Tag Archives: market crash

So, did the nauseating last few months of 2018 signal the end of the secular bull market? Or is the rebound that kicked-off 2019 a sign that the uptrend is still intact? Or it is just a dead-cat bounce?

Lance Roberts, chief investment strategist and chief editor of Real Investment Advice, returns to the podcast with fresh data that suggests the bear market that emerged late last year is still in play.

Of greater concern to him, though, is where things are headed from here.

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Are we in a repeat of the global financial meltdown and recession of 2008-09? The sharp drop in equities is certainly reminiscent of 2008. Indeed, the December decline is the worst in a decade. Or are we entering a different kind of recession, the equivalent of uncharted waters?

And if we are entering a recession, what can central banks and governments do to ease the financial pain and damage? We can’t be sure of much, but we can be relatively confident central banks and states will respond to the cries to “do something.”  This poses two questions: what actions can central banks/states take, and will those policies work or will they backfire and make the recession worse?

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• Parks chief warns of 'massive cuts, huge layoffs' as soon as 2020 (Chicago)
• No more excuses. Fix Pa. pension funds | Editorial
• Who’s Going to Pay for LA’s Unsustainable Pension Plans?
• ECB Official Warns QE Exit Could Spell Trouble for Italy's Debt
• U.S. recession chances edge up, risk Fed delivers fewer hikes: Reuters poll
• BOJ's Kuroda rules out early end of negative rate policy (Japan)
• Unthinkable?
• Bitcoin-Rigging Criminal Probe Focused on Tie to Tether
• NY BitLicense Approval, Blockchain for Energy Commodities, CFTC Enforcement, Advertising Use Cases and More

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Both the pension and health care crises are infuriating and self-inflicted wounds.

We could have avoided them by making wiser choices in the past. We didn’t. We could limit their damage by making better choices today. We almost assuredly won’t.

Anybody who studies the system and its math comes to the same conclusion: the corporations have all the power and they are misusing it for private gain.

An easy prediction to make is that this simmering anger of the populace is going to start boiling over more violently in the coming years. Welcome to the Age of Fury.

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If you have not yet registered for the Dangerous Markets webinar, which will take place at noon EST this Wednesday Sep 13th, time is quickly running out.

Chris and I are extremely excited for this one, as the featured presenters — Grant Williams and Lance Roberts — are two of our favorite market analysts. Both have done truly excellent work recently in identifying the key indicators to track as the current Mother Of All Financial Bubbles tops out and prepares to burst. This will be a very data-rich discussion (in other words, you chart geeks are going to be in heaven).

The price to participate in this webinar is $25, unless you are an enrolled member of PeakProsperity.com (i.e. paying subscriber with access to our ‘Insider’ content). In that case, it’s FREE.

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Believe it or not, the rock band Van Halen found a brilliant way to teach how having good indicators is key to achieving success.

This is extremely true for the world of investing, where you’re deploying capital based upon an expected future return. How do you determine when it’s a good time to enter into an investment? Once in it, how do monitor the conditions supporting your rationale for holding it — are those changing? And if so, are they getting better or worse? When should you exit the position?

For all of these questions, the better the indicators you use, the more accurate and informed your decision-making will be. And the better your returns as an investor will be.

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When it comes, change happens swiftly. And life after — for better or worse — is forever different.

I've witnessed this time and time again since co-founding Peak Prosperity. And pretty much every time, I notice that the vast majority of people — including many of the the watchful and preparation-minded folks who read this site — are caught by surprise.

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The world is edging closer to the final moments after which everything will be forever changed.

Grand delusions, perpetuated over decades, will finally hit the limits of reality and collapse in on themselves.

We’re over-budget and have eaten deeply into the principal balances of all of our main trust accounts. We are ecologically overdrawn, financially insolvent, monetarily out past the Twilight Zone, consuming fossil fuels (as in literally eating them), and adding 80,000,000 net souls to the planet’s surface — each year! — without regard to the consequences.

Someday there will be hell to pay financially, economically, and ecologically as there simply isn’t any way to maintain these overdrafts forever. Reality does not renegotiate. Its deal terms aren't compromisable.

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Like an old vinyl record with a well-worn groove, the needle skipping merrily back to the same track over and over again, we repeat: Today's markets are dangerously overpriced.

Strange as it may sound, it's our opinion that the sooner a major market correction happens, the better. Crash now while there’s still chance of picking up the pieces afterwards and making something useful from them. The longer we push off the inevitable fall, the more destructive it will be and the more difficult it will be to recover from.

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