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Tag Archives: Trump

  • Blog
    central banks

    The Phantom Mania

    There's nothing of substance underlying the current market melt-up
    by Adam Taggart

    Friday, November 22, 2019, 5:00 PM

    44

    Well, stocks are back at all-time highs. Ignited by the Fed’s “Not-QE” program and endless Trump administration teases of an “imminent” China deal, the S&P 500 has been propelled above its upward Bollinger band — a hyperextension only seen one other time since 2007.

    Every week since Not-QE was announced has seen the S&P close green (this week finally ending the streak, barely). We’re officially in a melt-up, where both good news and bad news are accepted as valid reasons to push stocks even higher.

    But what’s notable about this melt-up is that it’s missing a compelling narrative. Every past asset price mania required a feel-good mantra that convinced the masses “This time is different!”.

    But today? What’s the radically better future being promised? Where’s the party train headed to?

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  • Blog
    China trade agreement

    Did Everything Just Change?

    How material are this week's QE & China deal announcements?
    by Adam Taggart

    Friday, October 11, 2019, 7:53 PM

    23

    With this week’s twin announcements of new QE and a partial China trade agreement, the bulls are suddenly having the time of their lives.

    So, does this mean happy days have returned? Have we been rescued from the mountain data warning of an economic slowdown and lower asset prices? Does the Fed — and now China, too — have our back again?

    Is it time for investors to become optimistic once more?

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  • Blog

    Realistically, What’s Left To Power Asset Prices Higher?

    The case to short the markets continues to build
    by Adam Taggart

    Friday, September 27, 2019, 2:29 PM

    4

    Here we are again. The markets are within a few percentage points of their all-time highs, but just can’t seem to muster the momentum to break out above them.

    We saw similar conditions back in March/April and then again in July. Both times, the S&P dropped sharply after failing to remain above 3,000.

    Both situations presented profitable opportunities to short stocks.

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  • Blog

    The Hard Truth About Assets

    Why hard assets are so important given the current state of global markets
    by Chris Martenson

    Friday, August 9, 2019, 5:33 PM

    56

    If you prefer to listen to this article, read by its author Chris Martenson, click the player here below: | Download | ___________________________________________________________________________________ In this post, you’ll learn why hard assets will be more important than ever as the global economy undergoes drastic shifts. Enrolled members also have access to Part 2, Defending Against The Global…

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  • Blog

    Upcoming Webinar: End Of The Road

    The false prosperity of the past 10 years is finally revealing itself to be a dead end
    by Adam Taggart

    Friday, July 12, 2019, 11:01 AM

    3

    Register for the upcoming free webinar “End Of The Road”, airing on Thursday July 18th at 7pm ET/4pm PT, a joint production by Peak Prosperity, Jefferson Financial and Benchmark Financial Services.

    The false prosperity of the past 10 years is finally revealing itself to be a dead end.

    Which fallout implications we should we most likely expect from here? And what prudent steps should you consider taking now, to prepare before crisis arrives?

    Featured faculty for this webinar include Ted Siedle, national pension expert and recipient of the two largest-ever whistleblower settlements from the SEC and CFTC, Chris Martenson PhD, economic analyst and co-founder of PeakProsperity.com, and Brien Lundin, publisher of GoldNewsletter.com and producer of the world’s longest-running investment conference.

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  • Insider

    Off The Cuff: The Party’s Over

    Terrible data is finally ending our hopium addiction
    by Adam Taggart

    Monday, May 20, 2019, 10:15 AM

    5

    In this week’s Off The Cuff podcast, Chris and Mish Shedlock discuss:

    • Next Up: A Currency War With China?
    • Recession Warning
    • A War With Iran, Too?
    • More Cracks In Europe

    The self-delusional “Everything is awesome and getting better!” narrative that has pushed markets ever higher for the past years is suddenly unravelling. The current China tariffs will undo any remaining salubrious impact of the Trump tax cuts, a global recession appears underway, and — seriously — are we about to go to war with Iran??

    Click to listen to a sample of this Off the Cuff Podcast or Enroll today to access the full audio as well as all of PeakProsperity.com’s other premium content.

    Enroll Now
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  • Insider

    The Trade Deal Has Collapsed

    The main support propping up the markets suddenly looks very shaky
    by Chris Martenson

    Wednesday, May 8, 2019, 9:01 AM

    30

    Count me as surprised, but it seems like the China trade deal is collapsing.  Surprised because both sides, China and the US, have much to lose in this battle.

    While there’s certainly some temporary local benefit to various pockets and sectors of the economy, the fact remains that the world economy is still exhibiting signs of slowing down and anything that puts additional weight on the economy right now could be the stone that sinks the barge.

    Enroll Now
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  • Blog
    EHSToday

    The Bull(y) Rally

    Something unnatural is going on
    by Adam Taggart

    Sunday, April 14, 2019, 3:00 PM

    17

    “A bully is always a coward.”

    ~ Thomas Chandler Haliburton

    The current market rally is like a playground bully; shoving to the ground anyone in its path.

    But like all bullies, the braggadocio belies an underlying cowardice.

    Those in charge of the status quo must be absolutely terrified to resort to the unnatural lengths they are going to right now to keep the current rally intact.

    Read More »

  • Blog
    Green New Deal

    Deconstructing The Green New Deal

    Despite serious flaws, it sparks a needed conversation
    by Chris Martenson

    Tuesday, March 12, 2019, 7:28 AM

    104

    The Green New Deal (GND) is important as a starting point to have a long, long overdue conversation about energy. Specifically: How are we going to eventually transition away from fossil fuels?

    As such, the proposal — while (very) far from perfect — should not be ignored and deserves our attention. 

    It's also important because it represents the sorts of zig-zags our social and political paths are inceasingly likely to take in the coming future as we're forced to face our looming economic, ecological and energy-related predicaments.

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  • Podcast

    David Stockman: The Undrainable Swamp & The Inevitable Recession

    What the future of the post "Peak Trump" era holds
    by Adam Taggart

    Tuesday, March 5, 2019, 8:10 PM

    5

    Love it or hate it, the potency of the Trump Administration is on the wane, soon to be stuck in the mire of the Swamp it has deepend instead of drained, while the economy falls into one hell of a recession — so claims former Regan-era Cabinet member and Congressman David Stockman.

    In his new book Peak Trump, Stockman notes how the wide divergence between Trump the campaigner and Trump the president appears to be proving to be his undoing.

    Rather than fight to dismantle the institutions he railed against as a candidate — most notably the Deep State and the Federal Reserve — Trump has embraced them.

    Now, when this latest asset bubble bursts (and Stockman believes the markets saw their peak back in Fall 2018), Trump will 'own' that. Having chosen to tie his administration's success to the rising price of the S&P 500 since taking office, he won't be able to foist the blame of a market crash on his predecessors.

    Similarly, the Deep State — especially the military industrial complex — is experiencing a bonanza under the Trump administration. As a result, the Swamp is deeper than it has ever been.

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