Re: Odds of US attacking Iran within the next 24 months?
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Much ado about nothing.
This is marketing, big boy style. At stake is the largest arms sale ever attempted on the planet, $60 bn to Saudi Arabia. This is US interests talking the book drumming up some extra motivation to close the deal of the century.
Next, in a year or two the same US arms dealers will approach Israel with the pitch to upgrade their diminishing firepower, to counter the Saudi’s newfound mobilization. No doubt this will include technology heretofore withheld as too sensitive, as US defense contractors will have already backfilled the upgrade path with more sophisticated features for US use only, to be withheld until next time.
And after a few more years to let the amnesia set in once again, Iran will once again be a “friend and ally” in the region, and of course, be propositioned to an even larger arms sale to counter the Israelis and Saudi’s recent upgrades.
The message- you can have all the firepower you want, as long as you buy it from us, when we say you can, and when you fit into the regions’ procurement cycle.
The Obama administration formally notified Congress yesterday that it is to sell $60bn of weapons to Saudi Arabia, a move designed to boost the US arms industry and help counter growing Iranian power.
The deal, the biggest arms sale in US history, was disclosed last month but the administration, as required by law, has first to seek Congressional approval. Congress has 30 days to block the deal.
“This proposed sale has tremendous significance from a strategic regional perspective,” said Andrew Shapiro, the assistant secretary of state for political and military affairs who announced the deal.
“It will send a strong message to countries in the region that we are committed to support the security of our key partners and allies in the Arabian Gulf and broader Middle East. And it will enhance Saudi Arabia’s ability to deter and defend against threats to its borders and to its oil infrastructure, which is critical to our economic interests.”
The US claims Iran is building a nuclear weapons capability, which Tehran denies. Even without a nuclear weapon, Iran has benefited from the changes in regime in Iraq and Afghanistan, allowing it to expand its influence.
The US is hoping to contain Iran by building up the defences of Saudi Arabia and the neighbouring Gulf states.