war

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kienyke.com

Time To Choose

Will you be an agent of depletion or regeneration?
Friday, May 11, 2018, 10:13 PM

There’s a vast revolution underway. And it’s time to pick sides.

Your choice couldn't be more critically important. Quite possibly, the entire fate of the human species hangs in the balance.

It's time to decide: Will you be an agent of depletion or regeneration? » Read more

Insider

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The War In Syria Rages On

Though don't expect to hear about it from the MSM
Wednesday, May 2, 2018, 12:22 PM

After the entirely illogical FUKUS (France, UK, US) bombing of Syria’s alleged chemical facilities, you’ve probably heard very little coming out of Syria in the MSM.

The reasons are many, but one of them isn’t “Mission Accomplished.” » Read more

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What To Prepare For

The paths a confrontation with Russia is most likely to take
Friday, April 13, 2018, 7:45 PM

Executive Summary

  • Projecting the 5 most likely outcomes from the current standoff with Russia over Syria
    • Level 1: Conflict avoided
    • Level 2: Limited skirmish
    • Level 3: Escalated regional conflict
    • Level 4: War
    • Level 5: Things go nuclear
  • The truly crazy option to keep our eyes out for
  • Why preparing now is an absolute must

If you have not yet read Part 1: The War Machine Springs To Life Over Syria available free to all readers, please click here to read it first.

NOTE:  If you've not yet read our special report on how to prepare for an outbreak of war with Russia, or could use a refresher, please do so before reading further.

In that report, you'll find that “war” may mean anything from a trade war to cyber-attacks to an actual shooting war. Due to that broad spectrum of possibilities, preparing for a US/NATO war with Russia must include everything from the basics (food, water, fuel) to holding some cash out of the banks (in case they stop working for some reason), to having a modicum of physical gold and/or silver bullion handy.

Here are the base level preparations you should have in place regardless of what sort of war comes along:

  • A minimum of three months of food for your family plus others.  You decide how many others that might be.  A couple of close friends?  Half your neighborhood? 
  • Water filtration devices capable of filtering one gallon per person, per day, for three months.  You may have to buy extra devices and/or filters to accomplish this.  If you do not have access to your own water (well, nearby pond, lake or stream), then stored water sufficient to last several weeks.
  • Cash out of the bank that can cover three months of living expenses.
  • A bug out bag pre-loaded with your most valuable documents, irreplaceable pictures, medicines, weapons & ammunition, some cash and some gold/silver bullion.  As the natural disasters of late have shown, you never know when you might have to pick up and flee with little/no warning. 
  • All the basics in case of a nuclear exchange or a grid-down event that causes nuclear plants to overheat and explode as happened in Fukushima.  Dosimeters/Geiger counters, plastic sheeting, tape, and disposable coveralls and facemasks. Read our complete report on the topic here.

As for the likeliest outcomes to expect from this flare-up in Syria, we calculate them as follows... » Read more

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katehon.com

The War Machine Springs To Life Over Syria

NATO has drawn 1st blood. Will Russia respond?
Friday, April 13, 2018, 7:45 PM

The events of the past few days involving Syria, the US and Russia are highly concerning.

Currently, the US is busy readying to drop just dropped ~120 missiles on Syria to punish it for an alleged poison gas attack on its civilians. I say "alleged" because no on-the-ground investigation has been conducted.

At this point, we don't really know with confidence what was done by whom. But America's war machine is straining hard against it's chain, eager to strike. And this poison gas atrocity may just be the excuse the West needs to unleash it. » Read more

Insider

Dreamstime

Off The Cuff: The Coming Crisis Is Not Only Inevitable, It's Needed

We'll be better off for it (if we survive it)
Thursday, April 5, 2018, 11:22 PM

In this week's Off The Cuff podcast, Chris and John Rubino discuss:

  • Manipulated Markets
    • The plunge protection team is not sidelined yet
  • Manipulated Politics
    • Trade, and possibly kinetic, wars are being engineered deliberately
  • The Silver Lining Of The Next Great Financial Crisis
    • It should put us on sounder footing, if we survive it
  • Positioning To Profit From The Next Crash
    • There are asset classes and trading strategies that hold great promise

John Rubino delivers a hard-hitting rebuke of the current debt-based global fiat money regime, along with its current massive volumes of money printing, and explains why he not only predicts the system must crash, but that we'll be better off for it (should we survive it).

Click to listen to a sample of this Off the Cuff Podcast or Enroll today to access the full audio and other premium content today.
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Everything Is Suddenly Deteriorating, Fast

Is this "it?" It's sure looking like it may be.
Friday, March 30, 2018, 8:37 PM

Executive Summary

  • Geopolitical unity is fracturing as countries are forced to compete more
  • LIBOR is signaling a credit emergency in Europe
  • The market is sending signs a major war and/or a major recession may be imminent
  • The last remaining heroes for risk-on capital, the FANG stocks, are quickly becoming villains

If you have not yet read Part 1: The Future Ain't What It Used To Be, available free to all readers, please click here to read it first.

The central banks of the world have failed: colossally, completely and dangerously.  Yes, they will try to rescue the “markets” once again, as they did in 2011 and 2016 when things similarly looked to be falling apart.

The reason they might not be able to succeed this time?

They are out of maneuvering room. 

Nothing will happen if interest rates are clubbed back down a percent or two.  To do that, though, would require the same sort of lock-step coordination as prior times.  The ECB, BoJ and Fed would all have to operate seamlessly again. 

The most immediate of my concerns, even more than the tech-wreck that began a few weeks ago, is the rise in the LIBOR interest rate.  Why?  Because trouble always moves from the outside in.

Let’s do the math  With $350 trillion worth of assets tied to LIBOR, that means each 1% rise in the LIBOR rate translates into $3.5 trillion dollars of increased interest costs.

LIBOR is now at its highest rate since 2009, and it's spiking for reasons nobody can fully explain. In my mind, higher LIBOR means that there’s less trust and/or liquidity in the system.  It also means borrowing costs are heading up for... » Read more

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The Future Ain't What It Used To Be

Looks like we're in for a much rockier ride than many expect
Friday, March 30, 2018, 8:36 PM

This marks our our 10th year of doing this.  And by “this”, we mean using data, logic and reason to support the very basic conclusion that infinite growth on a finite planet is impossible. 

The only remaining question concerns how fast the adjustment happens. Will the future be defined by a "slow burn", one that steadily degrades our living standards over generations? Or will we experience a sudden series of sharp shocks that plunge the world into chaos and conflict? » Read more

Insider

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The War Drums Beat Louder

The military-industrial complex requires a foe
Wednesday, March 21, 2018, 1:43 PM

Since publishing my recent critique Russia Did It!, with all of Europe now backing the new 'dodgy dossier' episode, and Russia's ambassadors and foreign minister unable to to even have a reasonable dialog, I observe that the possibility of war between the West and Russia sadly continues to increase.  

As in 1911, there are a lot of inexplicably dumb reasons for all of this, so let's pick them apart one by one. » Read more

Insider

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How To Prepare For War (Updated)

There is much you can (and should!) do
Friday, March 16, 2018, 7:04 PM

Executive Summary

  • How to Prepare for:
    • Trade War
    • Energy War
    • Financial War
    • Cyberwar
    • Grid-down attack
    • Conventional Shooting War
    • Nuclear War

If you have not yet read Russia Did It! available free to all readers, please click here to read it first.

Note to all readers: This is an update of a report that first appeared back in June of 2016. Some of the content is identical, but much has been updated. I was going to write it all fresh, but after re-reading this I find it too relevant to re-write. The original article is here.

As a preamble, I need to note that I do not enjoy or derive any satisfaction from writing about or spending time on figuring out how to dodge the worst impacts of human behavior. War sits right at the top of my ‘BAD IDEAS’ list. War should be the very last resort after all other diplomatic efforts have failed. I am sorry that I have to spend time writing this report, and I am sorry that you have to spend time considering it.

As predicted, sadly, tensions between the west and Russia have only escalated over the past several years, not deescalated. The West has a serious bone to pick with Russia and nobody has yet been able to rationally explain to me what that might be.

I happen to think this is all about bruised neocon egos over Syria, but others think this is just military industrial business being waged in typical fashion.After all, $700 billion defense budgets need justification, don’t they?

But it really doesn’t matter what the explanation is; at this point we have to accept that geopolitical tensions are at a dangerous point and that war with Russia is a distinct possibility. As prudent adults with families to protect we have to do our best and respond appropriately.

The laundry list of things we need to consider doing is extensive.

A ‘war’ between Russia and the US/NATO could range from a very minor skirmish fought over some relatively meaningless items of trade (already underway), to an attack on financial markets, to a conventional shooting war of limited duration, all the way to an all-out nuclear exchange.

Given that wide range of possible outcomes, what can we realistically do to prepare?

Quite a lot as it turns out.

Luckily, most of the preparations are similar to those you should be undertaking anyways, war worries or not, so they won’t cost you much extra in terms of time or money.

What you end up doing depends on which sort of war you consider most likely, where you happen to live, and your means. So let’s consider the range of possibilities here... » Read more

Podcast

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The Saker: The Syrian Powderkeg

The risk of nuclear war is now concerningly high
Monday, July 10, 2017, 9:20 AM

Following up on our recent warning about the situation in Syria, Chris sits down this week for a conversation with The Saker, who writes extensively on geo-political and military matters. The Saker (a nom-de-plume), is a former intelligence expert with professional and personal insights into Russia and the Middle East.

He shares our deep concern for the dangerously misdirected current state of US foreign and military policy, as well as the potentially lethal repercussions these threaten to have in the powderkeg that is Syria.

In this week's podcast, The Saker provides an excellent distillation of the complex forces in play in Syria -- as well as in the brewing friction between the US and Russia -- and why the risk of nuclear war has now grown higher than it has been in decades. » Read more