Tag Archives: bubble

  • Blog

    Observations From The Heart Of Silicon Valley

    The calm before the storm?
    by Adam Taggart

    Friday, May 20, 2016, 12:11 AM

    35

    Yesterday I made the 2-hour drive back to Silicon Valley, where I lived for 15 years before moving out to the country.

    I rarely go back, as I miss very little about the hyper-elite scene there. When I do, though, I feel I have a useful 'insider-now-outsider' perspective that allows me to see things there more accurately than those who live in that fishbowl 24/7.

    What hit me most strongly upon arriving back in the Menlo Park/Palo Alto area, is how little of the craziness has changed since I left 4 years ago. I don't mean 'unchanged' though; rather that the same craziness is there, just more extreme than ever.

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  • Insider
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    Off The Cuff: We Need Money We Can Trust

    A case for a new type of money system
    by Adam Taggart

    Friday, May 13, 2016, 1:49 AM

    15

    In this week's Off The Cuff podcast, Chris and Charles Hugh Smith discuss:

    • The Death Of The Status Quo
      • The establishment is in a doomed fight to keep change at bay
    • The Importance Of Free Pricing
      • When we can't trust the signals prices are sending us, we're blind
    • The Need For Sound Money
      • When money is manipulated, mal-investment ensues
    • The CLIME Model
      • Charles walks us through his proposal for a labor-backed currency system

    Click to listen to a sample of this Off the Cuff Podcast or Enroll today to access the full audio and other premium content today.

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  • Blog
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    The Year Of The Red Monkey: Volatility Reigns Supreme

    To preserve capital, you need to outsmart the monkey
    by charleshughsmith

    Friday, March 11, 2016, 7:16 PM

    0

    In the lunar calendar that started February 8, this is the Year of the Red Monkey. I found this description of the Red Monkey quite apt:

    "According to Chinese Five Elements Horoscopes, Monkey contains Metal and Water. Metal is connected to gold. Water is connected to wisdom and danger. Therefore, we will deal with more financial events in the year of the Monkey. Monkey is a smart, naughty, wily and vigilant animal. If you want to have good return for your money investment, then you need to outsmart the Monkey. Metal is also connected to the Wind. That implies the status of events will be changing very quickly. Think twice before you leap when making changes for your finance, career, business relationship and people relationship."

    (Source)

    In other words, the financial world will be volatile. And few will have the agility and wile to outsmart the market-monkey.

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  • Blog
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    The Deflation Monster Has Arrived

    And it sure looks angry
    by Chris Martenson

    Saturday, January 16, 2016, 12:53 AM

    46

    As we’ve been warning for quite a while (too long for my taste): the world’s grand experiment with debt has come to an end. And it’s now unraveling.

    Just in the two weeks since the start of 2016, the US equity markets are down almost 10%. Their worst start to the year in history. Many other markets across the world are suffering worse.

    If you watched stock prices today, you likely had flashbacks to the financial crisis of 2008. At one point the Dow was down over 500 points, the S&P cracked below key support at 1,900, and the price of oil dropped below $30/barrel. Scared investors are wondering:  What the heck is happening? Many are also fearfully asking: Are we re-entering another crisis?

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  • Insider
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    Why This Next Crisis Will Be Worse Than 2008

    And what you can do to prepare
    by Chris Martenson

    Saturday, January 16, 2016, 12:53 AM

    99

    Executive Summary

    • There are too many signs of deflation to deny it's winning the day
    • Why China's weakening will accelerate the global economy's decent
    • Why this next crisis will be worse than 2008
    • What will it look like if things really get out of control (how bad could things get?)
    • The best investments to be making now, before the rout

    If you have not yet read The Deflation Monster Has Arrived, available free to all readers, please click here to read it first.

    Too Many Warning Signs To Talk About

    The deflationary monster is here and there are almost too many warning signs to list, let alone fully describe.

    So I’ll just list and link them…you can follow up on the details if you want, it’s the ‘general vibe’ I want to get across.

    Here are the signs of a weak economy that we are dealing with:

    The pattern here is one of rapidly slowing economic activity and mounting pain starting “from the outside in” as emerging markets and the poor people within the core countries bear the brunt at first. Things always get rolling to the downside starting with the weakest, peripheral elements first.

    Copper and oil are providing very clear signs that economic activity is not just slow, but in rapid retreat. Wal-Mart tells us that its shoppers are having trouble. The fresh all-time lows in a variety of currencies, plus massive weakness in others, is telling us that the virtuous portion of the liquidity cycle that the Fed, et al., unleashed on the world has entered the vicious part of the cycle.

    The pain will spread to the center with increasing speed. The main question is if the authorities can stop that before the momentum becomes too great to halt? And what will happen if they cannot?

    The answer to that is…

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  • Blog

    Markets Are Correcting Hard

    An assessment of the risks of things getting worse from here
    by Chris Martenson

    Friday, January 8, 2016, 5:41 AM

    11

    The long-awaited global financial market correction has arrived. We are seeing collapses in all major markets and across all major categories.

    As usual, the pain has started at the edges, in the weaker elements (emerging markets, junk bonds, weak companies, etc.) and is rapidly spreading towards the center.

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  • Insider
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    Pop! It’s Time.

    The end of the (most recent) bubble era is here
    by Chris Martenson

    Monday, December 14, 2015, 5:51 AM

    39

    The Federal Reserve is a serial bubble blower; and it has done it again. As we’ve been saying for a long time (too long, it seems), when this bubble comes apart, massive disruption and economic pain will follow.

    Based on recent events, it seems that the time has finally arrived to say: This is it.

    It’s done. Put a fork in it. It’s over.

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  • Insider
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    Time To Review

    Markets are soaring on terrible, awful data
    by Chris Martenson

    Tuesday, November 3, 2015, 4:37 AM

    20

    Back in August things were falling apart.  Macro-economic indicators were steadily worsening, corporate profits and revenues were suddenly falling, and US unemployment came in far worse than expected.

    Of course in today's bizzarro logic, that meant only one thing:  the equity “”markets”” were going to be bid up, and gold was going to be held in check.

    Both have not only come to pass, but have done so in spectacular fashion.

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  • Insider
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    Devastating Shale Oil Losses

    Coming soon to a bank near you
    by Chris Martenson

    Monday, October 19, 2015, 8:12 PM

    24

    Sometimes it helps to examine one narrow slice of the pie as a means to understanding the entire pie. In the case of the shale oil Ponzi scheme, we can both wrap our minds around the scale of the predicament and also answer the question of who the losses will be foisted on.

    Once we’ve done that, you should be able to simply apply the same logic and learning to other sectors of the financial universe.  Learn one sub-bubble, learn them all; like a fractal foam of misadventure.

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  • Blog
    mentalfloss.com

    The Death Of Hopium

    Tech Bubble 3.0 is in the process of bursting
    by Adam Taggart

    Tuesday, October 13, 2015, 8:48 PM

    80

    I got my MBA at Stanford in 1999 when the dot-com bubble was at its zenith, worked for a VC-funded start-up as well as one of the biggest Internet juggernauts (Yahoo!). I lived in Palo Alto, the central core of the tech scene.

    As a result, I have a pretty good read on how Silicon Valley works. Many of the folks I worked and went to school with are now in leadership positions at the big operating companies, VC firms and hedge funds in that ecosystem now — so I have personal knowledge of who's making the decisions.

    And it's no secret that I think it's degenerated into a steaming pile of hucksterism.

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