Tag Archives: interest rates

  • Blog

    Bond Market Troubles Will Take Away The Fed’s Printing Press

    And it will happen this year, predicts money manager Bill Fleckenstein
    by Adam Taggart

    Friday, April 16, 2021, 9:44 AM

    2

    Those cheering today’s sky-high asset prices say they don’t worry because “the Fed has the market’s back”

    And they haven’t been wrong to-date. There’s no doubt that the Fed’s $trillions in monetary stimulus has pushed the prices of stocks, bonds, real estate and nearly every other asset class to all-time highs.

    But the Fed’s ability to print money with impunity may not last forever. In fact, veteran money manager Bill Fleckenstein warns it could end this year.

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  • Insider

    Off The Cuff: The Massive Implications Of Rising Interest Rates

    Is this an early signal the Fed's longtime easing stance is shifting?
    by Adam Taggart

    Wednesday, February 17, 2021, 12:25 PM

    6

    In this week’s Off The Cuff I sit down with Wolf Richter to discuss:

    • The future implications of rising Treasury yields
    • How long can the full-blown mania in the markets last?
    • Why Wolf thinks the Fed’s hand will be forced to tighten by rising inflation
    • San Francisco homelessness/crime boom a sign of things to come nationwide?

    Treasury yields have been rising, with the 10-year just hitting its highest level in nearly a year. What does this signify?

    Wolf Richter watches the bond market closely and thinks this is an early tell that the Fed may end up disappointing the markets eventually.

    Like many of our recent guest experts, Wolf sees higher inflation ahead. And at some point, he sees the Fed — despite its recent stated willingness to let inflation “run hot” for a while — being forced to try to contain it.

    Before it gets to the “unthinkable” stage of raising interest rates, it will use the other arrows in its quiver like slowing/stopping QE and eventually selling assets off of its balance sheet. So by allowing the long end of the Treasury curve to rise now, the Fed may be taking its first baby step towards ending its longstanding easing efforts.

    Of course, if true, the ramifications of this are tremendous, as Wolf explains here:

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  • Blog

    The Fed Is Lying To Us

    "When it becomes serious, you have to lie"
    by Chris Martenson

    Friday, October 18, 2019, 4:23 PM

    73

    The recent statements from the Federal Reserve and the other major world central banks (the ECB, BoJ, BoE and PBoC) are alarming because their actions are completely out of alignment with what they’re telling us.

    Their words seek to soothe us that “everything’s fine” and the global economy is doing quite well. But their behavior reflects a desperate anxiety.

    Put more frankly; we’re being lied to.

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  • Insider

    Off The Cuff: Not-QE & Negative Interest Rates

    (Attempting) to make sense of the bizarro new normal
    by Adam Taggart

    Tuesday, October 15, 2019, 11:30 PM

    9

    In this week’s Off The Cuff podcast, Chris and John Rubino discuss:

    • Deconstructing the Fed’s new Not-QE program
    • What would life under negative US interest rates look like?
    • How the rich are using hard assets to protect their wealth
    • Life strategies for a low-energy future

    So much ground to cover… John Rubino returns this week to discuss the recent Not-QE program announced by the Fed. What exactly will it be? And why is the Fed implementing it now?

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  • Blog

    Why Common Knowledge Changes The World

    The private understanding that we're in trouble is suddenly becoming realized by the public
    by Adam Taggart

    Friday, August 16, 2019, 4:03 PM

    47

    For those paying attention, there have been plenty of signs indicating that financial asset prices are dangerously overvalued and that the decade-long economic expansion is reversing towards recession.

    But the mainstream — until just recently — has refused to see this.

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  • Podcast

    Steve Keen: Economists Have Left Out Energy!

    No energy means no economy
    by Adam Taggart

    Wednesday, August 7, 2019, 10:58 AM

    22

    Over the past decade, the world’s central banks have distorted the price of money by bringing interest rates to record lows.

    With credit so cheap, asset prices have risen dramatically as companies and governments have borrowed to the hilt.

    On top of all that, it takes energy for an economy to function and conventional economists have assumed energy away.    The debt predicament would be hard enough on its own.  Without sufficient energy it’s impossible to solve, and mainstream economists cling to absurd notions of how the world works.

    To discuss this massive problem and propose some potential solutions is Steve Keen, professor of economics at Kingston University in London and author of Debunking Economics.

    Click the play button below to listen to Chris’ interview with Steve Keen (59m:55s).

    Other Ways To Listen: iTunes | Google Play | SoundCloud | Stitcher | YouTube | Download |

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  • Blog

    Overdosing On Crazy Pills

    If you think everything's OK, you're nuts
    by Chris Martenson

    Friday, July 26, 2019, 3:49 PM

    83

    If you prefer to listen to this article, read by its author Chris Martenson, click the player here below: ___________________________________________________________________________________ Sometimes an otherwise-forgettable movie will be lifted up out of obscurity by the internet and made into a useful meme. In the movie Zoolander Will Ferrell’s character, ‘Jacobim Mugatu,’ screams the line “I feel like…

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  • Insider
    Federal Reserve

    Off The Cuff: Decoding This Week’s Fed Minutes

    Could the US really eventually see negative interest rates?
    by Adam Taggart

    Friday, June 21, 2019, 2:24 PM

    0

    In this week’s Off The Cuff podcast, Chris and Axel Merk discuss:

    • Decoding The Fed’s Latest Commentary
      • Cuts are coming = expect more bad news on the economy
    • The Uncertainty Principle
      • By reacting, the Fed may be creating the conditions it wants to avoid
    • Gold Looking Good
      • Lower real rates will push the gold price higher
    • How Low Will Interest Rates Go?
      • Could the US really go negative?

    This week  both the ECB and the Federal Reserve gave the market the soothing words it wanted to hear: any weakness will be met with rate cuts. And perhaps revived asset purchase programs.

    Is this really wise with interest rates already so low and a global recession unfolding? And how low, really, is the Fed prepared to go with US interest rates? Axel, who maintains a dialog with Fed insiders, does his best in this week’s podcast to decode what Mario Draghi and Jerome Powell are planning.

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  • Podcast

    Sven Henrich: It's Make Or Break Time For The Markets

    Stocks are poised to break big, one way or the other
    by Adam Taggart

    Monday, April 1, 2019, 4:46 PM

    4

    It's make or break time in the markets cautions Sven Henrick, technical analyst and lead market strategist for Northman Trader.

    His weekly flurry of trendline charts warn that the major indexes have been compressing in rising wedges that increasingly point to a binary outcome: either a massive new leg up that will result in the market making new all time highs, or a bad breadown that could waterfall into a 2008-style correction.

    His reams of data increasingly suggest that today's global elevated asset prices are in no way justified by the fundamentals of the underlying world economies. And that someday — perhaps quite soon — a reckoning long overdue will occur.

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