne chance pour la suite.

     

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  • Sun, Apr 14, 2019 - 5:15pm

    #18

    Eric Kouvolo

    Status Member (Offline)

    Joined: Mar 20 2019

    Posts: 0

    Get out of your pension before it goes broke

    Great article!  Just another reason you should consider rolling your funds into an Elite Income Account before it is too late.  Not all pensions are the same, but most are underfunded based on lower than expected returns as mentioned.

     

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  • Mon, May 06, 2019 - 8:12pm

    Reply to #3
    Kgraves779

    Kgraves779

    Status Member (Offline)

    Joined: May 07 2019

    Posts: 1

    Hedge funds & fees

    When I ran a hedge fund we set it up so that we got a smaller base management fee and we didn’t get our performance fee unless the S&P 500 after all fees and expenses were paid. If we didn’t outperform the S&P 500 after everybody was paid, we got nothing! So there was enough money from the management fee to keep the operation going but nothing really in terms of profit for us. Our focus was making sure we made our clients money, and that’s the only way we really made a profit.

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