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Market Shift - Something Is Coming

Sunday, November 1, 2009, 8:36 AM
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Sunday, November 1, 2009

Executive Summary

  • A break in past relationships between the stock market, the dollar, and gold, along with a breakout in the VIX, could be signaling the beginning of an important turning point
  • Capmark declares bankruptcy (CIT is next).
  • A commercial real estate emergency is upon us.
  • Is gold signaling a continuation of the financial crisis, or something more?

As you know, I spend a great deal of time combing the available market information for clues about what is happening in the economy and where it may be leading us. This past week (October 24 - October 31, 2009) showed some amazing developments indicating that a major turning point is once again upon us.

This assessment is based on several key events, including the bankruptcy of Capmark Financial, which kicked off the week, the return of volatility to the stock market (reminiscent of past tops), and the bizarre strength in the price of gold on Friday, even as the Dow peeled off nearly 250 points.

Let's take a look at these events one at a time...

 

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