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Tag Archives: GDP

  • Insider

    Epic Fail

    Ignore the stock melt-up. The data is screaming we're in trouble.
    by Chris Martenson

    Monday, November 25, 2019, 1:46 PM

    17

    The US Federal Reserve currently believes they are doing “good” by preventing downturns and sending asset prices higher.

    But in reality, they’re setting the stage for a very disappointing future. Perhaps even a violent one.

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  • Insider

    A Tower of Debt Begins to Lean

    How to protect your wealth & integrity through the coming chaos
    by Chris Martenson

    Friday, November 1, 2019, 11:04 PM

    16

    Executive Summary

    • The debt bomb waiting to explode is truly staggering in size
    • Key warning signals we’re approaching a late cycle market crash
    • The Fed’s aggressive actions belie its fear that the system is extremely sick
    • How to use the time left to be on the right side of the coming wealth transfer

    If you have not yet read Part 1: The End of Money , available free to all readers, please click here to read it first.

    The Fed is now flat-out lying to us.

    Jerome Powell insists that the Fed is not printing more money, is not engaging in QE, and is not directly intervening to make stocks go higher in price. But none of this is true.

    In addition, the Fed has reversed course and is steadily cutting rates.  This even as the employment and wage data (if you believe them) have been strong of late.

    So what gives? What could be causing this?

    Hundreds of billions of dollars, printed and injected at a faster pace than in the depths of the Great Financial Crisis is not exactly a comforting sign.

    I am quite certain that something very big is very broken in the background.

    Deutsche Bank might be failing.  That’s a distinct possibility here.  Or it could be massive funding flow reversals from… (Enroll now to continue reading)

     

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  • Blog

    The End Of Money

    Prepare for the coming wealth transfer
    by Chris Martenson

    Friday, November 1, 2019, 11:03 PM

    22

    Today we live in a bifurcated economy: it is boom times for some and bust times for others.

    Your personal situation depends largely on how close you fall on the socioeconomic spectrum to the protected elite class, towards which the central banks are directing their money-printing firehoses.

    Why should we care about this bifurcation? History.

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  • Blog

    Realistically, What’s Left To Power Asset Prices Higher?

    The case to short the markets continues to build
    by Adam Taggart

    Friday, September 27, 2019, 2:29 PM

    4

    Here we are again. The markets are within a few percentage points of their all-time highs, but just can’t seem to muster the momentum to break out above them.

    We saw similar conditions back in March/April and then again in July. Both times, the S&P dropped sharply after failing to remain above 3,000.

    Both situations presented profitable opportunities to short stocks.

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  • Blog

    The Hard Truth About Assets

    Why hard assets are so important given the current state of global markets
    by Chris Martenson

    Friday, August 9, 2019, 5:33 PM

    56

    If you prefer to listen to this article, read by its author Chris Martenson, click the player here below: | Download | ___________________________________________________________________________________ In this post, you’ll learn why hard assets will be more important than ever as the global economy undergoes drastic shifts. Enrolled members also have access to Part 2, Defending Against The Global…

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  • Podcast

    Steve Keen: Economists Have Left Out Energy!

    No energy means no economy
    by Adam Taggart

    Wednesday, August 7, 2019, 10:58 AM

    22

    Over the past decade, the world’s central banks have distorted the price of money by bringing interest rates to record lows.

    With credit so cheap, asset prices have risen dramatically as companies and governments have borrowed to the hilt.

    On top of all that, it takes energy for an economy to function and conventional economists have assumed energy away.    The debt predicament would be hard enough on its own.  Without sufficient energy it’s impossible to solve, and mainstream economists cling to absurd notions of how the world works.

    To discuss this massive problem and propose some potential solutions is Steve Keen, professor of economics at Kingston University in London and author of Debunking Economics.

    Click the play button below to listen to Chris’ interview with Steve Keen (59m:55s).

    Other Ways To Listen: iTunes | Google Play | SoundCloud | Stitcher | YouTube | Download |

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  • Blog

    Bizarro World: The Herd Has Truly Gone Mad

    You're not crazy. The world we now live in is.
    by Adam Taggart

    Friday, July 5, 2019, 4:02 PM

    28

    Men, it has been well said, think in herds; it will be seen that they go mad in herds, while they only recover their senses slowly, and one by one. ~ Charles Mackay (1841) Like me, you may often feel gobsmacked when looking at the world around you. How did things get so screwed up?…

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  • Insider
    Wikimedia

    Why This Better Work

    Because if it doesn't, the aftermath looks terrifying
    by Chris Martenson

    Friday, April 19, 2019, 4:20 PM

    15

    Executive Summary

    • China's critical role in keeping the party going (and why China is in a weaker position this time)
    • Despite current stock prices, the economic data is awful and fast getting worse
    • A recession is near-unavoidable at this point
    • What to do if you're not in the top 0.1%

    If you have not yet read Part 1: It's 2016 All Over Again. Or Is It?, available free to all readers, please click here to read it first.

    I know that it seems as if the US equity markets cannot ever go down and, truthfully, those indexes receive a ton of help from the Fed, the media, and from corporate buybacks. 

    The trouble, as always, when it begins will not be detected in the large, successful companies first.  Amazon and APPL will be among the last to go down.

    The trouble will start at the outside and work its way inwards.  This “outside in” phenomenon is pretty robust and it has not yet been repealed by the interventionistas at the Fed.

    In the US we might look to the small cap stocks to give way first, and I think they have.  It's in that universe where we will find an outsized majority of the zombie companies. 

    From a fundamental standpoint the small caps are a certified balance sheet mess.  Their net debt has been on a 40-degree, ruler-straight rise since 2010 even as their EBIDTA has risen at only a 10-degree trajectory.  The current gap is eye popping.

    This is a huge increase in debt, and it makes these companies especially vulnerable to any economic downturn or rise in interest rates.

    Accordingly, while all eyes are on the Nasdaq powering to a brand new all time high, the small caps in the Russell 2000 are definitely not making new highs and seem to be sneaking out the back door.

    If you are looking for a place to short US equities at the index level, the small caps are the …

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  • Blog
    EHSToday

    The Bull(y) Rally

    Something unnatural is going on
    by Adam Taggart

    Sunday, April 14, 2019, 3:00 PM

    17

    “A bully is always a coward.”

    ~ Thomas Chandler Haliburton

    The current market rally is like a playground bully; shoving to the ground anyone in its path.

    But like all bullies, the braggadocio belies an underlying cowardice.

    Those in charge of the status quo must be absolutely terrified to resort to the unnatural lengths they are going to right now to keep the current rally intact.

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  • Insider

    Off The Cuff: Further Exploring Our Collapse Trajectory

    Chris builds on the insights of his recent report
    by Adam Taggart

    Thursday, February 7, 2019, 3:31 PM

    5

    In this week's Off The Cuff podcast, Chris speaks on:

    • The Immorality Of Central Planning
      • The banks are stealing our future
    • The Poor 99.9%
      • The system is now geared solely for the 0.1%'s interests
    • Our Money Or Our Lives
      • The real damage is happening across our critical ecosystems
    • This Will End
      • Remember that collapse is a process. And local mileage may vary.

    Chris recorded this podcast shortly after completing his recent report on the in-process collapse occurring in the key systems around us. Economically, envrionmentally, socially — it's happening everywhere. Chris spend an hour exploring the collapse dynamic further, ending with this succinct prediction…

    Click to listen to a sample of this Off the Cuff Podcast or Enroll today to access the full audio as well as all of PeakProsperity.com's other premium content.

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