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Tag Archives: Bubbles

  • Insider
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    Off The Cuff: A World Of Rising Interest Rates

    Means a future of falling prices -- in nearly everything
    by Adam Taggart

    Friday, December 29, 2017, 8:55 PM

    3

    In this week's Off The Cuff podcast, Chris and Charles Hugh Smith discuss:

    • The Crashing Treasury Curve
      • Interest rates are on the move
    • Get Ready For Interest Rates To Start Rising
      • The end of a 30-year downtrend
    • When Rates Rise, Prices Will Fall
      • Bonds, stocks, housing — nearly everything
    • What's Next For Bitcoin?
      • We're witnessing a historical moment

    Charles and Chris discuss the implications to anticipate should interest rates indeed start rising. The quick summary? It will change everything…

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    What To Invest In When The Everything Bubble Bursts

    Where will true value be found?
    by charleshughsmith

    Saturday, October 28, 2017, 5:38 AM

    10

    Executive Summary

    • Why conventional analysis may not be our best guide anymore
    • The critical importance of scarcity and value-production
    • Making the most of your time and capital
    • How to best prepare for the popping of the 'Everything' Bubble

    If you have not yet read Part 1: What Could Pop the Everything Bubble? available free to all readers, please click here to read it first.

    In Part 1, we surveyed the economic and socio-political dynamics that will pop the credit/asset bubbles that have created an illusion of normalcy, continuity and prosperity for the past eight years. So how do we non-elites prepare for the end of the everything bubble and the rise of economic, socio-political disorder?

    The Conventional Approach

    The conventional approach is to seek out assets that will survive either a deflationary implosion (i.e. an implosive collapse of collateral and debt) or high inflation fueled by massive helicopter money distributions to keep the “growth” machine chugging forward.

    The Usual Suspects are real-world tangible assets such as precious metals, real estate, orchards, oil fields, solar panels, etc.  These are touted as survivable assets because their utility value remains intact regardless of whether their price in currencies drops or soars.

    Another Usual Suspect is intrinsically scarce collectibles such as fine art, early 1960s-era Fender guitars, etc.

    A newcomer is bitcoin and the other leading cryptocurrencies, which are seen by many as holding scarcity value due to their limited issuance.

    This approach is commonsensical and sound, as far as it goes. But it is ultimately a financial approach, not much different than any other form of sell high, buy low, sell high advice of switching out of overvalued asset classes into undervalued asset classes, and then riding the uptrend in the undervalued asset until it too is overvalued.

    This approach assumes the larger socio-political-economic system will sort itself out in due time, i.e. it assumes continuity based on self-correcting mechanisms built into the financial status quo.

    I’m not so sure that the financial system has any self-correcting mechanisms left, or that they will function as expected in a phase shift or supernova implosion.

    Put another way…

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  • Blog
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    Too Good For Too Long

    Over-extended systems contract quickly & violently
    by Adam Taggart

    Saturday, October 14, 2017, 12:42 AM

    1

    Having just lived through the massive fires in northern California — on top of watching news reports over the previous weeks of similarly abrupt "before/after" transitions in Houston, Florida, Puerto Rico, Mexico City, Las Vegas and Catalonia — I have a new-found appreciation for the maxim that when it arrives, change happens quickly — usually much more quickly than folks ever imagined, catching the general public off-guard and unprepared.

    We humans tend to think linearly and comparatively. In other words, we usually assume the near future will look a lot like the recent past. And it does much of the time.

    But other times it doesn't. And that's where the danger lies.

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    You’re Likely A Lot Less Prepared For Crisis Than You Realize

    Lessons from the recent rash of natural disasters
    by Chris Martenson

    Friday, September 22, 2017, 7:25 PM

    32

    It seems as if Mother Nature is waking up. Either she's trying to send humans an important warning, or perhaps she's just out to kill us all.

    Massive storms across the globe, earthquakes, and collapsing ecosystems all combine to remind us that we are indeed intimately connected to our planet's natural systems. And that our well-being rests on staying on Mother Nature's good side.

    Well, Mother Nature has seemed pretty pissed at us of late. Her recent punishments should be taken as a disciplinary wake-up call.

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    Better A Year Early Than A Day Too Late

    Preparation only has value if it's done in advance
    by Adam Taggart

    Tuesday, August 22, 2017, 5:42 AM

    7

    When it comes, change happens swiftly. And life after — for better or worse — is forever different.

    I've witnessed this time and time again since co-founding Peak Prosperity. And pretty much every time, I notice that the vast majority of people — including many of the the watchful and preparation-minded folks who read this site — are caught by surprise.

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  • Blog
    entrepreneur.com

    The Pin To Pop This Mother Of All Bubbles?

    A worsening shortfall in new credit creation
    by Chris Martenson

    Friday, June 16, 2017, 11:23 PM

    27

    Global macro economic data has been weak for many years, but there’s now a very real chance of a world-wide recession happening in 2017.

    Why? A dramatic and worsening shortfall in new credit creation.

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  • Blog
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    Why The Markets Are Overdue For A Gigantic Bust

    It's just not possible to print our way to prosperity
    by Chris Martenson

    Friday, June 9, 2017, 11:38 PM

    13

    As much as I try, I simply cannot jump on the bandwagon that says that printing up money out of thin air has any long-term utility for an economy.

    It's just too clear to me that doing so presents plenty of dangers, due what we might call 'economic gravity': What goes up, must also come down.

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    When This All Blows Up…

    Understanding the how & when of the next economic crash
    by Chris Martenson

    Saturday, March 11, 2017, 5:01 AM

    23

    This report marks the end of a series of three big trains of thought. The first explained how we’re living through the Mother Of All Financial Bubbles. The next detailed the Great Wealth Transfer that is now underway, siphoning our wealth into the pockets of an elite few.

    This concluding report predicts how these deleterious and unsustainable trends will inevitably ‘resolve’ (which is a pleasant way of saying ‘blow up’.)

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    It’s Bubble Time!

    Wisdom & discipline will separate winners from victims
    by Chris Martenson

    Thursday, February 23, 2017, 9:50 PM

    28

    It's impossible to predict with certainty how much more insane our financial markets will get before an inevitable correction, but my personal bet is “a lot!”

    For my reasons why, take a few minutes to watch the chapter on bubbles below from The Crash Course. For those who haven't seen it before, the takeaway is this: bubbles pop only when greed in the market has been exhausted.

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  • Blog
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    The Mother Of All Financial Bubbles

    Will be unimaginably destructive when it bursts
    by Chris Martenson

    Thursday, February 23, 2017, 3:45 AM

    27

    The main lesson from Oroville — or Fukushima, or Katrina —  is that governments do a poor job of relating accurate information to their citizens when big threats are involved. Part of that is likely due to a desire to avoid stoking fear. Part probably due to politics and bureaucracy. And part probably due to plain old incompetence.

    Regardless of the cause, it means that the public — even the vigilant ones — suffer information deficits when it matters most. Simply put, the authorities do not share all the facts necessary for making informed decisions.

    Which brings us to one of the truly great risks we're facing today. One with much more destructive potential than a single failed dam but, like Oroville, one the authorities are desperate to keep us in the dark about.

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