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Tag Archives: Japan

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    Off the Cuff: Capital Is Sloshing Recklessly Around the World

    Moving prices out of whack more than anything else
    by Adam Taggart

    Thursday, February 27, 2014, 7:38 PM

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    In this week's Off the Cuff podcast, Chris and Brian discuss:

    • The Sloshing Tsunami of Global Capital
      • It's pushing prices around more than any other factor
    • Concerning Correlations
      • Markets are too correlated for their own safety righ tnow
    • The Wisdom of Playing it Safe
      • At its most valuable when it's hardest to practices
    • How The Next Market Break May Differ From 2008
      • Not enough suckers left?
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    Teresa N. Fischer

    The Stock Market’s Shaky Foundation

    Crumbling fundamentals in both the short term & long
    by Chris Martenson

    Thursday, February 27, 2014, 12:21 AM

    58

    According to the stock markets in the US and in Europe, the world’s economy is not just in good shape, but is in the best shape it’s ever been

    The S&P 500 hit an intraday new record high of 1858.71 on Feb 24, 2014, and is now 18.6% above the peak it hit in 2007, a moment everybody now recognizes was heavily overvalued.

    A nearly 19% gain above the prior all time high is an enormous and unusual event.  Surely there must be an equally compelling story and loads of fundamental data to support such a bull market?

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    Off The Cuff: The Costs of Unintended Consequences

    Always higher than the benefits of central planning
    by Adam Taggart

    Thursday, February 13, 2014, 4:37 PM

    11

    In this week's Off the Cuff podcast, Chris and Charles discuss:

    • The De-Legitimization of Markets
      • Central planning meddling is killing faith in price discovery
    • Japan As A Petri Dish
      • Will be the first to enter the endgame
    • The Financial Elites Are Taking All The Chips
      • It pays to be rich these days
    • The Costs of Unintended Consequences
      • Central planning always costs more than it's gains

     

     

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    Fukushima’s Legacy: Understanding the Difference Between Nuclear Radiation & Contamination

    It's very important
    by Chris Martenson

    Tuesday, February 11, 2014, 2:55 PM

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    Are fish from the Pacific safe to eat?  What about the elevated background radiation readings detected in Japan, and recently, in California? Are these harmful levels?

    Should we be worried? And if so, what should be done about these potential health threats? What steps should we take to protect ourselves?

    As many of you know, I'm a scientist by training. In this report, I'll lay out the facts and data that explain the actual risks. I'll start by pointing out that Fukushima-related fears have been overblown as well as heavily downplayed by parties on each side of the discussion

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    The Unraveling Continues

    Time to buckle up
    by Chris Martenson

    Tuesday, February 4, 2014, 12:03 AM

    7

    The U.S. stock markets had a bad day, as did Japan's and Europe's. Of course, the whole world is linked now, so that's no surprise.

    As goes one, so go the others.

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    Off the Cuff: Trend Reversal?

    The New Year begins with a stark break from the old
    by Adam Taggart

    Friday, January 3, 2014, 3:35 PM

    7

    In this week's Off the Cuff podcast, Chris and Mish discuss:

    • Trend Reversal?
      • The New Year starts with a surprise
    • 6 Years of Extreme Global Monetary Intervention
      • With more to come?
    • Big Trouble Brewing in Asia
      • Don't bet on East eclipsing West anytime soon
    • Middle-Class Squeeze
      • Getting even tighter in the future
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    Off the Cuff: Look Locally for Reasons to Hope

    That's where productive change is happening
    by Adam Taggart

    Thursday, November 28, 2013, 7:22 PM

    17

    In this week's Off the Cuff podcast, Chris and Gregor discuss:

    • Unjust Wealth Inequality
      • Growing by money printing vs productive output
    • The Evils of Reflationary Policy
      • Stealing from the many to reward the few
    • Our Low-Growth Future
      • Less to go around
    • Local Solutions
      • Where hope lies
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    Why Social & Environmental Imbalances Are Becoming the Biggest Risks

    As the story becomes more desperate
    by Gregor Macdonald

    Tuesday, November 19, 2013, 6:14 PM

    15

    Executive Summary

    • The growing risk of disinflation
    • Why instability in the U.S. is accelerating
    • The danger of social rifts emerging in the near future between economic classes
    • Why environmental constraints and social instability may trump energy issues going forward

    If you have not yet read What Happened to the Future?, available free to all readers, please click here to read it first.

    If this is the case, it echoes the realization now dawning on economists in the U.S. that an acceleration in the economy, which many expected, is simply not going to arrive. As was discussed in previous essays, OECD GDP growth appears to be converging once again at a level below 2.00%. The U.S. is on track to achieve only 1.6% GDP growth this year. This is a primary reason why inflation, again outside of natural resources has still not broken out, or even appeared. Moreover, the U.S. and the OECD could once again be on the verge of disinflation.

    One notable and important piece of the disinflation puzzle is the continued growth in inequality. As income growth narrows to a tiny vanishing point among workers, it’s become increasingly difficult to mount economic growth across many industries. Demand for goods from the 1% is robust. Demand from the rest of the populace continues to dwindle. It may be hard to believe, but policy makers, politicians, and gasp! even economists and financiers used to be deeply concerned about wealth inequality. Today, it’s as if enough time has passed for an entire generation to forget the destructive structural damage that long-term inequality can wreak on an economy.

    For those of you who remember, one of the more severe cases of wealth inequality for many decades was the country of Brazil. Tellingly, it was not until Brazil elected a reformer, Lula, that the country left behind its days of boom-and-bust, debt crises, inflation, and general instability and embarked on its current path as a more balanced, sustainable economy. Coincidence? Not likely.

    But what’s really scary is…

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    Off the Cuff: Playing a Bad Hand

    The game is rigged & the deck is stacked
    by Adam Taggart

    Thursday, September 12, 2013, 4:04 PM

    3

    In this week's Off the Cuff podcast, Chris and Mish discuss:

    • Sanity on Syria?
      • The rush to war may be slowing down
    • Markets a-bubblin'
      • Irrational valuations everywhere
    • Japan's woes
      • Bug, meet windshield
    • The disability disaster
      • The new permanent form of welfare

    This week, Chris and Mish look at the sorry cards on the table and wonder why anyone wants to play this game.

    Stock market valuations are back to non-sensical levels. Even members of the Fed are beginning to admit that their liquidity policies are creating an ongoing stream of asset valuation bubbles.

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  • Insider

    We’re All Turning Japanese

    Japan is the proxy for our future
    by Gregor Macdonald

    Tuesday, September 10, 2013, 5:40 PM

    28

    Executive Summary

    • As goes Japan's efforts to rescue it's economy, so will go the U.S. and E.U.
    • Japan's options:
      • Outsource its manufacturing base
      • Replace as much human labor with automation as it can
      • Rush to trade its depreciating currency for hard assets around the world
    • What Japan is telling us about the Keynesian endpoint

    If you have not yet read Part I: Abenomics' Dismal Anniversary, available free to all readers, please click here to read it first.

    Japan Is Reflecting the Future of Western Economies

    While many observers continue to follow Europe as the proxy for post-growth dynamics in the OECD, it's actually Japan that merits the closest analysis.

    Much farther along in its post-growth phase, bloated with government debt and having tried a number of big-bang initiatives over the decades, Japan not the U.S. or Europe is leading the way. The country has never really recovered from the gigantic property and stock bubble over twenty years ago.

    As proof, just consider the biggest trading story of the past 12 months. Was it the Federal Reserve's intention to taper? How about the chaos in emerging market currencies in countries like India and Indonesia? Or perhaps the continued economic depression in peripheral Europe, as countries like Spain, Portugal, and Greece re-run the 1930s, with mass unemployment and people burning wood from forests to say warm? No, not even such dramatic suffering in Europe was enough to move markets or the EUR currency much this past year.

    Instead, it was Abenomics and the front-running (and then chasing) of wildly huge moves in both the Nikkei and JPY that helped drive liquidity and speculative juices across all markets. It is not a coincidence that the peak of this frenzy in May heralded the peak in many markets.

    But Japan has more than a financial problem. Despite the hand-wringing about Japan's debt, the world has ignored for some time now Japan's debt-to-GDP, GDP on an absolute basis, and Japan's low cost of capital. Japan borrows. Japan prints. Japan devalues. But the world doesn't care.

    An issue the world may finally begin to care about, however, is that Japan has failed to launch itself out of deflation and is making very little progress in its struggle now. Indeed, Japan has a demographics problem and a resources problem that far outweigh its financial problems. To this point, instead of launching into recovery, Japan is running with the resources Red Queen, as every step of its currency devaluation is met with rising costs to import the raw materials Japan uses to make its goods…

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