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Tag Archives: war

  • Blog
    Black Swan Event

    Waiting For The Black Swan

    War with Iran would be the beginning of the end
    by Chris Martenson

    Friday, June 14, 2019, 2:38 PM


    Two more tankers were attacked near the Strait of Hormuz on Thursday morning  (6/13/19) in the Gulf of Oman, and if hostilities advance we could be facing a ‘black swan’ event. One that changes everything, and divides the world into ‘before’ and ‘after’ periods.

    A lot of us are waiting for ‘something’ to happen. We know that there are too many unsustainable trends and practices running and we fall into the “let’s just rip the Band-Aid off” camp.   Some, like myself, have lost faith in the political leadership and institutions and doubt they retain any capacity to attend to anything more than their own selfish interests, let alone manage the difficult tasks ahead rooted as they are in systems theory and managing complexity.

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  • Insider

    Off The Cuff: The Party’s Over

    Terrible data is finally ending our hopium addiction
    by Adam Taggart

    Monday, May 20, 2019, 10:15 AM


    In this week’s Off The Cuff podcast, Chris and Mish Shedlock discuss:

    • Next Up: A Currency War With China?
    • Recession Warning
    • A War With Iran, Too?
    • More Cracks In Europe

    The self-delusional “Everything is awesome and getting better!” narrative that has pushed markets ever higher for the past years is suddenly unravelling. The current China tariffs will undo any remaining salubrious impact of the Trump tax cuts, a global recession appears underway, and — seriously — are we about to go to war with Iran??

    Click to listen to a sample of this Off the Cuff Podcast or Enroll today to access the full audio as well as all of’s other premium content.

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  • Insider
    War with Iran

    War with Iran – The Risk is Elevated

    Are you prepared?
    by Chris Martenson

    Wednesday, May 15, 2019, 6:46 AM


    Is it really about to go down in Iran?  Is a war now coming?

    The Twitter feeds I have tracking Iran are on fire this morning.

    Looks like the Trade deal is bad enough and the Barr investigation threatening enough that the “answer” is war with Iran.

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  • Daily Digest
    Image by Tapping The World, Flickr Creative Commons

    Daily Digest 5/30 – New Global Financial Crisis Looming, Italy’s Debt Bubble Pop Heard Around The World

    by saxplayer00o1

    Wednesday, May 30, 2018, 2:49 PM

    • Study: Some public pensions funds could run dry in downturn
    • Report: Pennsylvanians carrying $33.2 billion in credit card debt
    • Venezuela warns businesses not to halt payments amid currency overhaul
    • Soros warns new global financial crisis looming
    • Why are nearly 1 in 4 Millennials still living with mom? Lack of affordable housing
    • Italy’s debt bubble pop heard around the world
    • Copper supply shock hits India as Vedanta group's Tuticorin plant ordered to close
    • Lawmakers approve $366 million sales tax bill (Louisiana)
    • Billionaire George Soros outlines his plan to save Europe
    • Knives are too sharp and filing them down is solution to soaring violent crime, judge says
    • Hepatitis A is usually not a problem to recover from. But in Michigan, 27 people died since this outbreak began.
    • With urgency, VA deploys new capabilities to fix services almost every day
    • NASA virtual exoplanet tours bureau lets anyone ‘vacation’ in space
    • Oil Is Still Going To $80
    • Scientists Are Hinting at The Existence of a Strange New Type of Particle
    • Garbage Island: An Ocean Full Of Plastic

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  • Daily Digest
    Image by Dan Zen, Flickr Creative Commons

    Daily Digest 4/28 – Terrorism Vs. Natural Disasters, Learning To Speak Shrub

    by DailyDigest

    Saturday, April 28, 2018, 3:41 PM

    • The Golden State Killer Is Tracked Through a Thicket of DNA, and Experts Shudder
    • The cost of raising a child in America has soared — it’s a price tag fit for a prince
    • Terrorism Vs. Natural Disasters: Which Costs More? Which Kills More?
    • Chris Hedges: What we can learn from the collapse of the Chaco Canyon civilisation
    • Pipeline shortage could choke North America’s oil supply with ‘serious implications for global markets’, IEA warns
    • Trump Strikes A Blow For Retirees Worried About Enviros Wallowing Out Pensions
    • Tabasco Sauce Is in a Battle For Its Very Survival
    • Learning to Speak Shrub

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  • Insider
    Olaf Naami/Shutterstock

    Everything Is Suddenly Deteriorating, Fast

    Is this "it?" It's sure looking like it may be.
    by Chris Martenson

    Saturday, March 31, 2018, 12:37 AM


    Executive Summary

    • Geopolitical unity is fracturing as countries are forced to compete more
    • LIBOR is signaling a credit emergency in Europe
    • The market is sending signs a major war and/or a major recession may be imminent
    • The last remaining heroes for risk-on capital, the FANG stocks, are quickly becoming villains

    If you have not yet read Part 1: The Future Ain't What It Used To Be, available free to all readers, please click here to read it first.

    The central banks of the world have failed: colossally, completely and dangerously.  Yes, they will try to rescue the “markets” once again, as they did in 2011 and 2016 when things similarly looked to be falling apart.

    The reason they might not be able to succeed this time?

    They are out of maneuvering room. 

    Nothing will happen if interest rates are clubbed back down a percent or two.  To do that, though, would require the same sort of lock-step coordination as prior times.  The ECB, BoJ and Fed would all have to operate seamlessly again. 

    The most immediate of my concerns, even more than the tech-wreck that began a few weeks ago, is the rise in the LIBOR interest rate.  Why?  Because trouble always moves from the outside in.

    Let’s do the math  With $350 trillion worth of assets tied to LIBOR, that means each 1% rise in the LIBOR rate translates into $3.5 trillion dollars of increased interest costs.

    LIBOR is now at its highest rate since 2009, and it's spiking for reasons nobody can fully explain. In my mind, higher LIBOR means that there’s less trust and/or liquidity in the system.  It also means borrowing costs are heading up for…

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  • Podcast

    The Saker: The Syrian Powderkeg

    The risk of nuclear war is now concerningly high
    by Adam Taggart

    Monday, July 10, 2017, 1:20 PM


    Following up on our recent warning about the situation in Syria, Chris sits down this week for a conversation with The Saker, who writes extensively on geo-political and military matters. The Saker (a nom-de-plume), is a former intelligence expert with professional and personal insights into Russia and the Middle East.

    He shares our deep concern for the dangerously misdirected current state of US foreign and military policy, as well as the potentially lethal repercussions these threaten to have in the powderkeg that is Syria.

    In this week's podcast, The Saker provides an excellent distillation of the complex forces in play in Syria — as well as in the brewing friction between the US and Russia — and why the risk of nuclear war has now grown higher than it has been in decades.

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  • Insider

    Pre-ALERT: Trump Risks War With Russia

    The Syria powderkeg threatens to explode
    by Chris Martenson

    Tuesday, June 27, 2017, 10:44 PM


    Trump has now backed his administration into a corner.  If there’s another suspected poison gas attack in Syria, he’s promised to escalate the situation by beginning bombings.

    It appears that what I feared might happen under a Clinton presidency (and I still think probably would have, anyways) is now happening under the Trump administration.

    Let me be perfectly clear: bombing Syria risks a direct confrontation with Russia.  If that happens, all bets are off. Anything could happen next, up to and including a nuclear exchange. 

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  • Blog

    The Relentless Push Towards War

    This time with North Korea. Why?
    by Chris Martenson

    Saturday, April 29, 2017, 3:53 AM


    As I’ve written extensively in the past, as was the case with Russia last fall, this push to war includes a series of carefully-crafted talking points being endlessly repeated over the print and airwaves. 

    It’s an ever-present condition of living in our manufactured reality, where what we are told to care about is beamed at us around the clock  in a rather tediously but emotionally-manipulative way on the “news.”

    Today's big ‘bogeyman’ is North Korea.  Have you wondered why?

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  • Insider
    Erik Svoboda/Shutterstock

    Off The Cuff: The Era Of Easy Money Is Over

    Debt-funded stimulus no longer yields an increase of GDP
    by Adam Taggart

    Friday, April 21, 2017, 12:44 AM


    In this week's Off The Cuff podcast, Chris and John Rubino discuss:

    • Sovereign Sabre-Rattling
      • Suddenly, the world became a lot less safe
    • Market Misdirection
      • The central planners are doing their utmost to paint a positive picture
    • The Era Of Easy Money is Over
      • Debt-funded stimulus no longer results in an increase of GDP
    • How This All Will End
      • Exploring the likely pins that will pop this "mother of all bubbles"

    Chris and John look at the disconnect between world events and stock prices and urge folks not to misled: risk is high, and getting higher. There is *no* rational reason for the current price levels in financial markets — only gobs and gobs of liquidity being force-fed into the system by the world's central banks.

    But the data is increasingly showing that the era of "easy money" we've lived under since the Great Recession has reached its inevitable terminus. Shoving more debt into the system is no longer boosting GDP. We are now simply blowing bigger asset bubbles that will monumentally destructive when they burst — as they must.

    Click to listen to a sample of this Off the Cuff Podcast or Enroll today to access the full audio and other premium content today.

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