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Tag Archives: China

  • Podcast

    Martin Armstrong: Dow 35,000 By 2021?

    Given the current capital flight into the US, it could happen
    by Adam Taggart

    Tuesday, July 16, 2019, 8:15 AM

    33

    The most hated stock market rally still has room left to become truly despised, according to Martin Armstrong.

    With so much of the rest of the world beginning to succumb to the arriving global recession, capital is fleeing towards the relative safety and positive returns offered by America’s financial markets. As a result, Armstrong sees the US stock market continuing to power higher from here, with the Dow Jones Industrial Average potentially tagging 35,000 by 2021.

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  • Blog

    Upcoming Webinar: End Of The Road

    The false prosperity of the past 10 years is finally revealing itself to be a dead end
    by Adam Taggart

    Friday, July 12, 2019, 11:01 AM

    3

    Register for the upcoming free webinar “End Of The Road”, airing on Thursday July 18th at 7pm ET/4pm PT, a joint production by Peak Prosperity, Jefferson Financial and Benchmark Financial Services.

    The false prosperity of the past 10 years is finally revealing itself to be a dead end.

    Which fallout implications we should we most likely expect from here? And what prudent steps should you consider taking now, to prepare before crisis arrives?

    Featured faculty for this webinar include Ted Siedle, national pension expert and recipient of the two largest-ever whistleblower settlements from the SEC and CFTC, Chris Martenson PhD, economic analyst and co-founder of PeakProsperity.com, and Brien Lundin, publisher of GoldNewsletter.com and producer of the world’s longest-running investment conference.

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  • Insider
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    Off The Cuff: Why Currency Crisis Is The Real Risk Here

    In China, and perhaps eventually here in the US as well
    by Adam Taggart

    Thursday, May 30, 2019, 9:30 AM

    0

    In this week’s Off The Cuff podcast, Chris and Wolf Richter discuss:

    • Tesla’s Woes
      • A harbinger of what’s coming for many other overvalued companies
    • How Bad Could A Trade War With China Get?
      • There will be lots of unintended consequences
    • Why The Smart Bet Is On Currency Devaluation
      • Governments will print forever to prevent catastrophic losses from happening
    • Recession Ahead!
      • The global macro data continues to look worse and worse

    In this excellent discussion, Chris mentions “It feels like we’re so far down the state intervention pathway that I’m not sure that there is a way back to free and fair markets at this point in time. And it would take something fairly cataclysmic I think to upend that, something like an out of control currency accident for China, taking it out of their hands, for instance. ”

    Click to listen to a sample of this Off the Cuff Podcast or Enroll today to access the full audio as well as all of PeakProsperity.com’s other premium content.

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  • Insider

    Off The Cuff: The Party’s Over

    Terrible data is finally ending our hopium addiction
    by Adam Taggart

    Monday, May 20, 2019, 10:15 AM

    5

    In this week’s Off The Cuff podcast, Chris and Mish Shedlock discuss:

    • Next Up: A Currency War With China?
    • Recession Warning
    • A War With Iran, Too?
    • More Cracks In Europe

    The self-delusional “Everything is awesome and getting better!” narrative that has pushed markets ever higher for the past years is suddenly unravelling. The current China tariffs will undo any remaining salubrious impact of the Trump tax cuts, a global recession appears underway, and — seriously — are we about to go to war with Iran??

    Click to listen to a sample of this Off the Cuff Podcast or Enroll today to access the full audio as well as all of PeakProsperity.com’s other premium content.

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  • Insider
    War with Iran

    War with Iran – The Risk is Elevated

    Are you prepared?
    by Chris Martenson

    Wednesday, May 15, 2019, 6:46 AM

    18

    Is it really about to go down in Iran?  Is a war now coming?

    The Twitter feeds I have tracking Iran are on fire this morning.

    Looks like the Trade deal is bad enough and the Barr investigation threatening enough that the “answer” is war with Iran.

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  • Blog

    At The End Of The Day, It’s All About Confidence

    And sentiment in the markets is now souring. Bigly.
    by Adam Taggart

    Friday, May 10, 2019, 3:00 PM

    24

    We’ve been shining a bright light on the technical compression seen in the major stock indices, indicative that a major breakout move is coming — one we’ve argued is much more likely to happen to the downside.

    Well, with the recent fizzling of the principal storyline supporting the bullish narrative — an imminent trade deal with China  — our predicted downside breakdown finally occurred this week.

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  • Insider

    Off The Cuff: Big Trouble In China Trade Talks

    The breakdown in talks has created a market breakdown
    by Adam Taggart

    Friday, May 10, 2019, 11:32 AM

    2

    In this week’s Off The Cuff podcast, Chris and Charles Hugh Smith discuss:

    • What’s driving the latest breakdown in trade talks
    • The 2 Chinas: and why it can no longer have it both ways
    • The dollar shortage in China
    • The great global slowdown

    The big news driving the markets this week is obviously the breakdown in trade talks between the US and China. In this week’s podcast, Chris and Charles deconstruct the key variables of the situation and explain why they don’t think a deal can get done anytime soon:

     

    Click to listen to a sample of this Off the Cuff Podcast or Enroll today to access the full audio as well as all of PeakProsperity.com’s other premium content.

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  • Insider

    The Trade Deal Has Collapsed

    The main support propping up the markets suddenly looks very shaky
    by Chris Martenson

    Wednesday, May 8, 2019, 9:01 AM

    30

    Count me as surprised, but it seems like the China trade deal is collapsing.  Surprised because both sides, China and the US, have much to lose in this battle.

    While there’s certainly some temporary local benefit to various pockets and sectors of the economy, the fact remains that the world economy is still exhibiting signs of slowing down and anything that puts additional weight on the economy right now could be the stone that sinks the barge.

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  • Insider
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    Why This Better Work

    Because if it doesn't, the aftermath looks terrifying
    by Chris Martenson

    Friday, April 19, 2019, 4:20 PM

    15

    Executive Summary

    • China's critical role in keeping the party going (and why China is in a weaker position this time)
    • Despite current stock prices, the economic data is awful and fast getting worse
    • A recession is near-unavoidable at this point
    • What to do if you're not in the top 0.1%

    If you have not yet read Part 1: It's 2016 All Over Again. Or Is It?, available free to all readers, please click here to read it first.

    I know that it seems as if the US equity markets cannot ever go down and, truthfully, those indexes receive a ton of help from the Fed, the media, and from corporate buybacks. 

    The trouble, as always, when it begins will not be detected in the large, successful companies first.  Amazon and APPL will be among the last to go down.

    The trouble will start at the outside and work its way inwards.  This “outside in” phenomenon is pretty robust and it has not yet been repealed by the interventionistas at the Fed.

    In the US we might look to the small cap stocks to give way first, and I think they have.  It's in that universe where we will find an outsized majority of the zombie companies. 

    From a fundamental standpoint the small caps are a certified balance sheet mess.  Their net debt has been on a 40-degree, ruler-straight rise since 2010 even as their EBIDTA has risen at only a 10-degree trajectory.  The current gap is eye popping.

    This is a huge increase in debt, and it makes these companies especially vulnerable to any economic downturn or rise in interest rates.

    Accordingly, while all eyes are on the Nasdaq powering to a brand new all time high, the small caps in the Russell 2000 are definitely not making new highs and seem to be sneaking out the back door.

    If you are looking for a place to short US equities at the index level, the small caps are the …

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  • Podcast

    Sven Henrich: It's Make Or Break Time For The Markets

    Stocks are poised to break big, one way or the other
    by Adam Taggart

    Monday, April 1, 2019, 4:46 PM

    4

    It's make or break time in the markets cautions Sven Henrick, technical analyst and lead market strategist for Northman Trader.

    His weekly flurry of trendline charts warn that the major indexes have been compressing in rising wedges that increasingly point to a binary outcome: either a massive new leg up that will result in the market making new all time highs, or a bad breadown that could waterfall into a 2008-style correction.

    His reams of data increasingly suggest that today's global elevated asset prices are in no way justified by the fundamentals of the underlying world economies. And that someday — perhaps quite soon — a reckoning long overdue will occur.

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