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Tag Archives: GDP

  • Blog

    Realistically, What’s Left To Power Asset Prices Higher?

    The case to short the markets continues to build
    by Adam Taggart

    Friday, September 27, 2019, 2:29 PM

    4

    Here we are again. The markets are within a few percentage points of their all-time highs, but just can’t seem to muster the momentum to break out above them.

    We saw similar conditions back in March/April and then again in July. Both times, the S&P dropped sharply after failing to remain above 3,000.

    Both situations presented profitable opportunities to short stocks.

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  • Blog

    The Hard Truth

    Why hard assets are so important given the current state of global markets
    by Chris Martenson

    Friday, August 9, 2019, 5:33 PM

    56

    If you prefer to listen to this article, read by its author Chris Martenson, click the player here below: | Download | ___________________________________________________________________________________ It’s very easy to get sucked into the mini dramas playing out across our digital screens. Trump Tweeted this while the stock market did that. Uh oh! Somebody’s experiencing something awful, or…

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  • Podcast

    Steve Keen: Could A Debt Jubilee Really Work?

    One way or another, we're going to have to address the $trillions of outstanding bad debts
    by Adam Taggart

    Wednesday, August 7, 2019, 10:58 AM

    22

    Over the past decade, the world’s central banks have distorted the price of money by bringing interest rates to record lows.

    With credit so cheap, asset prices have risen dramatically as companies and governments have borrowed to the hilt.

    And now with the “Everything Bubble” threatening to burst (perhaps in mid-bursting already?), we’re suddenly realizing that the phantom asset price gains were ephemeral, while the debts are permanent.

    How will the economy cope with dangerously overleveraged nations, industries and households? Not well.

    To discuss this massive problem and propose some potential solutions is Steve Keen, professor of economics at Kingston University in London and author of Debunking Economics.

    Click the play button below to listen to Chris’ interview with Steve Keen (59m:55s).

    Other Ways To Listen: iTunes | Google Play | SoundCloud | Stitcher | YouTube | Download |

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  • Blog

    Bizarro World: The Herd Has Truly Gone Mad

    You're not crazy. The world we now live in is.
    by Adam Taggart

    Friday, July 5, 2019, 4:02 PM

    28

    Men, it has been well said, think in herds; it will be seen that they go mad in herds, while they only recover their senses slowly, and one by one. ~ Charles Mackay (1841) Like me, you may often feel gobsmacked when looking at the world around you. How did things get so screwed up?…

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  • Insider
    Wikimedia

    Why This Better Work

    Because if it doesn't, the aftermath looks terrifying
    by Chris Martenson

    Friday, April 19, 2019, 4:20 PM

    15

    Executive Summary

    • China's critical role in keeping the party going (and why China is in a weaker position this time)
    • Despite current stock prices, the economic data is awful and fast getting worse
    • A recession is near-unavoidable at this point
    • What to do if you're not in the top 0.1%

    If you have not yet read Part 1: It's 2016 All Over Again. Or Is It?, available free to all readers, please click here to read it first.

    I know that it seems as if the US equity markets cannot ever go down and, truthfully, those indexes receive a ton of help from the Fed, the media, and from corporate buybacks. 

    The trouble, as always, when it begins will not be detected in the large, successful companies first.  Amazon and APPL will be among the last to go down.

    The trouble will start at the outside and work its way inwards.  This “outside in” phenomenon is pretty robust and it has not yet been repealed by the interventionistas at the Fed.

    In the US we might look to the small cap stocks to give way first, and I think they have.  It's in that universe where we will find an outsized majority of the zombie companies. 

    From a fundamental standpoint the small caps are a certified balance sheet mess.  Their net debt has been on a 40-degree, ruler-straight rise since 2010 even as their EBIDTA has risen at only a 10-degree trajectory.  The current gap is eye popping.

    This is a huge increase in debt, and it makes these companies especially vulnerable to any economic downturn or rise in interest rates.

    Accordingly, while all eyes are on the Nasdaq powering to a brand new all time high, the small caps in the Russell 2000 are definitely not making new highs and seem to be sneaking out the back door.

    If you are looking for a place to short US equities at the index level, the small caps are the …

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  • Blog
    EHSToday

    The Bull(y) Rally

    Something unnatural is going on
    by Adam Taggart

    Sunday, April 14, 2019, 3:00 PM

    17

    “A bully is always a coward.”

    ~ Thomas Chandler Haliburton

    The current market rally is like a playground bully; shoving to the ground anyone in its path.

    But like all bullies, the braggadocio belies an underlying cowardice.

    Those in charge of the status quo must be absolutely terrified to resort to the unnatural lengths they are going to right now to keep the current rally intact.

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  • Insider

    Off The Cuff: Further Exploring Our Collapse Trajectory

    Chris builds on the insights of his recent report
    by Adam Taggart

    Thursday, February 7, 2019, 3:31 PM

    5

    In this week's Off The Cuff podcast, Chris speaks on:

    • The Immorality Of Central Planning
      • The banks are stealing our future
    • The Poor 99.9%
      • The system is now geared solely for the 0.1%'s interests
    • Our Money Or Our Lives
      • The real damage is happening across our critical ecosystems
    • This Will End
      • Remember that collapse is a process. And local mileage may vary.

    Chris recorded this podcast shortly after completing his recent report on the in-process collapse occurring in the key systems around us. Economically, envrionmentally, socially — it's happening everywhere. Chris spend an hour exploring the collapse dynamic further, ending with this succinct prediction…

    Click to listen to a sample of this Off the Cuff Podcast or Enroll today to access the full audio as well as all of PeakProsperity.com's other premium content.

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  • Blog

    A Survival Guide For 2019

    How to safely navigate the 'Year Of Instability'
    by Adam Taggart

    Friday, February 1, 2019, 3:24 PM

    40

    With the bursting of the Everything Bubble, we declared last year as the 'Year Everything Changed'. This will be the 'Year of Instability', possibly preceding an upcoming 'Year Of Woe' in 2020.

    But look, we're not saying the world is the process of ending imminently. It's just that we've entered the part of the timeline when things are going to start to get really rocky.

    And we think it's much more useful to think of 2019 as the 'Year Resilience Matters'. It shifts the focus away from fear and instead towards the many things you can do to protect yourself and those you care about – and even to position yourself to prosper through the coming challenges.

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  • Insider

    Off The Cuff: Hall Of Mirrors

    Our media is so distorted, where can you find truth?
    by Adam Taggart

    Friday, May 4, 2018, 2:39 PM

    3

    In this week's Off The Cuff podcast, Chris and James Howard Kunstler discuss a whole slew of topics I don't have time to summarize, as our 2018 seminar starts in an hour.

    Enjoy!

    Click to listen to a sample of this Off the Cuff Podcast or Enroll today to access the full audio and other premium content today.
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  • Daily Digest
    Image by Travis Isaacs, Flickr Creative Commons

    Daily Digest 1/18 – What Volatility Looks Like, Measuring What Makes A Country Great

    by DailyDigest

    Thursday, January 18, 2018, 3:36 PM

    2
    • Why governments are broken – and how to fix them
    • So That’s What Volatility Looks Like
    • Here’s What Historically Happens to Stocks When Bull Markets End
    • Forecasting Intelligence: My Predictions For 2018
    • How can you measure what makes a country great?
    • Big Brother on wheels: Why your car company may know more about you than your spouse.
    • Ahead Of The Pack: What Sets Energy Innovators Apart?
    • China is planting 6.6 million hectares of new forest — almost the size of Ireland
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