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Why The Coming Oil Crunch Will Shock The World

And why we need a new energy strategy -- fast
Friday, July 6, 2018, 7:42 PM

A responsible global society should have a credible and very publicly-stated energy strategy providing a road map for weaning itself from fossil fuels before they become prohibitively expensive/scarce.

But since we don't have one, the alternative path we're taking is to sleepwalk into the future with no plan for feeding 9 billion people or re-building a crumbled global infrastructure -- let alone facing the additional challenges of running out of critical minerals, dealing with destroyed ecosystems, and being unable to field the necessary fuel and economic complexity to install a brand-new energy infrastructure measuring in the hundreds of quadrillions of BTUs.

This business-as-usual path will be marked by the three D’s: despair, demoralization, and death. » Read more

Podcast

PeakProsperity.com

Dr. Charles Hall: The Laws Of Nature Trump Economics

It's all about Energy Return On Energy Invested (EROEI)
Monday, March 5, 2018, 1:59 PM

Dr. Charles Hall may not be a name you instantly recognize, but it should be.

Now a Professor Emeritus of the College of Environmental Science and Forestry, Dr. Hall is a rigorous researcher of energy, oil, biophysical economics -- and was a critical early pioneer in developing the key resource metric of Energy Returned On Energy Invested (EROEI).

After a life's career of looking at the world through the lens of EROEI, Hall is very concerned that, as a global society, we are hurtling towards an energy crisis that will forcefully (and likely painfully) downshift our standard of living within the lifetime of the current generation. » Read more

Podcast

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Gail Tverberg: The Coming Energy Depression

The math is straightforward, but cruel
Sunday, January 7, 2018, 4:52 PM

Energy analyst and professional actuary Gail Tverberg returns to the podcast this week to revisit the global energy outlook. And fair warning, Gail warns it's quite grim.

To her, it's a simple math problem. We have too many people placing too much demand on the world's depleting energy resources. The cost of energy is rising, which we are compensating for in the short term by using financial gimmicks to make "affordable" -- when all we're really doing is creating future promises that cannot possibly be repaid.

The increasing cost of energy is manifesting in higher prices (for everything, not just fuels) and lower real wages, a divergence she sees only worsening from here. This path leads to another Great Depression-style crisis from which she does not see a clear path out of. » Read more

Insider

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G7 Nations Agree To Phase Out Fossil Fuels

Is this news for real?
Tuesday, June 9, 2015, 11:20 AM

Yesterday saw a promising headline: at a recent G7 gathering, the leaders apparently agreed to the impossible: cutting carbon emissions by 40%-70% by 2050.  The only real way to do this, obviously, is to cut the use of fossil fuels. And that’s what they apparently agreed to do. » Read more

Insider

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Get Ready For Sky-High Taxes

As the pie shrinks, the taxman will grab for more
Tuesday, May 12, 2015, 10:39 AM

At some point in the arriving future, there’s plenty of economic pain coming either to the taxpayers when the I.O.U.s come due, or to the hopeful retirees to whom much has been promised. » Read more

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Wikimedia

When This Ends, Everybody Gets Hurt

And the end is uncomfortably close
Wednesday, January 21, 2015, 11:45 PM

Central bank credibility (as fictitious as that may be) is essential to maintaining the current narrative, BUT central banks are rapidly losing their credibility (which should have happened simply via deductive reasoning a long time ago) and the strains are showing.

Their actions are increasingly wild and extreme, and it's our view that 2015- 2016 will mark the end of this long run of overly-ambitious central bankers and over-complacent markets. » Read more

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Keep Your Eyes On The Prize

It’s always and ever about energy
Wednesday, December 31, 2014, 3:21 PM

At the essential center of the framework of the Crash Course is the almost insultingly simple idea that endless growth on a finite planet is an impossibility.

It is so simple it could be worked out by a clever 4 year-old and yet it must not be so simple because the main narrative of every economy in every corner of the globe rests on the idea of endless, infinite growth. » Read more

Insider

Anton Balazh/Shutterstock

Keep Your Eyes On The Prize

It’s always and ever about energy
Wednesday, November 19, 2014, 11:53 PM

At the essential center of the framework of the Crash Course is the almost insultingly simple idea that endless growth on a finite planet is an impossibility.

It is so simple it could be worked out by a clever 4 year-old and yet it must not be so simple because the main narrative of every economy in every corner of the globe rests on the idea of endless, infinite growth. » Read more

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What Happened to the Future?

Hopes dim as global net energy per capita declines
Tuesday, November 19, 2013, 2:15 PM

Improbably, the global economy has returned to growth over the past four years despite the ravages of a deflationary debt collapse, a punishing oil shock, ongoing constraint from debt and deleveraging, and stagnant global wages. The proof of this growth comes from the best indicator of all: the growth of global energy consumption. » Read more

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Growth is Obsolete

Society needs to realize growth does not equal prosperity
Tuesday, October 15, 2013, 8:19 PM

Despite the wishful thinking and happy-talk propaganda lighting up the media-space, we have arrived at the problematic point of the story: the end of cheap oil. The sad, stark fact is that oil is now too expensive to permit further expansion of economies and populations.  » Read more