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Tag Archives: Ukraine

  • Blog
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    Making The World A More Dangerous Place

    US foreign policy at work
    by Chris Martenson

    Saturday, November 7, 2015, 1:06 AM

    489

    Without any doubt, the Middle East has been a very long-simmering region of violent religious and tribal enmity.

    In that regard, perhaps today is no different than 1,000 years ago. But given the importance of the remaining oil in the Middle East to the next 20 years of global economic health, the violence and chaos seen there recently is hugely important to the entire world.

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  • Blog
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    Special Report: Is It Time To Prepare For War?

    Now available to all readers
    by Chris Martenson

    Thursday, March 12, 2015, 7:36 PM

    36

    This report was initially released to PeakProsperity.com's paid subscribers earlier this week. Given the significance of the subject matter and the number of request from our enrolled members to share it more widely, we're making it available to all readers here.

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  • Insider
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    How To Prepare For War

    Sounds steps today will actually make a big difference
    by Chris Martenson

    Thursday, March 12, 2015, 7:35 PM

    32

    Executive Summary

    • There's much you can do to reduce your risk in advance of the arrival of a:
      • Trade war
      • Energy war
      • Financial war
      • Cyber war
      • Grid-down sabotage
      • Shooting war
      • Nuclear war
    • The steps you should prioritze the most right now

    If you have not yet read Part 1: Is It Time To Prepare For War? available free to all readers, please click here to read it first.

    As a preamble, I need to note that I do not enjoy or derive any satisfaction from writing about or spending time on figuring out how to dodge the worst impacts of human behavior.  War sits right at the top of my ‘This is stupid’  list, as war represents the idea that all other attempts at being smart or diplomatic have already failed.  I'm sorry that I have to spend time writing this report, and I am sorry that you have to spend time considering it.  With that said, I feel I have no choice, and somebody has to take on this task.  With a heavy heart…

    If the West (meaning the US and Europe) decides to further goad Russia, war may be inevitable. Sooner or later, Russia will have to switch from 'response' mode to 'reaction' mode.  I’ve previous detailed the reasons for this in previous reports here, here and here.

    As (sadly) expected, things have only escalated over the past year, not de-escalated. The West has a serious bone to pick with Russia, yet nobody can really explain what it is or why the conflict exists. (As an aside, I think it’s just bruised neo-con egos over Syria, but it really doesn’t matter what the explanation is at this point.) So, here we are in la-la land.

    The consequences of an escalated conflict between Russia and the US/West could range from a very minor skirmish fought over some relatively meaningless items of trade, to an attack on financial markets, all the way to an all-out nuclear exchange.

    The question becomes: What, if anything, can we do to prepare?

    Lots, as it turns out.

    No matter where…

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  • Insider
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    Off The Cuff: Shades Of World War One

    A similar powderkeg of geopolitical tension haunts us today
    by Adam Taggart

    Thursday, February 12, 2015, 10:35 PM

    15

    In this week's Off the Cuff podcast, Chris and Charles Hugh Smith discuss:

    • The Seeds Of World War 3
      • Where our path in Ukraine, Syria, Afghanistan, Libya, Iraq may lead
    • Financial Conquest
      • A more bloodless form of war being waged round the world today
    • A Crisis Is Unavoidable At This Point
      • We're too far down the path of 'extend & pretend' to avoid consequences
    • Lack Of Leadership
      • Our system seems too broken to produce anymore courageous leaders
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  • Blog

    The US’ Suicidal Strategy On Ukraine

    We're alienating allies & risking a much larger war
    by Chris Martenson

    Thursday, February 12, 2015, 6:27 AM

    27

    Ukraine is back in the news cycle and for good reason. The cease-fire has broken, fighting is intensifying, and the western-supported and installed leadership in Kiev is losing the campaign.  At this point, the West's choice is to either double down and bet even more on a badly failing set of policies, or admit it has lost this round and seek to deescalate the situation.

    Meanwhile, Europe has finally woken up to the risks and seems to be ready to carve out a different path than the US. 

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  • Insider
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    America Vs Russia: What’s At Risk

    Guidance for the concerned citizen
    by Chris Martenson

    Thursday, February 12, 2015, 6:26 AM

    39

    Executive Summary

    • Ukraine's economic free fall
    • The real risk of Ukraine igniting the next world war
    • Why a lasting peace is unlikely
    • What you should do in preparation of escalating conflict between Russia and the West

    If you have not yet read Part 1: The US' Suicidal Strategy On Ukraine, available free to all readers, please click here to read it first.

    What's At Risk

    Now we come to the hard part of this report, the part where we have to discuss what might happen next.  My analogy for this period of history is the year(s) before WW I.  Historians still cannot quite say what led up to the immense human disaster that we now call World War I, but enough failed diplomacy, bugled treaties, inept leadership, and inflexible political institutions were all grating against one another that a single assassination of a single archduke was a sufficient spark to set the whole pile ablaze.

    Were those other failures not all stacked up like so much try tinder, a dozen archdukes could have been shot without anything more serious than a dozen solemn state funerals would have resulted. 

    Similarly, today we have a conflict in Ukraine which nobody can exactly say what the US's compelling interests are with Ukraine because nobody really knows.  It's more a matter of principle, with that principle being the US gets to do what it wants, when it wants, and nobody is supposed to challenge that.

    Putin said as much on Feb 7, 2015:

    “There clearly is an attempt to restrain our development with different means,” he told trade union activists. “There is an attempt to perturb the existing world order… with one incontestable leader [Obama] who wants to remain as such thinking he is allowed everything while others are only allowed what he allows and only in his interests. This world order will never suit Russia.”

    (Source)

    Clearly Russia is no pushover country and has no interest in having dangerous coups and rising ultra-nationalism on its borders go unchecked, and this is why we are in such dangerous territory.  The US has not been up against a legitimate foe for such a long time, it may be like the school yard bully that fails to properly evaluate the new kids at school before picking a fight.

    Russia is making its position known to the world.  It has been…

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  • Blog
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    The Road To War With Russia

    We're not only on it; we've already arrived
    by Chris Martenson

    Thursday, January 8, 2015, 5:09 PM

    83

    For several weeks now the anti-Russian stance in the US press has quieted down. Presumably because the political leadership has moved its attention on to other things, and the media flock has followed suit. 

    Have you read much about Ukraine and Russia recently?

    I thought not, despite the fact that there's plenty of serious action — both there as well as related activity in the US — going on that deserves our careful attention.

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  • Insider
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    Off the Cuff: A Look Across the Pond

    Europe is driving much of the action this week
    by Adam Taggart

    Thursday, September 18, 2014, 3:46 PM

    6

    In this week's Off the Cuff podcast, Chris and Alasdair Macleod discuss:

    • Independence For Scotland
      • The implications of this week's historic vote
    • Gold's Depressed Price
      • The establishment benefits from a low price
    • Europe vs Russia
      • Why the EU holds a losing hand
    • The Evils of Central Banking
      • Creating worse problems than they're supposed to solve
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  • Insider
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    Off the Cuff: Warming Up The Helicopters

    Yes, they're now talking about giving cash to citizens
    by Adam Taggart

    Tuesday, September 2, 2014, 1:58 PM

    3

    In this week's Off the Cuff podcast, Chris and Mish discuss:

    • Winter Is Coming
      • Russia's trump card
    • Europe Back In Recession
      • The EU's structural weaknesses are re-emerging
    • Bond Market Madness
      • Risk is terribly underpriced right now
    • Helicopter Drop Trial Balloon
      • Yes, they're now talking about giving cash to citizens
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  • Insider
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    The Rise Of The East

    5 billion vs 1 billion
    by Alasdair Macleod

    Wednesday, August 20, 2014, 4:05 PM

    9

    Executive Summary

    • The West is extremely vulnerable to financial and currency de-stabilisation through precious metals
    • Access to energy supplies will be the real weapon used in the battle over Ukraine (and future geo-political wars)
    • Why sanctions against Russia will not succeed
    • The East is mobilizing to become less dependent on the West

    If you have not yet read Is Part 1: Ukraine: A Perspective from Europe available free to all readers, please click here to read it first.

    Russia’s strategy towards Ukraine appears to be to ensure NATO is excluded from Ukrainian territory, the irony being that if NATO members hadn’t interfered with Ukrainian politics in the first place the current crisis would not have occurred. As it is, at a minimum she will seek to secure Donetsk and Luhansk and force the Kiev government to drop any ambitions to join the EU economic bloc.

    The fact that NATO is divided between on the one side the US and UK plus all its ex-communist members and on the other the great European welfare states, requires there to be two distinct levels of Russian strategy. They must not be confused with each other, one macro and the other micro.

    Macro-Geopolitics Linked To Gold

    At the higher level there is the geopolitical clash with the US. This is not just a matter of Ukraine, but it is rapidly becoming the Shanghai Cooperation Council versus America. The US is also embroiled in territorial disputes between its allies and China over mineral rights in the South China Sea. The Middle-East now sells more oil to China than the US, and by leaving the US sphere of influence will fall increasingly under the SCO’s spell. Presumably, America has woken up to the threat to its hegemony from the powerful alliance that is the SCO, together with the loss of Pakistan and India into that sphere of influence. It goes further: even Turkey, a long-standing NATO member, plans to defect to the SCO, apparently a personal project of Recep Erdoğan, the recently re-elected Prime Minister.

    American-initiated actions against Russia will probably be kept by Russia and the SCO in this big-picture context. It will be treated as an attack against an SCO member, speeding up integration and trade agreements designed to exclude the US dollar as a settlement medium. In this context the SCO members already appear to have agreed on the need to increase gold ownership as an undefined part-solution to replace the US dollar as the currency standard. In other words, the rush to acquire above-ground gold stocks will continue, and China through her refiners is processing and keeping increasing quantities of African-sourced gold as well as her own which would otherwise have gone to the West.

    The Russian central bank has been adding to her monetary gold reserves and officially now has more than China (though China is known to have substantial holdings of bullion not currently declared as monetary reserves). All mine output is likely to be absorbed by the State. Russia has continued to build her gold reserves at a time when it could be argued by western analysts that she needs to hold on to all her foreign currency, given the prospect of escalating sanctions. The truth is that…

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