Tag Archives: futures

  • Blog

    EXCLUSIVE: The Smoking Gun Proving Silver & Gold Manipulation

    We have the data. And it tells a clear story.
    by davefairtex

    Friday, October 16, 2015, 11:46 PM

    16

    Gold price suppression!

    The amount of ink spilled on this topic could fill a supertanker.  Goldbugs the world over believe in the suppression story as an article of faith, and indeed, the evidence that “something is happening” appears incontrovertible.

    Given how important the subject is to Peak Prosperity and the bullion-owning community, and the volume of energy we expend talking (and talking, and talking, and talking) about it, how much information do we really have about what is actually going on? 

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  • Insider
    Jaroslav Machacek/Shutterstock

    How To Protect Yourself & Profit From This Manipulation

    Also: is the bottom in for precious metals?
    by davefairtex

    Friday, October 16, 2015, 11:45 PM

    36

    Executive Summary

    • What the Great Gold Smash of 2013 tells us
    • Was $1,075/oz gold the bottom? Is the bottom indeed in?
    • Is a new bull trend ahead for precious metals?
    • How to hedge against — and speculate on, for those who dare —  future manipulation attempts

    If you have not yet read Part 1: EXCLUSIVE: The Smoking Gun Proving Silver & Gold Manipulation available free to all readers, please click here to read it first.

    Now let's look at the great gold smash of 2013.

    There were three separate operations I saw on or around the gold smash of 2013:

    Operation #1: On April 12, gold had already broken below the 1525 support level to close at 1501 after dropping $100 over the two preceding months.  After a long decline followed by a support break, the market was in a very fragile state.  Sunday rolled around, and “someone” chose this moment to unload $95 in 13 volatility events over the course of just 13 hours.  This avalanche decisively drove gold down $150 in just one day.  This engineered follow-through using volatility events coming immediately after the support break resulted in the total annihilation of the longs.  Price still has not recovered from that move.

    Operation #2: two days after the $150 drop, another 3-event $23 assault completely failed.  Price did not move at all.  In fact, it rallied on the day.  Why?  Why didn't we get another $150 drop?  Well, 1325 turned out to be strong support.  Buyers came out in droves to pick up the lower-priced gold.  And so when gold dropped $23 due to the volatility events, COMEX buyers snapped up the lower priced gold, and as a result the assault completely failed.

    Operation #3: two months later, another 1-event $24 assault had only a very minor effect.  Price fell that day a few bucks, which was regained the day following.  Support was not quite as strong, but the market was clearly not in a fragile state at that point either.  This assault failed as well, since there was no support break and no price reset lower.

    Here are three events, in relatively close proximity to one another, but under three different sets of “chart circumstances” which provided three different outcomes.  One worked, two others didn't.  The difference, I maintain, was where the market was at each point.  Fragile markets appear vulnerable to volatility events.  Strong markets are not.

    Now let's look at the most recent event: July 20, 2015…

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  • Blog

    Gravity Returns – The Market Drops Nearly 5% in 3 Days

    Years-long trends are finally breaking
    by Adam Taggart

    Monday, October 13, 2014, 11:14 PM

    8

    A month ago, in an analysis titled Defying Gravity, I wrote about the unsustainable state of the stock market's high prices.

    In it, I noted how the stock market had risen for an aberrantly-long time time without a correction, and that it hadn't even tested its 200-daily moving average price once since the beginning of 2012:

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  • Blog
    bochimsang12/Shutterstock

    Defying Gravity

    The case for hedging against a market downturn
    by Adam Taggart

    Wednesday, September 10, 2014, 4:05 AM

    7

    Today's markets exist in an Oz-like, fantasy world. For 5 years now, stock and bond prices have risen like Dorothy's balloon, without so much as a puff of downdraft to spoil the fun.

    Everybody likes higher prices, so let's have them always go up! Forever!

    Whether that can happen is a topic of current hot debate, though few think corrections have been permanently banished from the financial markets.

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  • Insider
    Dreamstime

    How to Hedge Against A Market Correction

    Reducing the vulnerability of your portfolio
    by Adam Taggart

    Wednesday, September 10, 2014, 4:04 AM

    9

    Executive Summary

    • What you need to know about hedging with
      • Stops
      • Inverse and leveraged ETFs
      • Shorts
      • Options
      • Futures
    • Deciding which hedging instruments are appropriate for your portfolio

    If you have not yet read Part 1: Hedge, Dammit! available free to all readers, please click here to read it first.

    OK – hedging sounds prudent. But how do you do it?

    Our focus here in Part 2 of this report is to cover the most common vehicles used in hedging strategies. Each one merits its own dedicated report (a series we'll likely create in the future) to truly understand how and when to best deploy, so this report will focus on providing you with a good introduction to each, with guidance on how to further explore the ones that strike you as appropriate for your needs and personal risk tolerance.

    Before continuing further though, let me make a few things absolutely clear. This is NOT personal financial advice. This material is for educational purposes only, and as an aid for you to discuss these options more intelligently with your professional financial adviser(s) before taking any action. (If you do not have a financial adviser or do not feel comfortable with your current adviser's expertise with these hedging vehicles, we'll be happy to refer you to our endorsed adviser)

    Suffice it to say, everything discussed in this report (even the % cash component mentioned in Part 1) should be reviewed with your financial adviser before taking any action. Am I being excessively repetitive here in order to drive this point home? Good…

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  • Blog

    The Approaching Inevitable Market Reversal

    Closer every day...
    by charleshughsmith

    Wednesday, July 2, 2014, 12:06 PM

    0

    Though we’re constantly reassured by financial pundits and the Federal Reserve that the stock market is not a bubble and that valuations are fair, there is substantial evidence that suggests the contrary.

    The market is dangerously stretched in terms of valuation and sentiment, and it does not accurately reflect fundamentals such as earnings and sales growth.

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  • Podcast

    Janet Tavakoli: Understanding Derivatives and Their Risks

    Abuse is the problem
    by Adam Taggart

    Saturday, September 15, 2012, 3:48 PM

    19

     

    Global financial markets are awash in hundreds of trillions of dollars worth of derivatives. By some estimates, the total amount exceeds one quadrillion.

    Derivatives played a central role in the 2008 credit crisis, as they had a brutal multiplying effect on the magnitude of the carnage. As a bad asset was written down, oftentimes there were derivative contracts written against it that resulted in total losses 10x greater than the initial write-down.

    But what exactly are derivatives? How do they work?

    And have we learned to treat these "weapons of mass financial destruction" (as Warren Buffet colorfully coined them) any more carefully in the aftermath of the global financial crisis?

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  • Blog

    Daily Digest 4/6 – Portugal Banks Urge Bailout, Auto Dealers Expect Shortage From Japan, Corn Futures Match All-Time High

    by saxplayer00o1

    Wednesday, April 6, 2011, 2:44 PM

    0
    • Portugal Banks Threaten To Shun Debt, Urge Bailout
    • Geithner: Raise Debt Ceiling or Risk Another Financial Crisis
    • Georgia Teen Unemployment Hits 37%
    • Ford boosts prices $117 per vehicle as materials costs rise
    • Hard Disk Drives May Get More Expensive
    • Largest U.S. Dealer Expects Japanese Auto Shortage
    • Excerpt on policy from March FOMC minutes
    • IMF denies rumours that Greece about to default
    • Hawaii Hotels May Struggle to Repay Debt as Japanese Travel Dips
    • 37,000 in NC face sudden loss of jobless benefits
    • U.S. Corn Futures Match All-Time High On Supply Concerns
    • Retail Staple Food Prices Rise in First Quarter

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  • Blog

    Daily Digest 3/25 – Another Year Of Living Dangerously, Euro Collapse ‘Not Unthinkable’, The Next Leg Down In House Prices

    by DailyDigest

    Friday, March 25, 2011, 2:41 PM

    0
    • Global Economy: Another Year Of Living Dangerously
    • Euro’s Collapse Is Not Unthinkable: Warren Buffet
    • Surf Warning: Tsunami To Lift Gold
    • Gold Prices Rise After The Nuclear Crisis Of Japan
    • Gold Futures Soon Will Set New Record Highs, Fund Manager Says
    • Automakers Still Reeling From Japan Quake
    • America’s Property Market: On A Losing Streak
    • Phase Shift: The Next Leg Down in House Prices
    • A Nation Of Dropouts Shakes Europe
    • Britain’s £200bn Time Bomb Of Debt Interest
    • IMF Prepares For “Threat To International Monetary System” 
    • Prepare For Lengthy Power Shortage
    • Sharjah Ruler Demands Action To Prevent Summer Power Cuts
    • Japan Nuclear Plans Derailed, Fossil Fuel Use To Stay High For Years
    • Japan Steps Up Nuclear Plant Precautions; Kan Apologizes

    Crash Course DVDThe Crash Course, viewed by more than 1.6 million people worldwide! Own the DVD today. (NTSC or PAL)

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  • Blog

    Chris Interviews Ted Butler: The End of Silver Price Manipulation

    by Adam Taggart

    Friday, November 19, 2010, 2:18 PM

    0

    2010 has been an exceptional year for silver. The price has increased over 50% to-date, and the CFTC (the US commodity regulatory body) issued a statement last month admitting that the market price of silver may have been (and still may be) fraudulently manipulated. An investigation is underway.

    Ted Butler is one of the pre-eminent commentators on the silver market. In addition to his decades following the metal, he’s spent years raising suspicions about silver’s suppression by a few large banks taking on egregiously large short positions. The current CFTC action is a direct result of Ted’s activism.

    In the podcast below, Chris conducts an in-depth interview with Ted focusing on the most important aspects that anyone interested in silver needs to know now. In short, Ted predicts the imminent end to the manipulation will ultimately send the price higher – much higher.

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