Insider

Alert: QE II Has Lit The Fuse

Thursday, November 11, 2010, 2:42 PM
Enroll NowFor enrolled members only. Enroll or Sign in to read the full article.
Thursday, November 11, 2010

Executive Summary

  • The US is one failed auction away from economic meltdown.
  • OECD countries are not aligned on what battle they're fighting.
  • 'Emergency' measures governments are now taking will become permanent.
  • Currency devaluation & higher prices are inevitable.
  • Time to prepare is running out. Use the time you have wisely.
  • Chris gives specifics of his personal preparations for use as a guide.

Part I

If you have not yet read Part I of this report, please click here to read it first.

Part II

To quickly review Part I, the US has embarked on a very dangerous strategy of trying to print its way to prosperity, and various countries have, in exceptionally strong terms, indicated severe displeasure with the move. Essentially, they've determined that the US is trying to export its difficulties to them, and this is not appreciated.

So what do we make of this, and what might happen next?

I'll be honest with you here: I have been redoubling my efforts at personal preparation over the past few weeks (and they were already on set to "high" over the past six months). I now see a very high possibility that a fiscal and/or associated dollar crisis could happen in the next 12 months. How high? Right now it looks like 50/50 to me; it's a coin flip (or Russian roulette with three in the cylinder, if you prefer).

All that would be required to set match to dry tinder would be a single failed Treasury auction. You may consider this unlikely due to the presence of the Fed backstopping all new government borrowing, and that's certainly a valid consideration, but the wildcard here is that the Fed is merely backstopping all the new Treasury issuances. As I indicated in part one, above, while the US might be floating roughly $1.2 - $1.5 trillion in new Treasuries in 2011, there's another $3 trillion or so of 'rollovers' that have to go off without a hitch as well.

 

Enroll Now
Or Sign In with your enrolled account.
Endorsed Financial Adviser Endorsed Financial Adviser

Looking for a financial adviser who sees the world through a similar lens as we do? Free consultation available.

Learn More »
Read Our New Book "Prosper!"Read Our New Book

Prosper! is a "how to" guide for living well no matter what the future brings.

Learn More »

 

Related content

69 Comments on Alert: QE II Has Lit The Fuse

Enroll now or Sign In to read all member comments.