Tag Archives: Art Berman

In this week’s Off The Cuff podcast, Chris and Art Berman discuss:

• It’s about as bad as it has ever been for the US oil industry
• Expect the government to intervene, as oil is Too Vital To Fail
• Any ‘recovery’ will be long and costly
• Like it or not, energy conservation and efficiency will be forced on society

The global economy remains completely addicted to fossil fuel, particularly oil — the “master” resource.

Of late, a collapse in the price of oil due to a slowing global economy — and then the widespread shutdowns forced by covid-19 — combined with overleveraged players and energetically-expensive extraction practices, and the industry is facing a likely wave of bankruptcies.

So expect extreme action to keep the oil flowing, including but not limited to government takeover. Why? It truly is an “at all costs” need for those in charge. Art explains why extremely eloquently in this podcast.

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In this week’s Off The Cuff podcast, Chris and Art Berman discuss:

• Understanding The Importance Of Crack Spreads
• Diesel Consumption Is Down 500,000 Barrels/Day Since January
• The Shale Oil Reckoning Is Approaching
• Key Slides From Art

Petroleum expert Art Berman explains how crack spreads (the difference between what refiners pay for crude oil and the price they receive for their refined product) and oil demand volumes are indicating the global economy is slowing markedly. Economies need energy to function. Less energy consumed = lower growth and output.

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In this week’s Off The Cuff podcast, Chris and Art Berman discuss:

• Shale Oil’s Chronic Profit Drought
  • Nearly all companies are cash-flow negative
• Why Drilling US Oil Isn’t Profitable
  • Oil service costs eat your lunch
• Why Drillers Can’t Stop Drilling
  • They need cash to service their debts
• Shale Oil Is A Business Model With No Future
  • When credit tightens, the whole industry will implode

Right now, the US is still producing a record amount of oil, due mostly to shale fields developed within the past decade. But that bonanza won’t last — it can’t last — explains petroleum geologist Art Berman. Nearly every shale driller has been and will remain to be unprofitable. The nature of shale wells and the nature of oil service costs will ensure that.

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In this week's Off The Cuff podcast, Chris and Art Berman discuss:

• Is the Ghawar oil field truly in decline?
• If so, what are the implications?
• What other important revelations does the Saudi Aramco prospectus contain?

In the light of the huge surprise contained in the recent Saudi Aramco prospectus, that Saudi Arabia's massive Ghawar “crown jewel” conventional oil field is in decline (currently at a maximum output of 3.8 million barrels per day vs the previous estimate of 5.8mbd), we rushed to interview seasoned petroleum geologist Art Berman on the news.

Is he as concerned about the revelation as we are?

Yes. In fact, he suspects the 3.8mbd is likely still an overly-exagerrated figure, and that the field's true max output is even lower.

In his estimation, the fiction the world has been telling itself — that Peak Oil isn't real — is about to be rudely disproven. The recent (and much more expensive) shale bonanza will prove to be a short-lived distraction, and we'll soon be face-to-face with the predicament of how to power the global economy with less net energy.

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