Tag Archives: GDP

  • Blog
    entrepreneur.com

    The Pin To Pop This Mother Of All Bubbles?

    A worsening shortfall in new credit creation
    by Chris Martenson

    Friday, June 16, 2017, 11:23 PM

    27

    Global macro economic data has been weak for many years, but there’s now a very real chance of a world-wide recession happening in 2017.

    Why? A dramatic and worsening shortfall in new credit creation.

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  • Podcast

    Steen Jakobsen: 60% Probability Of Recession In The Next 18 Months

    The world economic engine is slowing to a standstill
    by Adam Taggart

    Sunday, June 11, 2017, 10:46 PM

    1

    Steen Jakobsen back on, Chief Investment Officer of Saxo Bank, returns to the podcast this week to share with us the warning signs of slowing economic growth he's seeing in major markets all over the world.

    In his view, the world economy is sputtering badly. So badly, that he's confident predicting a global recession by 2018 — or sooner.

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  • Insider
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    Get Ready For The Coming Massive Correction

    One we may never fully recover from
    by Chris Martenson

    Friday, June 9, 2017, 11:46 PM

    34

    Executive Summary

    • The economic data is getting darker fast
    • The over-indebtedness of the economy is the worst it's ever been
    • Predicting the timing of the next major market correction
    • As the risks mount, what should the concerned investor do?

    If you have not yet read Part 1: Why The Markets Are Overdue For A Gigantic Bust available free to all readers, please click here to read it first.

    The Data Says…Another Downturn Is Upon Us

    Our view is that a massive market correction is coming, one that may well rip the financial markets apart, and cause very long-term and long lasting damage, possibly to the point of taking generations to repair in any meaningful sense.

    In fact things may never actually recover to the current heights because recovery requires energy and there simply isn’t the net energy per capita that existed in the past.

    For now, we see plenty of signs of fundamental economic weakness, and this is not surprising at this stage of the so-called economic expansion.  The truth is this expansion has been phony to a large degree, and quite probably should have broken down many times in the past, most recently in early 2016.

    But the central banks prevented that and we can all feel thankful at the extra time that has provided us to become more resilient under reasonably calm circumstances.

    And yet, the one thing that central banks have never been able to do is…

     

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  • Blog
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    Why The Markets Are Overdue For A Gigantic Bust

    It's just not possible to print our way to prosperity
    by Chris Martenson

    Friday, June 9, 2017, 11:38 PM

    13

    As much as I try, I simply cannot jump on the bandwagon that says that printing up money out of thin air has any long-term utility for an economy.

    It's just too clear to me that doing so presents plenty of dangers, due what we might call 'economic gravity': What goes up, must also come down.

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  • Blog
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    How Long Can The Great Global Reflation Continue?

    And what will happen when it ends?
    by charleshughsmith

    Saturday, May 20, 2017, 12:01 AM

    17

    Given the extraordinary failure of both Keynesian stimulus and private-sector credit growth to create a self-sustaining cycle of expansion whose benefits flow to the entire workforce rather than to the top few percent, what can we expect going forward? Can we just keep doubling and tripling the economy’s debt load every few years? What if household incomes continue declining? Are these trends sustainable?

    In the near-term, is this Great Reflation running out of steam, or is it poised for yet another leg higher? Which is more likely?

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  • Insider

    Off The Cuff: Too Many Balls In The Air

    Why the central banks will ultimately crash the markets
    by Adam Taggart

    Friday, May 12, 2017, 7:26 PM

    5

    In this week's Off The Cuff podcast, Chris and Mish Shedlock discuss:

    • Too Many Balls In The Air
      • The central banks are losing control of them all
    • Growing Risk In Europe
      • Macron's victory masks huge looming problems
    • Without Continued Central Bank Balance Sheet Expansion…
      • …The markets will crash
    • Things Don't Matter Until They Do
      • Why the crash will happen unbelievably quickly

    This week Chris and Mish enumerate how completely dependent today's financial market prices are on the continued expansion of central bank balance sheets around the world.

    Click to listen to a sample of this Off the Cuff Podcast or Enroll today to access the full audio and other premium content today.

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  • Blog
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    Where There’s Smoke…

    ...There’s central bank manipulation
    by Chris Martenson

    Saturday, April 22, 2017, 12:26 AM

    1

    Many questions surround the elevated financial asset prices we are faced with today.

    I'm talking not just about the sky-high prices of stocks and bonds, but also of the trillions of dollars’ worth of derivatives that are linked to them.  All are intricately linked together. For instance, stocks are elevated, in part, because bond yields are so low. 

    These questions are important to consider because — if central banks have been too involved and gotten themselves mixed up in trying to ‘wag the dog’ by using elevated financial asset prices as a means to drive economic expansion — then the risk is a big implosion in financial asset prices if their efforts fail.

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  • Insider

    Positioning Yourself For The Crash

    Steps to take before crisis arrives
    by Chris Martenson

    Friday, March 24, 2017, 4:05 PM

    14

    Executive Summary

    • Why economic growth is not going to ride to the rescue
    • The alarming warning signs the auto, fine art, retail & housing industries are flashing now
    • The actions you should be taking now to protect yourself from (and position for) the coming crash

    If you have not yet read Part 1: Why This Market Needs To Crash  available free to all readers, please click here to read it first.

    Sometimes I wonder if I'm ever going to run out of new things to say about the state of the world, especially economics.  The more obvious our predicaments become to me, the less appetite there seems to be ‘out there’ to discuss them.

    What more can be said about a system that is so obviously corrupt and destined to fail, and piles up more and more evidence that this is the case, and yet refuses to engage in the most minimal of introspection? 

    Well, lots as it turns out. 

    You see, we're finally getting to beginning of the end.  Our long national — and global — experiment with using flawed economic models is now running smack dab into reality.

    The edifice of central planning omnipotence is crumbling and when it finally breaks down in earnest, the financial markets will implode, the central banks will be overrun and discredited, and investors will discover that overly-long parties come with massive hangovers.

    There will be hell to pay.

    For reasons we have discussed previously, and extensively,  GDP growth has not been a feature of the world stage for over a decade, and is unlikely to return both because of debt levels that are far too high to support rapid growth and because any return of rapid growth will run smack into higher oil prices.

    So…how’s that story working out?  Not so hot.  It’s been sub-par on a global scale for more than a decade. And the same is true for the US.

    And here’s where we are today…

     

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  • Insider
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    Off The Cuff: Dubious Data

    There are no solid fundamentals supporting this rally
    by Adam Taggart

    Friday, March 10, 2017, 4:01 PM

    2

    In this week's Off The Cuff podcast, Chris and Mish Shedlock discuss:

    • GDP Sluggish
      • At 1.3% and falling
    • Suspicious 'Rosy' Jobs Reports
      • When no net employment growth for months
    • Earnings The Same As 2011
      • Yet stocks 30% higher
    • Fed Hike Likely?
      • Probably. But they don't want to pop the bubble

    Click to listen to a sample of this Off the Cuff Podcast or Enroll today to access the full audio and other premium content today.

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  • Insider
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    Off The Cuff: The Driverless Future

    It's going to have a HUGE impact, especially on jobs
    by Adam Taggart

    Friday, October 28, 2016, 1:36 AM

    15

    In this week's Off The Cuff podcast, Chris and Mish Shedlock discuss:

    • Meaningless Metrics
      • Offical data is so 'fuzzy' as to be useless now
    • AT&T/Time Warner merger & Snapchat IPO
      • Signs of excess seen at a bubble top
    • The Driverless Future
      • It's going to have a HUGE impact, especially on jobs
    • The Demographic Time Bomb
      • Pensions will start blowing up left & right

    Click to listen to a sample of this Off the Cuff Podcast or Enroll today to access the full audio and other premium content today.

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