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Tag Archives: shale oil

  • Insider

    Off The Cuff: The Destruction Of Coherent Ideas

    How can our society expect to solve its problems if it can't even talk about them?
    by Adam Taggart

    Tuesday, July 30, 2019, 12:01 PM

    14

    In this week’s Off The Cuff podcast, Chris and James Howard Kunstler discuss:

    • The Shale Oil Booby-Trap
      • Fake prosperity that will tank the markets when it ends
    • Could The US Government Nationalize The Oil Industry?
      • It very well could
    • The Destruction Of Coherent Ideas
      • To fail to plan is to plan to fail
    • What Are We Willing To Give Up?
      • A better future depends on abandoning some of our self-destructive luxuries

    In this week’s podcast, Chris and Jim tackle a wide range of issues — from shale oil, to Jeffrey Epstein, wokesterdom, the financial bubble, social malaise, and the future of society. One deficit particularly concerning to Jim is our culture’s inability to have coherent discourse.

    If we can’t engage in understanding and intelligently debating with one another, how will we ever devise effective solutions to the many challenges we face?

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  • Insider
    Richard Heinberg

    Off The Cuff: Why Drilling US Oil Isn’t Profitable

    Oil field service costs always escalate faster than oil's price
    by Adam Taggart

    Thursday, July 18, 2019, 9:47 AM

    6

    In this week’s Off The Cuff podcast, Chris and Art Berman discuss:

    • Shale Oil’s Chronic Profit Drought
      • Nearly all companies are cash-flow negative
    • Why Drilling US Oil Isn’t Profitable
      • Oil service costs eat your lunch
    • Why Drillers Can’t Stop Drilling
      • They need cash to service their debts
    • Shale Oil Is A Business Model With No Future
      • When credit tightens, the whole industry will implode

    Right now, the US is still producing a record amount of oil, due mostly to shale fields developed within the past decade. But that bonanza won’t last — it can’t last — explains petroleum geologist Art Berman. Nearly every shale driller has been and will remain to be unprofitable. The nature of shale wells and the nature of oil service costs will ensure that.

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  • Blog

    Bizarro World: The Herd Has Truly Gone Mad

    You're not crazy. The world we now live in is.
    by Adam Taggart

    Friday, July 5, 2019, 4:02 PM

    28

    Men, it has been well said, think in herds; it will be seen that they go mad in herds, while they only recover their senses slowly, and one by one. ~ Charles Mackay (1841) Like me, you may often feel gobsmacked when looking at the world around you. How did things get so screwed up?…

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  • Insider

    Off The Cuff: The Earth’s Lament

    We pollute & deplete, but for no real gain
    by Adam Taggart

    Thursday, June 6, 2019, 8:12 AM

    10

    In this week’s Off The Cuff podcast, Chris discusses:

    • We’re Polluting & Depleting, For No Real Gain
    • Why Shale Oil Reflects Our Wrongheadedness
    • Time Is Fast Running Out Before The Real Consequences Arrive
    • But There Are Many Ways To Do Things Better

    This week Chris looks at the big picture: the planet’s resources and humanity’s mad dash to consume them. We are depleting millions-year-old treasures — which will never renew in our species’ future — while leaving poison and pollution behind in the effort.

    Even if we only prioritize the well-being of those currently alive (screw those pesky future generations!), time is running out on us. Our current trajectory is having increasing negative repercussions, which will only intensify over the coming decades.

    The silver lining to this is that we *can* be doing things better. We already have plenty of models for living regernatively. We just need to embrace them. But will we?

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  • Insider
    Shutterstock

    Off The Cuff: Twilight In The Desert Has Begun

    An oil engineer's dark take on the Ghawar oil field decline
    by Adam Taggart

    Tuesday, April 9, 2019, 4:45 PM

    6

    In this week's Off The Cuff podcast, Chris and Art Berman discuss:

    • Is the Ghawar oil field truly in decline?
    • If so, what are the implications?
    • What other important revelations does the Saudi Aramco prospectus contain?

    In the light of the huge surprise contained in the recent Saudi Aramco prospectus, that Saudi Arabia's massive Ghawar “crown jewel” conventional oil field is in decline (currently at a maximum output of 3.8 million barrels per day vs the previous estimate of 5.8mbd), we rushed to interview seasoned petroleum geologist Art Berman on the news.

    Is he as concerned about the revelation as we are?

    Yes. In fact, he suspects the 3.8mbd is likely still an overly-exagerrated figure, and that the field's true max output is even lower.

    In his estimation, the fiction the world has been telling itself — that Peak Oil isn't real — is about to be rudely disproven. The recent (and much more expensive) shale bonanza will prove to be a short-lived distraction, and we'll soon be face-to-face with the predicament of how to power the global economy with less net energy.

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  • Insider

    Huge News: The Ghawar Is In Decline!

    The world's most productive oil field just shocked analysts
    by Chris Martenson

    Tuesday, April 2, 2019, 4:39 PM

    43

    Really big news hit this morning. And today is April 2nd, so we can't dismiss this as an April-fools prank.

    I explain it all with context below. But the summary is this: we're well on track for the oil supply shortage(s) and price spike(s) that I’ve been writing about for the past few years. It will all hit sometime between now and 2022 is my latest projected timeframe.

    This will be a before-and-after story. Before the coming price spikes, so much seemed possible. After they hit, so much less will be. The transition from Easy to Hard is now fully underwaym and you need to be eyes wide open about the data.

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  • Podcast

    Bethany McLean: Saudi America

    The truth about fracking & how it's changing the world
    by Adam Taggart

    Friday, March 1, 2019, 1:37 PM

    6

    For years now we've been covering the false promise of the American shale oil “miracle”.

    Yes, it has extracted a lot more oil out of American soil that most thought possible. But at an economic loss. And at great environmental cost.

    If the shale drilling companies can't make any profit, either when oil prices are high or low — why are we still pursuing shale deposits so aggressively?

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  • Blog

    A Survival Guide For 2019

    How to safely navigate the 'Year Of Instability'
    by Adam Taggart

    Friday, February 1, 2019, 3:24 PM

    40

    With the bursting of the Everything Bubble, we declared last year as the 'Year Everything Changed'. This will be the 'Year of Instability', possibly preceding an upcoming 'Year Of Woe' in 2020.

    But look, we're not saying the world is the process of ending imminently. It's just that we've entered the part of the timeline when things are going to start to get really rocky.

    And we think it's much more useful to think of 2019 as the 'Year Resilience Matters'. It shifts the focus away from fear and instead towards the many things you can do to protect yourself and those you care about – and even to position yourself to prosper through the coming challenges.

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  • Podcast

    Art Berman: Exposing The False Promise Of Shale Oil

    Estimates of recoverable oil are proving wildly wrong
    by Adam Taggart

    Wednesday, January 16, 2019, 10:44 AM

    17

    Art Berman, geological consultant with over 37 years experience in petroleum exploration and production, returns to the podcast this week to debunk much of the hopium currently surrounding America’s shale oil output.

    Because the US is pinning huge hopes on its shale oil “revolution”, so much depends on that story being right. Here’s the narrative right now:

    • The US, is the new Saudi Arabia
    • It’s the swing producer when it comes to influencing the price of oil
    • The US will be able to increase oil production for decades to come
    • New technology is unlocking more oil shale supply all the time

    But what if there’s evidence that runs counter to all of that?

    We’re going to be taking a little victory lap on this week’s podcast because The Wall Street Journal has finally admitted that shale oil wells are not producing as much as the companies operating them touted they would produce — which is what we’ve been saying for years here at PeakProsperity.com, largely because we closely follow Art’s work.

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  • Blog
    Shutterstock

    The Shale Oil Revolution Actually Reflects a Nation in Decline

    Faster consumption + no strategy = diminished prospects
    by Chris Martenson

    Friday, January 11, 2019, 4:48 PM

    11

    For several decades now the US has been getting its energy policy very badly wrong.  It's so short-sighted, and rely so heavily on techno-optimism, that it barely deserves to be called a 'policy' at all. 

    Which is why we predict that in the not-too-distant future, this failure to plan will attack like a hungry wolfpack to bite down hard on the US economy’s hamstrings and drag it to the ground.

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