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Tag Archives: treasury

  • Blog
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    QE 4: Folks, This Ain’t Normal

    What you need to know about the Fed's latest move
    by Chris Martenson

    Friday, December 14, 2012, 5:22 PM

    40

    Okay, the Fed's recent decision to boost its monetary stimulus (a.k.a. "money printing," "quantitative easing," or simply "QE") by another $45 billion a month to a combined $85 billion per month demonstrates an almost complete departure from what a normal person might consider sensible.

    To borrow a phrase from Joel Salatin: Folks, this ain't normal.  To this I will add …and it will end badly.

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  • Insider
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    A Couple of Bad Ideas

    Practical thinking remains in short supply
    by Chris Martenson

    Monday, December 10, 2012, 12:46 AM

    58

    This week a couple of very bad ideas were floated, one having to do with U.S. natural gas (NG) supply, and the other a proposal for how the U.S. president could avoid having to deal with the pesky debt ceiling.

    Throughout the entire unfolding of the crisis, we have all been patiently waiting (if not agitating) for reality to gain a place at the table of ideas.  Instead, we still have the usual fare of the absurd and the ridiculous, indicating that we are not quite ready yet to entertain the serious business of negotiating the various predicaments that we face.

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  • Blog
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    The Trouble with Printing Money

    QE3 reflects a colossal failure to address our predicament
    by Chris Martenson

    Tuesday, September 18, 2012, 11:04 PM

    26

    For a while now, I have been expecting a coordinated, global central bank action that would seek to print more money out of thin air, or "QE" (quantitative easing), as it is now called.  Now we have two of the most important central banks, that of the U.S. and in Europe (ECB) having committed to open-ended, limitless QE.

    In Part I of this report, we analyze the actions themselves, and then in Part II we discuss the implications to individuals and those with responsibilities to manage money.

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  • Blog

    Erik Townsend: Expect a US Price Shock as Black Swans Come Home to Roost

    by Adam Taggart

    Friday, March 2, 2012, 5:37 PM

    0

    American investor (and longtime CM.com member) Erik Townsend has spent the past several years living internationally, with an eye to which countries may be good alternatives if economic crisis and/or Peak Oil start to materially impact life in the US. 

    His main observation as an expat? Through its misguided policies, the US has been exporting inflation to the rest of the world, raising prices all over the globe (as an example, Erik cites a $57 chicken pot pie from the menu at a ‘working class’ restaurant in Australia). 

    This inflation is affecting the rest of the world harshly, but is not yet being felt in the US due to our ability to export it as the issuer of the world’s reserve currency. Our immunity will not last forever though, and when it ends, a massive upwards spike in prices is going to hit US markets.

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  • Blog

    The Real Contagion Risk

    by Chris Martenson

    Monday, October 24, 2011, 2:12 PM

    0

    Around here we like to track things from the outside in, as the initial movements at the periphery tend to give us an early warning of when things might go wrong at the center. It is always the marginal country, weakest stock in a sector, or fringe population that gives us the early warning that trouble is afoot. For example, rising food stamp utilization and poverty levels in the US indicate that economic hardship is progressing from the lower socioeconomic levels up towards the center — that is, from the outside in.

    That exact pattern is now playing out in Europe, although arguably the earliest trouble was detected with the severe weakness seen in the eastern European countries nearly two years ago. 

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  • Blog

    Paul Brodsky: The Seeds of Our Destruction Were – And Still Are – Sown in the Bond Markets

    by Adam Taggart

    Friday, October 21, 2011, 11:25 PM

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    Paul Brodsky does not trust the bond markets. That position may seem strange coming from someone who has spent most of his professional career trading bonds, but it’s precisely this insider knowledge that has led him to start directing investors to safer harbors.

    In fact, he thinks our credit system is so far out of control that it will cause a massive — and largely unavoidable, at this point — devaluation of the US dollar (and most other fiat currencies, as well).

    In our interview with Paul, we asked him to explain the reasons for his concern and to detail how he sees a bond market breakdown unfolding. At the heart of the matter is the run-up in overnight systemic repurchase agreements among banks that started in 1994, which goosed the ensuing credit-driven buying orgy in our economy and has left the system much more vulnerable to exogenous shocks as a result:

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  • Blog

    Daily Digest 5/1 – Be Careful Wishing For The Fed’s End, Qaddafi Calls For Cease-Fire Talks, Deflation Or Hyperinflation?

    by DailyDigest

    Sunday, May 1, 2011, 2:49 PM

    0
    • TIC – China’s Decreasing its Holdings 
    • Be Careful Wishing for the Fed’s End
    • Treasury and Fed Put Out Cash, Raising Fist Pumping Crowd for Ben
    • Doug Casey: Precious Metals Vs. The USD
    • Deflation or Hyperinflation?
    • Qaddafi Calls for Cease-Fire Talks
    • China’s Manufacturing Grows at Slower Pace, Survey Shows
    • TEPCO’s Updated Radiation Map

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  • Blog

    A Global Tsunami, Courtesy of the Fed

    by Chris Martenson

    Monday, April 4, 2011, 2:04 PM

    0

    The Fed is in a bind. No matter which way it turns, utter failure is a risk. Putting more money into the system risks no less than the dollar itself. Stopping quantitative easing (QE) risks plunging the economy and financial system into another period of turbulent decline. It looks like the Fed is going to choose the latter.

    In a recent report, I made the case that pressure was building on the Fed to end its QE 2 program in June, and that if it did, there would be an enormous rout in the stock, bond, and commodity markets. That analysis still stands.

    This new two-part report will analyze the many competing factors, both for and against, that will determine whether QE 2 really is the end of the Fed’s efforts at printing up a recovery, or merely the event that precedes QE 3.

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  • Blog

    Daily Digest 3/19 – Courage Of The Fukishima 50, The “Permanent Bull Market”, New Ways To Store Nuclear Waste

    by DailyDigest

    Saturday, March 19, 2011, 2:46 PM

    0
    • Courage of the Fukushima Fifty: This Is Suicide, Admit Workers Trying To Avert A Catastrophe
    • TEPCO Director Weeps After Disclosing Truth About Fukushima Disaster
    • Japan Quake Shakes U.S. Treasury Bond Market Get Ready for Financial Meltdown
    • Volatility and the “Permanent Bull Market”
    • Quake Response Puts Yen on the Line
    • Yentervention – G7 Style 
    • Nothing Left To Steal
    • The F-35: A Weapon That Costs More Than Australia
    • Japan’s Fearless Women Speculators
    • New Process Cleanly Extracts Oil From Tar Sands And Fouled Beaches
    • Nuclear Waste: From Bombs to $800 Handbags

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  • Blog

    Daily Digest 1/24 – Ireland Government Crumbles, Silver is the New Gold, Heating Oil Rises on Cold Weather Forecast

    by DailyDigest

    Monday, January 24, 2011, 4:00 PM

    0
    • Ireland Government Crumbles As Green Party Pulls Out Of Ruling Coalition
    • Mauldin: The Unsustainable Meets the Irresistible
    • Conserving Doomed Systems (Or, Why We’re Staying On The Titanic)
    • Silver Is The New Gold
    • U.S. Jobs Outlook Rises to Decade High, Survey Says
    • Heating Oil Rises on Cold Weather Forecast for U.S. Northeast
    • Citi Warrant Sale On Tap for Treasury

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