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Tag Archives: Housing

  • Blog

    Home Prices: Downhill From Here

    Why lower prices will be good for those who have prepared for them
    by Adam Taggart

    Friday, September 13, 2019, 4:31 PM

    10

    As we look into the future, we see a high risk of the world money supply increasing further. Or put in layman’s terms, your money being devalued by rampant inflation.

    But odds are high we won’t simply ride up the inflation curve in a straight line from here.

    Deflationary corrections, perhaps severe ones, will punctuate the process. And when they do, windows of very attractive investment opportunities will open.

    Take real estate; which appears to entering the start of a correction now.

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  • Daily Digest
    Image by Conor Lawless, Flickr Creative Commons

    Daily Digest 1/26 – Good News Friday: Evolution Unleashed, The Proven Health Benefits Of Honey

    by DailyDigest

    Friday, January 26, 2018, 3:33 PM

    4
    • Evolution Unleashed
    • Mexico and Hungary tried junk food taxes — and they seem to be working
    • Florida voters will be able to restore voting rights to over a million former felons in November
    • Montana Governor Signs Order to Force Net Neutrality
    • Davos: the inventions cutting plastic consumption
    • First Solar Is Using Robots to Better Tap the Sun
    • The Proven Health Benefits Of Honey
    • How Decluttering Saves Me Money, Time, And Stress
    • Wales Is Second Best in the World at Recycling Household Waste
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  • Insider
    Allexxandar/Shutterstock

    Off The Cuff: Toxic Policies Are Killing The Economy

    Ruining our tomorrow to benefit an elite few today
    by Adam Taggart

    Wednesday, October 11, 2017, 5:56 AM

    5

    In this week's Off The Cuff podcast, Chris and Wolf Richter discuss:

    • The Pricing Of Risk Is Kaput
      • Today's assets are priced at truly insane levels
    • As A Result, Safe Yields Are Non-Existent
      • Which is killing savers
    • The Masses Are Being Betrayed
      • Sacrificed for the benefit of a rarified few
    • The Housing Bubble 2.0 Appears Set To Pop
      • More data is showing a topping out

    Wolf returns this week to discuss the toxic repercussions of today's gross mis-pricing of risk. It leads to increasingly dangerous mal-investment, elevating the heights from which prices will fall during a correction. The worst part about this is that this current Mother Of All Bubbles is a deliberate act of policy by the central planners, who are sacrificing the future of the many to benefit the today of an elite few:

    Click to listen to a sample of this Off the Cuff Podcast or Enroll today to access the full audio and other premium content today.
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  • Blog
    www.thereplicasmusic.com

    Van Halen, M&Ms, And The Next Market Downturn

    How watching the right indicators will avoid disaster
    by Adam Taggart

    Friday, September 1, 2017, 11:28 PM

    13

    Believe it or not, the rock band Van Halen found a brilliant way to teach how having good indicators is key to achieving success.

    This is extremely true for the world of investing, where you're deploying capital based upon an expected future return. How do you determine when it's a good time to enter into an investment? Once in it, how do monitor the conditions supporting your rationale for holding it — are those changing? And if so, are they getting better or worse? When should you exit the position?

    For all of these questions, the better the indicators you use, the more accurate and informed your decision-making will be. And the better your returns as an investor will be.

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  • Insider
    JCVStock/Shutterstock

    Off The Cuff: Signs Of An Approaching Downturn

    We're seeing more & more of them
    by Adam Taggart

    Thursday, June 8, 2017, 4:00 AM

    2

    In this week's Off The Cuff podcast, Chris and Wolf Richter discuss:

    • The Late-Stage Housing Bubble
      • From the US, to Canada, to China
    • Signs Of The Approaching Downturn
      • Data everywhere is flat-lining
    • Soaring Debt Levels
      • At levels that make 2008 look tame
    • Canary In The Coal Mine
      • The bullet-proof Bay Area showing weakness?

    The diverse data sets that Wolf tracks are showing increasing signs of building weakness across the global economy:

    We see weakness all over the place now in the United States. In terms of the corporate credit cycle, we have commercial and industrial loans flat-lining since November, meaning they have grown very strongly from the financial crisis and they peaked in October. Since then, it’s all just flat-lining.

    And the only time this ever happened in the past, it’s been affiliated with a recession because these are loans that companies take out to fund equipment purchases and for expansion purposes and for the things that are useful to an economy. These are not loans that are used to buy back stocks. This is not for financial engineering. These are actual productive funds. And when you see companies putting a lid on this, they’re not expanding anymore. They’ve borrowed as much as they’re going to borrow, and at some point, these commercial industrial loans will turn down. And this has happened in every recession before.

    Plus, we have now a surge in bankruptcies in the United States in terms of commercial bankruptcies. I just did a report on that earlier in May. The prior peak in bankruptcies was during the financial crisis.

    Click to listen to a sample of this Off the Cuff Podcast or Enroll today to access the full audio and other premium content today.

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  • Blog
    adirondackalmanack.com

    A Murderous Complacency

    Dark omens are circling everywhere in today's markets
    by Adam Taggart

    Friday, February 3, 2017, 9:38 PM

    15

    Running PeakProsperity.com requires me to read and process a lot of data on a daily basis. As it's hard to digest it all in real-time, I keep a running list of charts, tables and articles that catch my attention, to return to when I have the time to give them my full attention.

    Lately, that list has been getting quite long. And it's largely full of indicators that concern me, signals that the long era of "extend and pretend" in today's markets may finally be at its terminus.

    Like crows circling overhead, everyday brings with it new worrisome statistics that portend an ill change ahead. Indeed, these signs are increasing so quickly now that it's hard not to feel like Tippi Hedren in Hitchcock's classic The Birds.

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  • Insider

    How My Personal Portfolio Is Positioned Right Now

    You've asked. I answer.
    by Adam Taggart

    Friday, June 24, 2016, 8:46 PM

    37

    Executive Summary

    If you have not yet read Part 1: Fortunes Will Be Made & Lost When Capital Flees To Safety available free to all readers, please click here to read it first.

    So, given the conclusions in Part 1 — as well as the larger risks to the economy and financial markets that we analyze daily here at Peak Prosperity — how am I positioning my own personal investments?

    I get asked this question often. Often enough that I'm deciding to open the kimono here and let it drop to the ground. Everyone interested to look will get the full frontal.

    Before I do though, let me make a few things absolutely clear. This is NOT personal financial advice. The investment choices I've made are based on my own unique situation, financial goals and risk tolerance. And I may change these choices at any moment given new market developments. What's appropriate for me may not be for you, so DO NOT blindly duplicate what I'm doing.

    As always, we recommend working with a professional financial adviser to build an investment plan customized to your own needs and objectives. (If you do not have a financial adviser or do not feel comfortable with your current adviser's expertise in the market risks we discuss here at PeakProsperity.com, consider scheduling a free consultation with our endorsed adviser)

    Suffice it to say, any investment ideas sparked by this report should be reviewed with your financial adviser before taking any action. Am I being excessively repetitive here in order to drive this point home? Good…

    OK, with that out of the way, let's get started. I'll walk through the asset classes I own and my rationale for holding each.

    The strategy behind my portfolio allocation is of my own devise, though it has been influenced in no small part by the good folks at New Harbor Financial, Peak Prosperity's aforementioned endorsed financial adviser.

    At a high level, it has been constructed to address my strongly-held conclusions that:

    • Prices of most asset classes are dangerously overvalued
    • The risk of another economic contraction on par with (or greater than) the Great Recession within the next 2-4 years is uncomfortably high
    • The most likely path is we will experience a short period of coming deflation, followed soon after by one of high inflation as central banks starting printing currency without restraint (the Ka-POOM theory)
    • Capital will increasingly want to flow from paper assets (tertiary wealth) into tangible ones (primary and secondary wealth)
    • This is a time to prioritize protecting capital (defense) over speculating on how to grow it (offense)
    • Diversification is wise: just be emotionally prepared that some of your bets, by definition, will not pay off
    • In today's world of financial repression, no asset class is truly "safe". As such, asset performance is all relative.

    This is not a swing-for-the-fences portfolio. It's much more of a prepare-for-the-storm approach…

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  • Blog

    Observations From The Heart Of Silicon Valley

    The calm before the storm?
    by Adam Taggart

    Friday, May 20, 2016, 12:11 AM

    35

    Yesterday I made the 2-hour drive back to Silicon Valley, where I lived for 15 years before moving out to the country.

    I rarely go back, as I miss very little about the hyper-elite scene there. When I do, though, I feel I have a useful 'insider-now-outsider' perspective that allows me to see things there more accurately than those who live in that fishbowl 24/7.

    What hit me most strongly upon arriving back in the Menlo Park/Palo Alto area, is how little of the craziness has changed since I left 4 years ago. I don't mean 'unchanged' though; rather that the same craziness is there, just more extreme than ever.

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  • What Should I Do?
    Billy Rioux: Log-Home-Adventures

    #1 Tips For Building Log Homes

    21 Log Cabin Builders Share Their Thoughts
    by Jason Wiskerchen

    Wednesday, February 10, 2016, 8:45 PM

    2

    Ever dreamed of building a sustainable and beautiful log home?   Want to have a small cabin in an off-grid homestead?  Below are the #1 tips and pieces of advice from 21 log cabin owners, builders and manufacturers for making your log cabin project a success! We really hope you find useful insights and knowledge to use and apply when building your log cabin home.

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