Tag Archives: China

  • Insider

    Off The Cuff: The End Of China’s Exceptionalism?

    The impact of the coronavirus strikes at China's Achilles heel
    by Adam Taggart

    Friday, February 28, 2020, 10:05 AM

    22

    Beneath its facade as a rising superpower, the social contract within China has been deteriorating. And now with the covid-19 virus dealing a 1-2 punch of a public health crisis and an economic crisis, the populace may be nearing a breaking point.

    They have traded freedom and fair treatment in exchange for an ever-rising lifestyle. But now that the government can no longer guarantee continued prosperity, and may be responsible for thousands (or more?) deaths by initially denying the coronavirus crisis, will people remain tolerant of its authoritarianism?

    Charles isn’t sure they will. He sees good potential for social revolt.

    Click to listen to a sample of this Off the Cuff Podcast or Enroll today to access the full audio as well as all of PeakProsperity.com’s other premium content.

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  • Blog

    New Research Suggests The Coronavirus May Be Far Worse Than We Thought

    It can spread as an aerosol?!?
    by Adam Taggart

    Sunday, February 9, 2020, 6:59 PM

    147

    Chinese officials are now warning the Wuhan coronavirus may spread by aerosol transmission.

    We have known it spreads via fomites contained within mucus-based globules, spread by coughing, sneezing, etc.

    But if it also transmits from human to human via aerosol means, it’s likely FAR more contagious than previously feared.

    Read More »

  • Blog

    The Coronavirus Is A Nightmare For The Global Economy

    Trade is already being crippled. And there's no relief in sight.
    by Adam Taggart

    Saturday, February 8, 2020, 7:08 AM

    92

    As China has now placed hundreds of millions of its citizens under quarantine, its economy is grinding to a halt.

    Workers can’t leave their homes. Factories are idle. Most (if not all) of China’s ports are no longer shipping. International flights are increasingly banned from the country.

    When the world’s #2 economy hangs up a big “CLOSED” sign, that’s going to result in a major negative impact on global trade.

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  • Blog

    Coronavirus: What We Can Say Publicly & What We Can’t

    Why the line between the two is so important to us
    by Chris Martenson

    Wednesday, February 5, 2020, 9:17 PM

    332

    In fast-moving situations like the coronavirus outbreak, the unknowns outweigh the knowns.  Quite often the most useful and most actionable material is in the ‘unknowns.’

    This is where our super-power comes into play: sifting through vast piles of snippets and fragments and assembling them into a coherent (if still incomplete) picture.  One with actionable insights to help you make important life decisions.

    Sometimes we simply have to avoid handing weapons to our enemies.  Early, fast-changing information can (and often is) taken out of context to try to “shoot the messenger”.

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  • Blog

    Coronavirus: ‘Nothing To See Here’ Say Markets & The Media

    Yet from what we can tell, governments are entering into panic mode
    by Adam Taggart

    Tuesday, February 4, 2020, 12:03 PM

    172

    As the Wuhan coronavirus spread worsens, the financial markets are throwing one hell of party, hitting record highs.

    Yet the world’s #2 economy, China, just hung up a big “CLOSED” sign — stocks should be tanking hard here.

    How can they shrug off the virus’ threat to global trade?

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  • Blog

    Coronavirus: How Bad Will It Get?

    Latest data shows the virus continues to spread at an exponential rate
    by Adam Taggart

    Sunday, February 2, 2020, 9:56 PM

    124

    The official data on the spread of the Wuhan coronavirus continues to suggest a geometric growth rate.

    Which explains why more and more infectious disease experts are now openly calling the virus a full-blown global pandemic.

    So how bad might things get?

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  • Blog

    Coronavirus Update: The Calm Before The Storm

    The media is downplaying risk as models suggest infections will soon soar
    by Adam Taggart

    Wednesday, January 29, 2020, 2:50 PM

    180

    The sudden lack of new information coming out of China has Chris spooked.

    He walks us through the math here, showing how if the coronavirus follows its current geometric growth, over 100 million people could be infected by the end of February.

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  • Blog

    How Will The Coronavirus Impact The Markets?

    It's a true Black Swan event that stocks haven't yet priced in
    by Chris Martenson

    Tuesday, January 28, 2020, 11:10 AM

    34

    In addition to presenting a major public health risk, the coronavirus is already doing serious economic damage. China, the world’s second-largest economy, is essentially “closed for business” right now.

    The disruption to global trade the coronavirus is likely to cause is going to be material, perhaps severe. And that will have serious negative consequences for the financial markets, which have been (and is still!) trading at the highest valuations in history.

    The coronavirus has all the hallmarks of a true Black Swan event.

    Read More »

  • Podcast

    PODCAST: Everything We Know So Far About The Coronavirus

    It's time to take matters into your own hands
    by Adam Taggart

    Saturday, January 25, 2020, 2:29 PM

    27

    In the midst of our furious coverage of the Wuhan coronavirus outbreak, Chris is giving interviews to numerous interested media outlets.

    Here’s an interview he just recorded hours ago on the TFMR Podcast, which gives a good breakdown of what we know so far about the unfolding situation (as of Saturday, Jan 25, 2020).

    Read More »

  • Blog

    How Contagious Is The Coronavirus?

    The latest data points to "very"
    by Chris Martenson

    Saturday, January 25, 2020, 9:08 AM

    51

    Whether it’s 3.8 or 2.5 or 6.7, the R0 for 2019-ncov is sufficient to cause a pandemic.  It spreads easily.

    My current opinion, which I reserve the right to change when better data comes in, is that the current R0 estimate of 2.5 is too low because of its reliance on officially-reported case data.

    My advice to you is to begin practicing good hygiene right now.  Your best defense against this virus is to not catch it in the first place.

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