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Tag Archives: Jerome Powell

  • Blog

    Bubbles Are Brutal

    Nothing makes sense in their late stages
    by Chris Martenson

    Friday, December 13, 2019, 4:27 PM

    13

    Asset bubbles are brutal.

    The most difficult time to remain centered and focused is during their last stages as everyone around you is going nuts. Logic has been tossed out the window, sentiment is manic, and every narrative – the stories we hear and use to make sense of our world – is thoroughly ungrounded.

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  • Insider

    Why The Risk Of A Correction Is So High Right Now

    Prices have already vastly front-run the new wave of liquidity
    by Chris Martenson

    Friday, November 15, 2019, 3:31 PM

    6

    Executive Summary

    • How our driven pursuit of “growth” is putting the entire system at risk
    • Why those running the system do NOT have our interests in mind
    • Why a correction risk is so high right now
    • Why our odds keep getting worse

    If you have not yet read Part 1: The Federal Reserve Is Directly Monetizing US Debt , available free to all readers, please click here to read it first.

    My main message here in Part 2 is to show you why, from my vantage point of following the economy and financial markets daily, things are serious right now.

    I trust actions over words; and the Fed’s actions are consistent with a big problem happening somewhere deep in the shadow banking system.

    Further, all of the global macro data I track closely is screaming that a slowdown is here.

    On top of that, investor confidence in the Fed’s ability to push market prices ever higher is dangerously overextended.

    Stock gains have zoomed way ahead of the Fed’s recent excess liquidity, as this chart shows… (Enroll now to continue reading)

     

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  • Blog

    The Federal Reserve Is Directly Monetizing US Debt

    In a very real way, MMT is already here
    by Chris Martenson

    Friday, November 15, 2019, 3:30 PM

    27

    The Federal Reserve is now directly monetizing US federal debt.

    Sure, it’s not admitting to this. And it’s using several technical jinks and jives to offer a pretense that things are otherwise.

    But it’s not terribly difficult to predict what’s going to happen next: the Federal Reserve will drop the secrecy and start buying US debt openly.

    At a time, mind you, when US fiscal deficits are exploding and foreign buyers are heading for the exits.

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  • Blog

    The Fed Is Lying To Us

    "When it becomes serious, you have to lie"
    by Chris Martenson

    Friday, October 18, 2019, 4:23 PM

    73

    The recent statements from the Federal Reserve and the other major world central banks (the ECB, BoJ, BoE and PBoC) are alarming because their actions are completely out of alignment with what they’re telling us.

    Their words seek to soothe us that “everything’s fine” and the global economy is doing quite well. But their behavior reflects a desperate anxiety.

    Put more frankly; we’re being lied to.

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  • Insider

    Off The Cuff: Not-QE & Negative Interest Rates

    (Attempting) to make sense of the bizarro new normal
    by Adam Taggart

    Tuesday, October 15, 2019, 11:30 PM

    9

    In this week’s Off The Cuff podcast, Chris and John Rubino discuss:

    • Deconstructing the Fed’s new Not-QE program
    • What would life under negative US interest rates look like?
    • How the rich are using hard assets to protect their wealth
    • Life strategies for a low-energy future

    So much ground to cover… John Rubino returns this week to discuss the recent Not-QE program announced by the Fed. What exactly will it be? And why is the Fed implementing it now?

    Click to listen to a sample of this Off the Cuff Podcast or Enroll today to access the full audio as well as all of PeakProsperity.com’s other premium content.

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  • Blog
    China trade agreement

    Did Everything Just Change?

    How material are this week's QE & China deal announcements?
    by Adam Taggart

    Friday, October 11, 2019, 7:53 PM

    23

    With this week’s twin announcements of new QE and a partial China trade agreement, the bulls are suddenly having the time of their lives.

    So, does this mean happy days have returned? Have we been rescued from the mountain data warning of an economic slowdown and lower asset prices? Does the Fed — and now China, too — have our back again?

    Is it time for investors to become optimistic once more?

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  • Blog

    Overdosing On Crazy Pills

    If you think everything's OK, you're nuts
    by Chris Martenson

    Friday, July 26, 2019, 3:49 PM

    82

    If you prefer to listen to this article, read by its author Chris Martenson, click the player here below: ___________________________________________________________________________________ Sometimes an otherwise-forgettable movie will be lifted up out of obscurity by the internet and made into a useful meme. In the movie Zoolander Will Ferrell’s character, ‘Jacobim Mugatu,’ screams the line “I feel like…

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  • Insider
    Federal Reserve

    Off The Cuff: Decoding This Week’s Fed Minutes

    Could the US really eventually see negative interest rates?
    by Adam Taggart

    Friday, June 21, 2019, 2:24 PM

    0

    In this week’s Off The Cuff podcast, Chris and Axel Merk discuss:

    • Decoding The Fed’s Latest Commentary
      • Cuts are coming = expect more bad news on the economy
    • The Uncertainty Principle
      • By reacting, the Fed may be creating the conditions it wants to avoid
    • Gold Looking Good
      • Lower real rates will push the gold price higher
    • How Low Will Interest Rates Go?
      • Could the US really go negative?

    This week  both the ECB and the Federal Reserve gave the market the soothing words it wanted to hear: any weakness will be met with rate cuts. And perhaps revived asset purchase programs.

    Is this really wise with interest rates already so low and a global recession unfolding? And how low, really, is the Fed prepared to go with US interest rates? Axel, who maintains a dialog with Fed insiders, does his best in this week’s podcast to decode what Mario Draghi and Jerome Powell are planning.

    Click to listen to a sample of this Off the Cuff Podcast or Enroll today to access the full audio as well as all of PeakProsperity.com’s other premium content.

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  • Blog

    Hair-Trigger Markets

    Bull market liftoff? Or bear rally rollover?
    by Adam Taggart

    Saturday, March 16, 2019, 10:33 PM

    4

    The market looks very much paused at the brink of a breakout here. The question is: up or down?

    The bulls are expecting a sharp rebound in GDP from Q1, which they claim was artificially low due the government shutdown. They point to 2018's solid 3% economic growth, claiming the US is humming along fine and about to get a shot of adrenaline once America and China announce an end to their trade war. In their eyes, the S&P is poised to rocket higher once it punches vigorously above 2820.

    The bears see a topping out of a classic bear market rally, one that has been propelled by no convincing fundamentals — only central bank jawboning/easing and continued massive buyback programs (plus this week's rare Quad Witch options expiration). They see an extremely overbought market, with stocks ready to break down to new lows for the year.

    Which way will thing break?

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  • Blog
    Peak Prosperity

    VIDEO: The Fed Stooges

    Laughing (and crying) at the recent '60 Minutes' interview
    by Adam Taggart

    Tuesday, March 12, 2019, 6:39 PM

    2

    On Sunday night, 60 Minutes treated the American public to a sit-down interview with the current Federal Reserve chairman and his two immediate predecessors.

    Hilarity ensued.

    Not really…unless you enjoy gallows humor.

    In the below video, Chris explains why this relatively gentle puff-piece assisting the Fed's hawking of its “All is well!” message is an intentional soporific, designed to keep the populace slumbering in ignorance of the extreme danger reckless central bank monetary policy has placed society in.

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