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My Personal Preparations For Nuclear War

Peace of mind today. Salvation tommorrow?
Friday, October 28, 2016, 8:40 PM

Executive Summary

  • The Importance Of Avoiding Contamination
  • The Steps I Took This Week
  • Resources For Estimating The Threat Level For Where You Live
  • Advice For City-Dwellers

If you have not yet read Part 1: We Risk Being Collateral Damage In The Neocon Lust For War available free to all readers, please click here to read it first.

First up, I promised you that if I ever took any actions I’d let you know about them.  I toyed with breaking that pledge (net very seriously) because I really don’t want to needlessly scare anybody.

I don’t like focusing on the negative, but I did catch myself thinking and slightly worrying about the tensions with Russia and realized that I did not have a few basic preparations.   So what do we do at Peak Prosperity when we have a gap between what we know and our actions?  We close up that gap with action.

I’ve written extensively about the possibility of war with Russia, and the possible things to protect against range from minor annoyances and shortages to a grid down event (via EMP or hacking) to a nuclear war.

Of them all, I suppose the grid down event scares me the most if it involved any protracted outage of more than a month.  Things fall apart never to be properly rebuilt if that happens. 

But a limited nuclear war, or even a more broad-based one if things really get out of hand, also worry me a lot.

And I am not the sort to sit around and worry.  I hate sitting around and worrying so last week I did what few things I could to assure that I can make the best of it if a nuclear exchange happens. 

Look, even if there’s only a 1% chance of a nuclear exchange over the next five years, I personally consider that that to be an excessive risk (given the catastrophic outcomes involved).  Given how I am built, I need to prepare as best I can so that I can relieve my anxiety and get back to living life fully.

As background, you should definitely re-read our excellent previously-issed reports on radiation and the difference between that and radioactive contamination because those are the building blocks for knowing how to survive. 

In fact, you should print them out and have them tucked into your preparations area. 

Having a grounded understanding of what radioactive isotopes are and what they do to a living system is critical knowledge to have.  But maybe you don’t need it yet.  So read the articles of background and put the whole subject away, hopefully forever, never to be revisited.

I’ll be honest; I am not all that scared by radioactivity.  My view is we evolved with background radiation and life has been dealing with it for a very long time.  Now contamination, on the other hand, which is the ingestion of a hot particle of some sort, now that scares me a lot. And it should scare you too. So much of my preparations are centered around... » Read more

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Off The Cuff: The Driverless Future

It's going to have a HUGE impact, especially on jobs
Thursday, October 27, 2016, 8:36 PM

In this week's Off The Cuff podcast, Chris and Mish Shedlock discuss:

  • Meaningless Metrics
    • Offical data is so 'fuzzy' as to be useless now
  • AT&T/Time Warner merger & Snapchat IPO
    • Signs of excess seen at a bubble top
  • The Driverless Future
    • It's going to have a HUGE impact, especially on jobs
  • The Demographic Time Bomb
    • Pensions will start blowing up left & right

Click to listen to a sample of this Off the Cuff Podcast or Enroll today to access the full audio and other premium content today. » Read more

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Learnings From My Recent Trip To Hong Kong & China

Our message is being very well received there
Monday, October 24, 2016, 4:57 PM

On October 5th at 1:45 in the morning I got on a Cathay Pacific flight to Hong Kong. 

If you recall, I'm participating in an Advisory Group for the United Nations. On this trip I also had a chance to deliver the Crash Course to an audience in Shenzhen. So we can now say The Crash Course has been heard on the Chinese mainland! 

It was one thing for me to read about China’s explosive growth and quite another to go there and see it and feel it for myself. It's real, and its scale is massive. » Read more

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Off The Cuff: Between A Rock & A Hard Place

No good options left for the economy
Friday, October 21, 2016, 2:06 AM

In this week's Off The Cuff podcast, John Rubino and I discuss:

  • The Politics Of Paucity
    • Why our current leaders are singularly ill-equipped to deal with de-growth
  • Rate Hike/Fake Hike
    • Is future central bank tightening a fantasy story?
  • Destination Hyperinflation
    • It's the safest bet (in the long term)
  • Prospect Theory
    • The pain of losses outweighs the pleasure of gains

Click to listen to a sample of this Off the Cuff Podcast or Enroll today to access the full audio and other premium content today. » Read more

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Opportunity In Crisis

Be one of those who prospers from the coming change
Friday, October 14, 2016, 5:33 PM

Executive Summary

  • The systemic markers that precede collapse
  • The approaching end of our current 'unlimited growth' paradigm
  • Is a collapse inevitable? Or can we evolve gracefully to a new model?
  • The opportunity within the coming change

If you have not yet read Part 1: What Triggers Collapse? available free to all readers, please click here to read it first.

What Triggers Collapse?

Many authors (Jared Diamond, Joseph Tainter, Thomas Homer-Dixon, David Hackett Fischer,   Michael Grant and Peter Turchin, to name a few) have delved into the question of why civilizations decay and fail.  The question of how nations/empires endure gets considerably less attention, but economic/social adaptability, the resilience of shared purpose/social cohesion, social mobility, the ability to generate reliable surpluses, secure trade routes, a professional army and navy to defend borders and trade routes, a merit-based a professional bureaucracy to collect taxes and oversee commerce, a stable form of money and competent leadership all play critical roles.

But history is replete with examples of nation-states and empires that possess all these positive attributes that still decay and collapse once critical supplies of energy and food fail, or invaders conquer essential territories or trade routes.

Can we generalize the dynamics that weaken a nation/empire to the point where collapse cannot be staved off?

The authors listed above have highlighted the following systemic dynamics... » Read more

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Off The Cuff: Topping Markets

To avoid a fall, we'll need a bigger stimulus program...
Friday, October 14, 2016, 10:48 AM

In this week's Off The Cuff podcast, Chris and Mish Shedlock discuss:

  • The Rush To War
    • Tensions with Russia continue to mount
  • Odds Of A Fed Hike Rising?
    • Even if the Fed wants to, can it?
  • Recession Warning Signs
    • It's getting harder to argue we're not already in one
  • Topping Markets
    • To keep them elevated, we're going to need a bigger stimulus package...

Click to listen to a sample of this Off the Cuff Podcast or Enroll today to access the full audio and other premium content today. » Read more

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The Second Presidential Debate

The demonization of Russia shifts into high gear
Monday, October 10, 2016, 9:00 PM

Look, I know that there are no great choices this time for the next President of the United States. Yet many people have decided which issues matter the most to them when the time comes to cast their vote, and I fully support each person’s chosen personal priorities.

It turns out, to my great surprise, I am a single issue voter this election. I’ve never been a single issue voter before. Usually I'm of the mind that it's a complex world, and many factors need to be weighted and balanced.

So, what’s my single issue? » Read more

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Off The Cuff: The Drums Of War

US & Russia relations are deteriorating rapidly
Thursday, October 6, 2016, 11:16 AM

In this week's Off The Cuff podcast, Chris and Charles Hugh Smith discuss:

  • The Drums Of War
    • Relations between the US and Russia are deteriorating quickly
  • The Evil Empire
    • Have we become it?
  • Propaganda & Perception
    • The lie we're being sold doesn't match what our eyes see
  • Elite Privilege
    • A dangerous force defending the status quo

Click to listen to a sample of this Off the Cuff Podcast or Enroll today to access the full audio and other premium content today. » Read more

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Off The Cuff: Death By Status Quo

The establishment has become the enemy
Friday, September 30, 2016, 11:56 AM

In this week's Off The Cuff podcast, Chris and John Rubino discuss:

  • Debate Debrief
    • A Rorschach test for the nation
  • Death By Status Quo
    • The establishment is feeding itself on everyone else's future
  • Higher Oil Prices On The Horizon?
    • The turn back up may be nigh
  • Deutsche Bank Debacle
    • How bad could it get?

Click to listen to a sample of this Off the Cuff Podcast or Enroll today to access the full audio and other premium content today. » Read more

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Boomers vs Millennials

Society is pitting their interests increasingly at odds
Tuesday, September 27, 2016, 12:38 PM

In this week's Off The Cuff podcast, Chris and Becca Martenson discuss:

  • Boomers Have Everything To Lose
    • They cling to status quo to deliver promises made in the past
  • Millennials See Nothing To Gain
    • The future they're being asked to inherit appears bereft of value
  • Bridging The Generation Gap
    • How to replace strife with support
  • The Importance Of Mentoring
    • An age-old model need perhaps more now than ever