Tag Archives: commodities

  • Insider
    The Next Big Thing

    The Next Big Thing  

    When Systems Collide
    by Chris Martenson

    Friday, February 19, 2021, 6:22 PM

    66

    In 2008 I created The Crash Course.  If you haven’t seen it, well, you really should.  It’s both very outdated and still spot on.

    In it I made the case that by looking through a resource lens we could come to this conclusion:  The next twenty years are going to be completely unlike the past twenty years.

    There are lots of ways to look at the world – geopolitical, spiritually, ecologically – but I’ve found that resources have both power predictive and explanatory powers.

    Now that we’re more than half-way through that 20-year period it’s fair to ask how the Crash Course predictions have held up.

    The record reveals that…

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  • Insider
    Joker in the Hole Cards Joker in the hole

    The Fourth Turning

    A cascading loss of faith in institutions
    by Chris Martenson

    Tuesday, February 9, 2021, 6:14 PM

    37

    I care a lot about the future.  I wish it to be as abundant, hospitable, & prosperous for as many people as possible.

    Of course, how it actually turns out is not up to me.  It’s up to us.

    Where we need unity to accomplish some really huge, if not heroic, things over the coming years and decades, we’re as fractured as we’ve every been culturally and politically.  That there are certain parties actively driving wedges and seeking disunity bothers me greatly.  I believe history will once again be very unkind in how it remembers such people, but that’s another story for another day.

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  • Blog

    An EPIC Commodities Boom Is Starting

    The success of digital platforms is now creating crushing demand for real "stuff"
    by Adam Taggart

    Friday, December 11, 2020, 10:51 AM

    10

    “Digitization and the online platform have become too successful. So much so that they have exceeded the capacity of [the world’s] physical structures to deliver to their success.

    Demand for commodities, tangible assets and the companies that mine, manufacture and transport them is about to blow sky-high predicts, Steen Jakobsen, Chief Economist and CIO at Saxo Bank.

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  • Blog

    Jim Rogers: Great Depression 2.0?

    A legendary investor foresees hard times ahead
    by Adam Taggart

    Friday, October 30, 2020, 9:03 AM

    19

    Jim Rogers is not only one of the most successful investors of our era, he’s also an avid scholar of history.

    He looks into the future and sees a terrible reckoning ahead; one he predicts will be “the worst economic crisis of my lifetime” — and Jim is 78 years old.

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  • Blog

    The Company Store

    Leaves almost nothing to live on
    by Chris Martenson

    Friday, May 3, 2019, 1:33 PM

    20

    The scam enabled by today’s financial ““markets”” coupled with lots of easy cheap credit flowing to big monied interests is every bit as egregious as the company store of old; only today’s victims are mostly blind to the way that the system is rigged against them.

    Run this scam long enough and one day we’ll discover that the banks and their proxy agents — private equity funds, hedge funds, endowments, and family offices, etc — own all of the productive farmland, all of the mines, all of the oil wells, all of the timberland, and every other means of primary wealth production.

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  • Daily Digest
    Image by Mohmed Althani, Flickr Creative Commons

    Daily Digest 4/16 -The Doomsday Maps Of The World, Miami Racing Against Time

    by DailyDigest

    Monday, April 16, 2018, 3:13 PM

    3
    • Here's How Facebook Tracks You When You're Not On Facebook
    • The Shocking Doomsday Maps Of The World And The Billionaire Escape Plans
    • Inside The Secret World Of Russia's Cold War Mapmakers
    • Cops Around the Country Can Now Unlock iPhones, Records Show
    • IEA: U.S.-China Trade Row Could Dampen Oil Demand Growth
    • The world faces a future of floods, famine, and extreme heat — here’s what it’ll take to bounce back
    • Miami is racing against time to keep up with sea-level rise
    • Gulf Stream current at its weakest in 1,600 years, studies show 
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  • Blog
    www.thereplicasmusic.com

    Van Halen, M&Ms, And The Next Market Downturn

    How watching the right indicators will avoid disaster
    by Adam Taggart

    Friday, September 1, 2017, 11:28 PM

    13

    Believe it or not, the rock band Van Halen found a brilliant way to teach how having good indicators is key to achieving success.

    This is extremely true for the world of investing, where you’re deploying capital based upon an expected future return. How do you determine when it’s a good time to enter into an investment? Once in it, how do monitor the conditions supporting your rationale for holding it — are those changing? And if so, are they getting better or worse? When should you exit the position?

    For all of these questions, the better the indicators you use, the more accurate and informed your decision-making will be. And the better your returns as an investor will be.

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  • Podcast

    Brien Lundin: If They Don’t Want You To Own It, You Probably Should

    The wisdom (and challenges) of owning safe haven assets
    by Adam Taggart

    Tuesday, August 15, 2017, 12:39 AM

    6

    One of the most perplexing mysteries to us is that right as the Federal Reserve embarked on QE3 — which was a huge, enormous, $85 billion a month experiment — commodities began a multiyear decline within two weeks of that announcement. Concurrently, the world’s central banks plunged the world into steeply negative real interest rates, a condition that has almost always resulted in booming commodity prices — but not this time. Today, the ratio between commodity prices and equities is at one of, if not the most, extreme points in history.

    To explain that gap, we talk this week with Brien Lundin, publisher of Gold Newsletter and producer of the New Orleans Investment Conference (where Chris and Adam are speaking on Oct 25-28):

     

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  • Podcast

    New Harbor: A Time For Staying Out Of Harms Way

    Preserving your financial capital
    by Adam Taggart

    Sunday, January 24, 2016, 5:16 PM

    9

    Given the brutal start to the markets in the first three weeks of 2016, we thought it a good time to check in with the team at New Harbor Financial. We have had them on our podcast periodically over the past years as the market churned to ever new highs, and have always appreciated their skepticism of these liquidity-driven ""markets"" as well as their unwavering commitment to risk management should the party in stocks end suddenly.

    So, how is their risk-managed approach faring now that the S&P 500 has suddenly dropped 8% since Christmas? Quite well. Their general portfolio is flat for the year so far — evidence that caution, prudence and hedging can indeed preserve capital during market downdrafts.

    We've invited the New Harbor team back on this week to hear their latest assessment on the markets, as well as how they're approaching their portfolio positioning moving forward.

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  • Insider
    Michael Wick/Shutterstock

    From Deflation To Hyperinflation

    Expect a market crash followed by helicopter money
    by Chris Martenson

    Thursday, October 1, 2015, 4:36 AM

    68

    Executive Summary

    • China is rolling over
    • Contagion will eventually take down the core economies, including the US
    • We are witnessing a full-blown collapse of the commodity complex
    • Deflation will win the day over the next year, but then get ready for helicopter money hyperinflation

    If you have not yet read Part 1: Deflation Warning: The Next Wave available free to all readers, please click here to read it first.

    The Chinese GDP Lie

    Right off the top, China is not growing anywhere near the 7% it claims.  That’s just a politically useful lie that the Chinese tell to the world as much as they tell to themselves.

    Fortunately, hardly anyone is falling for that particular fib any longer.  Let’s start with the completely obvious manufacturing slump that has hit China:

    Chinese Factory Gauge Slumps to Lowest Level Since March 2009

    Sept 22, 2015

    A private Chinese manufacturing gauge fell to the lowest in 6 1/2 years, underscoring challenges facing the economy as its old growth engines splutter.

    A global sell off in riskier assets gained pace after the preliminary Purchasing Managers’ Index from Caixin Media and Markit Economics dropped to 47.0 in September. That missed the median estimate of 47.5 in a Bloomberg survey and fell from the final reading of 47.3 in the previous month. Readings have remained below 50 since March, indicating contraction.

    Premier Li Keqiang’s growth target of about 7 percent for this year is being challenged by a slowdown in manufacturing and exports even as services and consumption show resilience.

    (Source)

    The way a PMI reading works is anything over 50 indicates expansions and anything under 50 indicates contraction.  Anybody care to explain to me how China can be sporting sub-50 readings every month since March — that’s five full months — and still be claiming to be aiming for a 7% annual growth target?  You know, because China is…

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