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Tag Archives: Bull Market

  • Blog

    At The End Of The Day, It’s All About Confidence

    And sentiment in the markets is now souring. Bigly.
    by Adam Taggart

    Friday, May 10, 2019, 3:00 PM

    24

    We’ve been shining a bright light on the technical compression seen in the major stock indices, indicative that a major breakout move is coming — one we’ve argued is much more likely to happen to the downside.

    Well, with the recent fizzling of the principal storyline supporting the bullish narrative — an imminent trade deal with China  — our predicted downside breakdown finally occurred this week.

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  • Blog

    2019: The Beginning Of The End (Free Premium Report)

    What will happen next & what to do now
    by Adam Taggart

    Thursday, January 17, 2019, 9:07 AM

    21

    Now that it is 2019, we’re going to start the new year here at Peak Prosperity by responding to our community and making our most recent report for our premium subscribers free to everyone.

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  • Blog
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    The Waiting Is The Hardest Part

    Tom Petty's anthem for today's investors
    by Adam Taggart

    Thursday, October 5, 2017, 9:21 PM

    22

    The stock market is now 70% higher than it was as the previous bubble peak immediately preceding the 2008 Great Financial Crisis.

    Reflect for a moment how painful the crash from Sept 2008-March 2009 was. How much more painful will a crash from today's much dizzier heights be?

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  • Blog
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    Has The Market Trend Shifted From Bull To Bear?

    Why the recent volatility may mark a secular shift
    by Brian Pretti

    Friday, October 23, 2015, 8:12 PM

    10

    Emotions are running high for the investment community in the wake of recent market volatility. Up until August, we had been in the third longest period in market history without a 10% correction. Since then, stock indices sold off hard, only to bounce once again over the past two weeks of trading.

    And certainly the truth is….No one knows. Especially in today’s world where global central banks can concoct further QE/monetary schemes at the drop of a hat.  Let’s face it, at this point the global central banks are all in. In fact, beyond all in. Without question, the US Fed knows that if equities fall, they lose the high end consumer. (Wal-Mart shoppers have already long been lost) 

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  • Blog

    Gravity Returns – The Market Drops Nearly 5% in 3 Days

    Years-long trends are finally breaking
    by Adam Taggart

    Monday, October 13, 2014, 11:14 PM

    8

    A month ago, in an analysis titled Defying Gravity, I wrote about the unsustainable state of the stock market's high prices.

    In it, I noted how the stock market had risen for an aberrantly-long time time without a correction, and that it hadn't even tested its 200-daily moving average price once since the beginning of 2012:

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  • Blog
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    Defying Gravity

    The case for hedging against a market downturn
    by Adam Taggart

    Wednesday, September 10, 2014, 4:05 AM

    7

    Today's markets exist in an Oz-like, fantasy world. For 5 years now, stock and bond prices have risen like Dorothy's balloon, without so much as a puff of downdraft to spoil the fun.

    Everybody likes higher prices, so let's have them always go up! Forever!

    Whether that can happen is a topic of current hot debate, though few think corrections have been permanently banished from the financial markets.

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  • Blog
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    The Case for a Crash

    And for staying in cash until 2015
    by charleshughsmith

    Tuesday, December 10, 2013, 8:24 PM

    4

    We’ve recently been treated to two mutually exclusive forecasts: that the Great Bull Market will run until 2016 or 2018, so no worries; and that markets are exhibiting bubble-like characteristics that presage another crash.

    So which forecast is more likely the correct one?

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  • Insider
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    The Case for Cash

    The wisdom of storing up 'dry powder' today
    by charleshughsmith

    Tuesday, December 10, 2013, 8:23 PM

    13

    Executive Summary

    • Why the next stock market decline could be in excess of 50%
    • What historic indicators of coming decline are telling us
    • The case for holding cash now
    • If the market does roll over substantially in early 2014, how long may the decline last?

    If you have not yet read The Case for a Crash, available free to all readers, please click here to read it first.

    In Part I, we attempted to answer the question, Which forecast is more likely to be accurate: that the Bull market in stocks will continue for years to come, or the market will swan-dive in yet another multi-year crash?

    We concluded that there was little historical evidence to support the claim that the S&P 500 will extend higher for an additional three to five years.

    Here in Part II, we’ll look for clues about the possible amplitude and timing of the decline that the five-year cycle of the “new normal” suggests is likely.

    (A reminder on gold: I detailed a forecast on gold earlier this year based on price action around key support/resistance levels, and nothing in recent price action has caused me to amend that forecast.  I have also noted that gold does not correlate well with either stocks or the U.S. dollar; i.e., its dynamics are largely independent of stocks and the USD. To the degree that gold is viewed as a “risk-off” safe-haven asset, it should do well if “risk-on” assets such as stocks crater.)

    Forecasting the Amplitude of the Next Decline

    A number of technical analysts have noted this megaphone pattern in the stock market, a pattern formed by alternating higher highs and lower lows.  This is one basis of forecasts for the SPX to drop to the 500-600 level in the next downdraft, potentially retracing the entire Bull advance from 1995. 

    While this megaphone may not play out, it establishes a potential target for a crushing drop from current highs…

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  • Blog

    Daily Digest 3/19 – Courage Of The Fukishima 50, The “Permanent Bull Market”, New Ways To Store Nuclear Waste

    by DailyDigest

    Saturday, March 19, 2011, 2:46 PM

    0
    • Courage of the Fukushima Fifty: This Is Suicide, Admit Workers Trying To Avert A Catastrophe
    • TEPCO Director Weeps After Disclosing Truth About Fukushima Disaster
    • Japan Quake Shakes U.S. Treasury Bond Market Get Ready for Financial Meltdown
    • Volatility and the “Permanent Bull Market”
    • Quake Response Puts Yen on the Line
    • Yentervention – G7 Style 
    • Nothing Left To Steal
    • The F-35: A Weapon That Costs More Than Australia
    • Japan’s Fearless Women Speculators
    • New Process Cleanly Extracts Oil From Tar Sands And Fouled Beaches
    • Nuclear Waste: From Bombs to $800 Handbags

    Crash Course DVDShare the Crash Course with your friends and family – buy the DVD today (NTSC or PAL)

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  • Blog

    Is Gold In a Bull Market?

    by Chris Martenson

    Monday, August 9, 2010, 1:50 PM

    0

    Note:  This article was written on May 28, 2010 and is an example of a Martenson Report available to enrolled members, albeit a relatively short one.  My service to enrolled members can be likened to an information scout who provides thoughtful analysis of current data while always remaining clear about the difference between facts, opinions, and beliefs.


    Executive Summary

    • Asking whether gold is in a bubble or a bull/bear market misses the point.
    • Better questions to ask involve fiat money management, government responses, and financial market risk.
    • Gold is not in a bull market; rather, faith in our decision-makers is in a bear market.
    • Trust is hard to come by these days. 
    • As for whether or not to buy gold, there are a number of factors to consider.

    I’d like to clarify my views on gold, because I approach this topic from a unique perspective that I think has value.

    For most, the idea of investing, or even speculating, is a matter of placing one’s money somewhere with the anticipation of getting more money back out at a later date.  Naturally, the footnote to this expectation reads, “…assuming money is worth the same.”  In this idea of investing, ‘more money’ is assumed to be synonymous with ‘greater purchasing power,’ because devalued money may represent a significant loss.  The shifting target in this story since 1971 has been the untethered value of the currency itself.

    For many investors, it has been a useful frame of reference to define various asset classes and markets in terms of being either “bull” or “bear” markets, where prices for investments have risen or fallen over some period of time, respectively.

    Sometimes, when a bull market ramps out of control and then crashes, it is said to have been in a “bubble.”

    Recently, the WSJ asked the question of whether or not gold is in a bubble, which is an important distinction for many investors, because if the answer is “yes,” then the next question is, “So when will it crash?”

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