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Tag Archives: bonds

  • Blog
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    The Cardinal Sin Of Investing: Permanent Impairment Of Capital

    How to avoid making it
    by Adam Taggart

    Saturday, September 16, 2017, 12:47 AM

    2

    Permanent impairment of capital is the cardinal sin of investing.

    Well, today's markets present a clear and present danger of coming capital impairment for those who don't take prudent action in advance of a market downturn. Don't be guilty of inaction.

     

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  • Blog
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    Last Chance To Register For The Dangerous Markets Webinar

    The webinar takes place this Wed @ noon EST
    by Adam Taggart

    Monday, September 11, 2017, 9:26 PM

    3

    If you have not yet registered for the Dangerous Markets webinar, which will take place at noon EST this Wednesday Sep 13th, time is quickly running out.

    Chris and I are extremely excited for this one, as the featured presenters — Grant Williams and Lance Roberts — are two of our favorite market analysts. Both have done truly excellent work recently in identifying the key indicators to track as the current Mother Of All Financial Bubbles tops out and prepares to burst. This will be a very data-rich discussion (in other words, you chart geeks are going to be in heaven).

    The price to participate in this webinar is $25, unless you are an enrolled member of PeakProsperity.com (i.e. paying subscriber with access to our 'Insider' content). In that case, it's FREE

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  • Insider
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    How To Deal With Our Dangerous Markets And Failing Future

    Now is the time for prudent action
    by Chris Martenson

    Saturday, September 9, 2017, 3:25 AM

    3

    Executive Summary

    • Controlled markets can't be controlled forever
    • Confidence is beginning to fail, even at the top
    • The leading indicators to monitor closely
    • The reason to get excited about gold & silver again

    If you have not yet read Part 1: Who’s Going To Eat The Losses? available free to all readers, please click here to read it first.

    As we recently covered in this week's special webinar, the geopolitical tensions across the world, alone, should have created some sort of ‘risk off’ response in the equity markets.  With China, Russia and North Korea all increasingly at odds with the US for a wide variety of reasons, it’s very hard to make a case that Everything is Awesome!

    Instead, it’s very easy to make the case that the world is on the brink of a period of destructive trade wars, if not actual 'hot' wars. 

    Again, that alone should be introducing some uncertainty, some ‘risk off’ behaviors by which we mean some sort of a selloff in equities. But that’s just not the case.

    In fact, the current stock ramp-up is the second longest without even a 3% sell-off in all of US equity history.

    It's my firm belief that these calm markets do not represent the collective wisdom of millions of independent traders and investors.  They are instead the result of both direct and indirect support of said markets by monetary authorities and their proxies. That is, the central banks and the big banks they actually represent and look out for. 

    But this lack of volatility will have a very painful cost some day. No different than in a political crisis where an oppressed people finally rise up, the suppression of market volatility will spill over and…

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  • Blog
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    Van Halen, M&Ms, And The Next Market Downturn

    How watching the right indicators will avoid disaster
    by Adam Taggart

    Friday, September 1, 2017, 11:28 PM

    13

    Believe it or not, the rock band Van Halen found a brilliant way to teach how having good indicators is key to achieving success.

    This is extremely true for the world of investing, where you're deploying capital based upon an expected future return. How do you determine when it's a good time to enter into an investment? Once in it, how do monitor the conditions supporting your rationale for holding it — are those changing? And if so, are they getting better or worse? When should you exit the position?

    For all of these questions, the better the indicators you use, the more accurate and informed your decision-making will be. And the better your returns as an investor will be.

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  • Blog
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    Better A Year Early Than A Day Too Late

    Preparation only has value if it's done in advance
    by Adam Taggart

    Tuesday, August 22, 2017, 5:42 AM

    7

    When it comes, change happens swiftly. And life after — for better or worse — is forever different.

    I've witnessed this time and time again since co-founding Peak Prosperity. And pretty much every time, I notice that the vast majority of people — including many of the the watchful and preparation-minded folks who read this site — are caught by surprise.

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  • Podcast

    Richard Sylla: This Is An Inherently Dangerous Moment In History

    Low interest rates are causing distortions & mis-allocations
    by Adam Taggart

    Monday, August 7, 2017, 6:42 PM

    23

    "The rates we’ve had in recent years, including right now, are the lowest in history. The book that I co-authored on the history of interest rates traces back to the code of Hammurabi, Babylonian civilization, Greek and Roman civilization, the Middle Ages, the Renaissance, and early modern history right up to the present. And I can assure our listeners that the rates that they’re experiencing right now are the lowest in human history."

    So says Richard Sylla, Professor Emeritus of Economics and the Former Henry Kaufman Professor of the History of Financial Institutions and Markets at New York University's Stern School of Business. He is also co-author of the book A History Of Interest Rates

    We invited Professor Sylla onto the podcast after hearing his work favorably referenced by the panel convened at the recent hearing held by the US Congress titled: “The Federal Reserve’s Impact on Main Street, Retirees and Savings.”

    Based on his deep study across the scope of millennia of human history, Sylla warns we are at a dangerous moment in time.

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  • Insider
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    Off The Cuff: The Unsinkable(?) Market

    No data is too bad enough to stop its rise
    by Adam Taggart

    Friday, July 21, 2017, 6:06 AM

    0

    In this week's Off The Cuff podcast, Chris and Mish Shedlock discuss:

    • The Unsinkable Market
      • No data is bad enough to stop its rise
    • The Disappearance Of Volatility
      • Gone, but for how long?
    • Failing Pension Plans
      • A truly massive crisis in the making
    • Cash, Gold & Bitcoin
      • The only places for capital to find safety?

    During these doldrum days of summer, where no matter the news, today's "unsinkable" markets continue to march ever upwards, Mish shares his thoughts on what will finally cause asset prices to tank.

    Click to listen to a sample of this Off the Cuff Podcast or Enroll today to access the full audio and other premium content today.
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  • Podcast

    Steve St. Angelo: Prepare For Asset Price Declines Of 50-75%

    When the debt bubble pops, it's taking everything with it
    by Adam Taggart

    Monday, July 3, 2017, 8:00 PM

    65

    Any sense of prosperity in today's economy is based on a falsehood, claims Steve St. Angelo, proprietor of the SRSrocco Report website.

    Like we here at PeakProsperity.com, Steve is a student of energy. He shares our worldview that net energy per capita has been in steady decline, and a result, future growth will be limited. Also like us, he notes that the "growth" seen over the past several decades hasn't been due to surplus net energy (which makes being able to do more possible). Instead, it has been fueled by debt  — which essentially steals prosperity from the future and consumes it today.

    Any third-grader with a crayon can quickly tell you that kind of scam can't last forever. And it can't. Once the can can't be kicked any further and the next economic and/or financial crisis is upon us, Steve sees today's over-inflated asset prices quickly dropping by a gut-wrenching 50-75%.

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  • Insider
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    Off The Cuff: The Approaching Minsky Moment

    The world is unprepared for the reset heading our way
    by Adam Taggart

    Thursday, June 22, 2017, 1:00 AM

    19

    In this week's Off The Cuff podcast, Chris and Mish Shedlock discuss:

    • A Study In Failure Of The State
      • Chris shares his on-the-ground observations from So. America
    • It Can Happen Here
      • Mish shares his on-the-ground observations from Illinois
    • Virtually All The Macroeconomic Data Is Miserable
      • Yet the Fed & the markets are acting like everything's great
    • The Approaching Minsky Moment
      • It's a matter of if, not when

    This week's Off The Cuff discussion is an interesting one. Both Chris and Mish have front-row seats to two failing governments — Chris in Argentina, and Mish in Illinois. It feels to them like they are getting a preview of the economic pain soon to come to the rest of the world.

    Both are *very* concerned that citizens and investors across the globe are being duped by the (lack of) signals and messages today's ""markets"" are providing. Looking at the steady drumbeat of bad & worsening macroeconomic data, as well as the immense gap between fundamentals and asset prices, Chris and Mish are as confident as they have ever been that a massive painful reset is nigh. But too many of our leaders, and too much of the public, remain complacent/ignorant (willfully or not) regarding this risk. 

    Their conclusion? The world is woefully unprepared for the Minsky moment headed its way.

    Click to listen to a sample of this Off the Cuff Podcast or Enroll today to access the full audio and other premium content today.

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  • Blog
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    Why The Markets Are Overdue For A Gigantic Bust

    It's just not possible to print our way to prosperity
    by Chris Martenson

    Friday, June 9, 2017, 11:38 PM

    13

    As much as I try, I simply cannot jump on the bandwagon that says that printing up money out of thin air has any long-term utility for an economy.

    It's just too clear to me that doing so presents plenty of dangers, due what we might call 'economic gravity': What goes up, must also come down.

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