Tag Archives: Trade war

  • Daily Digest
    Image by frankdouwes, Flickr Creative Commons

    Daily Digest 7/6 – Good News Friday: How To Rewild Yourself, Now Is The Time To Buy Gold

    by DailyDigest

    Friday, July 6, 2018, 3:25 PM

    • My advice after a year without tech: rewild yourself
    • “Find your passion” is bad advice, say Yale and Stanford psychologists
    • Combining Antibiotis May Stave Off Future Superbugs
    • Precious Metals Price Outlook: Buy Now
    • As The Currency Reset Begins – Get Gold As It Is “Where The Whole World Is Heading”
    • The Strange Brain of the World’s Greatest Solo Climber
    • Why Millennials Should Invest In Agriculture
    • The Nature Conservancy: 2018 Photo Contest Winners

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  • Insider

    Off The Cuff: Hall Of Mirrors

    Our media is so distorted, where can you find truth?
    by Adam Taggart

    Friday, May 4, 2018, 2:39 PM


    In this week's Off The Cuff podcast, Chris and James Howard Kunstler discuss a whole slew of topics I don't have time to summarize, as our 2018 seminar starts in an hour.


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  • Insider

    Off The Cuff: A Dependable Crash Indicator Is Now Flashing

    RV sales are signalling signs of a blow-off top
    by Adam Taggart

    Friday, August 4, 2017, 2:36 AM


    In this week's Off The Cuff podcast, Chris and John Rubino discuss:

    • Trade Wars
      • Suddenly arising with Russia and China
    • Modern Monetary Theory
      • A delusion that dates back to the days of John Law
    • A Great Crash Indicator
      • RV sales are sending a warning sign
    • Risky Real Estate
      • Private equity will sell fast when times get bad

    Chris and John discuss the looming trade wars with Russia and China, the long-term implications of the worldwide credit binge, and the indicators that will presage a systemic correction. John shares his assessment of one of his most trusted crash indicators, RV sales:

    This is a typical cycle for RVs. It’s a big toy and people are cocky now because they’ve been working for a little while. They have extremely easy credit. Interest rates are incredibly low. If you’ve got a decent credit score you can buy an RV for 2 or 3% interest and a lot of people are taking advantage of that, just as they spent the last three or four years taking advantage of incredibly cheap car loan terms, and running, basically, an auto sales bubble. They’ve kind of shifted to RVs now, which is yet another sign that the cycle is nearing an end.

    This "recovery" is 8 years old now. The typical recovery is 6 years. So we already have an expansion that’s a couple of years longer than normal. It’s actually the third longest since World War II. Which means that, everything else being equal, we should be pretty close to the end of this cycle and ready for a downturn. And now you’ve got indicators like RV sales going just parabolic, indicating that, at least in that little section of the market, money is incredibly easy and buyers are euphoric. And that’s also a sign that things are nearing the end. There are lots of other signs, but that’s one.

    Every time there’s a bubble in an asset class, there’s always a new reason for it that appears to explain it. But historically the explanation never holds. The cycle still reasserts itself at some point. And things go back to normal. And I suspect that’ll be the case with RVs at some point.

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  • Insider
    The Library of Congress | flickr Creative Commons

    Off the Cuff: Beggar Thy Neighbor

    What happens to world currencies when everyone prints money?
    by Adam Taggart

    Thursday, September 20, 2012, 11:17 PM


    In this week's Off the Cuff with Mish & Chris podcast, Mish and Chris discuss:

    • Asian saber-rattling
      • How serious is it?
    • From here to QE-ternity
      • And wither the dollar from here?
    • Leading indicators lose steam
      • The economy is slowing further.
    • Intervention in oil prices?
      • Recent trades look fishy.

    Where to start this week?


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  • Blog

    Daily Digest 1/13 – US, China Accused of Currency Manipulation, Budget Battles, France Worried About Global Food Prices

    by DailyDigest

    Thursday, January 13, 2011, 4:00 PM

    • Brazil Accuses US, China of Currency Manipulation, Looming Trade War
    • Merk Commentary: Budget Battles Ahead
    • Wildlife Wednesday – The Portu-Goose!
    • Fed’s Kocherlakota: Not Yet Time For Fed’s Exit Strategy
    • France Says Concerned By Surging Global Food Prices
    • US Mint Bullion Product Revenue Rises 68.5% to Record $2.8 Billion
    • Fed Bid to Limit Rescission Rights Sparks Consumer Outrage

    Crash Course DVDInsightful analysis on the Three E’s. Take home a Special Edition DVD today. (NTSC or PAL)

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  • Blog

    Daily Digest – Feb 4

    by Davos

    Wednesday, February 4, 2009, 1:14 AM

    • IBM Offers To Move Laid Off Workers To India
    • President Obama to water down ‘Buy American’ plan after EU trade war threat 
    • California Pension Funds Close To Bankruptcy
    • California issues IOUs instead of cheques
    • Hundreds line up for days for Miami firefighter positions 
    • U.S. Property Owners Lost $3.3 Trillion in Home Value 
    • Ford US sales plunge 40 pct., Toyota down 32 pct.
    • GM (GM) January Sales: Odds Of Chapter 11 Go Way Up
    • Chart, Auto Sales
    • Chart, US Vehicle Sales
    • Chart, New Home Sales
    • Pending Home Sales… Foreclosure Boom (Chart in article)
    • Chart, Homeowner Vacancy Rate
    • U.S. Home Ownership Rate Falls to 7-Year Low 
    • Funny Colbert Report Video 
    • U.S. Dollar 
    • Treasury to Outline Bank Plan Next Week 
    • The Economy and the Future of Health Care (Hat Tip Christopher Peters) 

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