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Off The Cuff: The Driverless Future

It's going to have a HUGE impact, especially on jobs
Thursday, October 27, 2016, 8:36 PM

In this week's Off The Cuff podcast, Chris and Mish Shedlock discuss:

  • Meaningless Metrics
    • Offical data is so 'fuzzy' as to be useless now
  • AT&T/Time Warner merger & Snapchat IPO
    • Signs of excess seen at a bubble top
  • The Driverless Future
    • It's going to have a HUGE impact, especially on jobs
  • The Demographic Time Bomb
    • Pensions will start blowing up left & right

Click to listen to a sample of this Off the Cuff Podcast or Enroll today to access the full audio and other premium content today. » Read more

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Learnings From My Recent Trip To Hong Kong & China

Our message is being very well received there
Monday, October 24, 2016, 4:57 PM

On October 5th at 1:45 in the morning I got on a Cathay Pacific flight to Hong Kong. 

If you recall, I'm participating in an Advisory Group for the United Nations. On this trip I also had a chance to deliver the Crash Course to an audience in Shenzhen. So we can now say The Crash Course has been heard on the Chinese mainland! 

It was one thing for me to read about China’s explosive growth and quite another to go there and see it and feel it for myself. It's real, and its scale is massive. » Read more

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Off The Cuff: Between A Rock & A Hard Place

No good options left for the economy
Friday, October 21, 2016, 2:06 AM

In this week's Off The Cuff podcast, John Rubino and I discuss:

  • The Politics Of Paucity
    • Why our current leaders are singularly ill-equipped to deal with de-growth
  • Rate Hike/Fake Hike
    • Is future central bank tightening a fantasy story?
  • Destination Hyperinflation
    • It's the safest bet (in the long term)
  • Prospect Theory
    • The pain of losses outweighs the pleasure of gains

Click to listen to a sample of this Off the Cuff Podcast or Enroll today to access the full audio and other premium content today. » Read more

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Opportunity In Crisis

Be one of those who prospers from the coming change
Friday, October 14, 2016, 5:33 PM

Executive Summary

  • The systemic markers that precede collapse
  • The approaching end of our current 'unlimited growth' paradigm
  • Is a collapse inevitable? Or can we evolve gracefully to a new model?
  • The opportunity within the coming change

If you have not yet read Part 1: What Triggers Collapse? available free to all readers, please click here to read it first.

What Triggers Collapse?

Many authors (Jared Diamond, Joseph Tainter, Thomas Homer-Dixon, David Hackett Fischer,   Michael Grant and Peter Turchin, to name a few) have delved into the question of why civilizations decay and fail.  The question of how nations/empires endure gets considerably less attention, but economic/social adaptability, the resilience of shared purpose/social cohesion, social mobility, the ability to generate reliable surpluses, secure trade routes, a professional army and navy to defend borders and trade routes, a merit-based a professional bureaucracy to collect taxes and oversee commerce, a stable form of money and competent leadership all play critical roles.

But history is replete with examples of nation-states and empires that possess all these positive attributes that still decay and collapse once critical supplies of energy and food fail, or invaders conquer essential territories or trade routes.

Can we generalize the dynamics that weaken a nation/empire to the point where collapse cannot be staved off?

The authors listed above have highlighted the following systemic dynamics... » Read more

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Off The Cuff: Topping Markets

To avoid a fall, we'll need a bigger stimulus program...
Friday, October 14, 2016, 10:48 AM

In this week's Off The Cuff podcast, Chris and Mish Shedlock discuss:

  • The Rush To War
    • Tensions with Russia continue to mount
  • Odds Of A Fed Hike Rising?
    • Even if the Fed wants to, can it?
  • Recession Warning Signs
    • It's getting harder to argue we're not already in one
  • Topping Markets
    • To keep them elevated, we're going to need a bigger stimulus package...

Click to listen to a sample of this Off the Cuff Podcast or Enroll today to access the full audio and other premium content today. » Read more

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The Second Presidential Debate

The demonization of Russia shifts into high gear
Monday, October 10, 2016, 9:00 PM

Look, I know that there are no great choices this time for the next President of the United States. Yet many people have decided which issues matter the most to them when the time comes to cast their vote, and I fully support each person’s chosen personal priorities.

It turns out, to my great surprise, I am a single issue voter this election. I’ve never been a single issue voter before. Usually I'm of the mind that it's a complex world, and many factors need to be weighted and balanced.

So, what’s my single issue? » Read more

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Off The Cuff: The Drums Of War

US & Russia relations are deteriorating rapidly
Thursday, October 6, 2016, 11:16 AM

In this week's Off The Cuff podcast, Chris and Charles Hugh Smith discuss:

  • The Drums Of War
    • Relations between the US and Russia are deteriorating quickly
  • The Evil Empire
    • Have we become it?
  • Propaganda & Perception
    • The lie we're being sold doesn't match what our eyes see
  • Elite Privilege
    • A dangerous force defending the status quo

Click to listen to a sample of this Off the Cuff Podcast or Enroll today to access the full audio and other premium content today. » Read more

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Off The Cuff: Death By Status Quo

The establishment has become the enemy
Friday, September 30, 2016, 11:56 AM

In this week's Off The Cuff podcast, Chris and John Rubino discuss:

  • Debate Debrief
    • A Rorschach test for the nation
  • Death By Status Quo
    • The establishment is feeding itself on everyone else's future
  • Higher Oil Prices On The Horizon?
    • The turn back up may be nigh
  • Deutsche Bank Debacle
    • How bad could it get?

Click to listen to a sample of this Off the Cuff Podcast or Enroll today to access the full audio and other premium content today. » Read more

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Boomers vs Millennials

Society is pitting their interests increasingly at odds
Tuesday, September 27, 2016, 12:38 PM

In this week's Off The Cuff podcast, Chris and Becca Martenson discuss:

  • Boomers Have Everything To Lose
    • They cling to status quo to deliver promises made in the past
  • Millennials See Nothing To Gain
    • The future they're being asked to inherit appears bereft of value
  • Bridging The Generation Gap
    • How to replace strife with support
  • The Importance Of Mentoring
    • An age-old model need perhaps more now than ever
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Prepare For The Global Deflationary Deluge

The 2008 crisis was just a warm-up
Friday, September 23, 2016, 4:23 PM

Executive Summary

  • Why the debt market is the powder keg that will blow things sky-high
  • The most dangerous asset bubbles to watch and avoid
  • The implications of a collapse in the bond market
  • Where will money then go?

If you have not yet read Part 1: Hell To Pay available free to all readers, please click here to read it first.

Economic Deformations

The big problem with central bank policies, besides driving the largest wealth and income gaps in all of recorded history, is that they’ve massively deformed the financial and economic landscape. 

Too-cheap money has distorted just about everything, and has badly warped corporate incentives. There’s literally no place one can look and not find an economic or financial distortion.  “Gains” (such as they are) have gone to holders of financial assets, and corporations have opted to buy back their own shares and to not re-invest in property, plant, equipment or people. 

All of this will work right up until the day it doesn’t. And then we'll experience a financial and economic crisis likely to be the largest we ever live through.

And these distortions are not only everywhere, but they are all at record levels.  As in never higher in human history. 

Just looking at the corporate data alone ought to scare the pants of off every investor on the planet. As the chart below makes clear... » Read more