The Energy-Less Recovery

Wednesday, September 30, 2009, 3:04 PM
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There is such a tight correlation between energy use (specifically petroleum demand) and economic growth that it is almost unthinkable to suggest that one could actually have a recovery in the economy absent a recovery in petroleum demand.

But that's what we are being asked to believe, if we put the results of two separate government reports together that both happened to come out today.  The first says that the US economy shrank by only 0.18% percent in the second quarter, or at an annualized rate of 0.7%.  The second says that oil demand in July retreated to a level last seen 13 years ago.

These do not make sense in the least, and one of them has it dead wrong.  You know where I am going with this already, don't you?

Here's the first:


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