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afflictor.com

Off The Cuff: The Fed Is Driving Blind

Insider insights from a recent gathering of Fed officials
Monday, May 21, 2018, 3:11 PM

In this week's Off The Cuff podcast, Chris and Axel Merk discuss:

  • The Fed Is Driving Blind
    • QE has rendered all signals useless
  • The Risk Of Recession Is 100%
    • The only question that matters is When?
  • Axel's Report From A Recent Gathering Of Fed Officials
    • From inside the Hoover Institution
  • Forecasting The Price Of Gold & Oil
    • Bullish reasons to hold both right now

Having recently returned from a private gathering of Federal Reserve officials, Axel shares his observations with us. In a nutshell, he sees the Fed as now following the market. His prediction is that they will keep tightening right up to the point where the market buckles under the higher rates, and at that point, it will be too late to prevent a major market correction, and likely, a plummet into economic recession.

Click to listen to a sample of this Off the Cuff Podcast or Enroll today to access the full audio as well as all of PeakProsperity.com's other premium content.
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Off The Cuff: The Whole System Is Insane Now

The Market & the State now both incentivize our destruction
Monday, May 14, 2018, 12:36 PM

In this week's Off The Cuff podcast, Chris and Charles Hugh Smith discuss:

  • Seminar Summary
    • CHS shares his key takeaways from speaking at the PP seminar
  • Energy Is Everything
    • And the situation is much more dire than most realize
  • The Whole System Is Insane Now
    • The Market & the State now incentivize our destruction
  • An Invitation To Live Regeneratively
    • We have the models. But do we have the will?

Fresh from speak at Peak Prosperity's annual seminar, Charles Hugh Smith reflects on his key takeways from the event, plus focuses our attention on the mal-incentives our economic models offer us these days. They are literally rewarding us to hasten our own destruction.

As Charles frankly puts it...

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theleap.mishcon.com

The 4 Essential Practices To Adopt Right Now

These only have value if put in place before crisis arrives
Friday, May 11, 2018, 10:14 PM

Executive Summary

  • Why aligning your Knowing, Doing and Being is key to a resilient future
  • Key takeaways from the recent 3-day annual PP seminar
  • The importance of taking action in advance of crisis
  • The 4 essential regenerative practices to start adopting right now

If you have not yet read Part 1: Time To Choose, available free to all readers, please click here to read it first.

I usually shy away from being overly directive, preferring to arm folks with information and then let each reader figure out what to prioritize given their specific personal situation. The only exception to this is when I send out an Alert in response to a spiking threat level -- when I'm personally taking action such as making major changes to my investmen portfolio, topping off my car's gas tanks, pulling more cash from the bank, etc.

But the recent Peak Prosperity seminar that just took place in Sebastopol CA from May 4-6, 2018 was a fantastic showcase of 'regenerative' options, many of which make sense for everyone.

In particular, there were four that stood out for me as essential to anyone concerned about the future who wants to protect their well-being and be part of the solution society needs.

These steps are implementable and realistic for nearly everyone. And their benefits far outweigh the efforts to put them in place.

So what are they?

Let's start with... » Read more

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Off The Cuff: Hall Of Mirrors

Our media is so distorted, where can you find truth?
Friday, May 4, 2018, 10:39 AM

In this week's Off The Cuff podcast, Chris and James Howard Kunstler discuss a whole slew of topics I don't have time to summarize, as our 2018 seminar starts in an hour.

Enjoy!

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Shutterstock

The War In Syria Rages On

Though don't expect to hear about it from the MSM
Wednesday, May 2, 2018, 12:22 PM

After the entirely illogical FUKUS (France, UK, US) bombing of Syria’s alleged chemical facilities, you’ve probably heard very little coming out of Syria in the MSM.

The reasons are many, but one of them isn’t “Mission Accomplished.” » Read more

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What History Tells Us Will Come Next

Friday, April 27, 2018, 8:02 PM

Executive Summary

  • Failing empires end when the elites have exhausted the resources of the masses
  • Debt/indebtedness is the weapon the State uses to subjugate
  • Our debt-based money system is designed to make you a serf if it can
  • Are you taking the right steps to avoid the trap?

If you have not yet read Part 1: The End Of Our Empire Approaches, available free to all readers, please click here to read it first.

When the Empire of Debt can no longer find stooge countries to pillage with contracts they have to begin preying on their own local populations, which goes a long way towards explaining the actions of the Federal Reserve over the prior 20 years, as well as the student debt chart above. As well it explains the ECB vacuuming out the last scraps of wealth from Greece, and what’s about to happen to Italy.

Economic Hitmen

Under the global empire of debt, loans are issued and if the country borrowing can pay that back, awesome, but if not then the most productive assets of that country are seized as they are almost always the collateral in the story.

Greece has recently lost its ports and utilities to foreign banks and bankers, a system of financial tribute and extraction performed as neatly as was laid out by John Perkins in his book Confessions of an Economic Hitman.

Homeowners who cannot pay lose homes, farmers lose farms, and drivers lose their cars. And the people, countries and entities that don’t lose their possessions? That simply means they worked hard enough to pay off the loan by doing or creating something of value.

It’s a ridiculously powerful system of money and it deserves a museum all its own because of just how insidiously it works. Practically none of the affected parties realize that when they take out a loan what they’ve actually done is assigned their productive output to the banks in the form of interest payments, or to the banks protection agent, the government, in the form of taxes.

A critical component of this debt-money system for you to be aware of is... » Read more

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tas.gov.au

Off The Cuff: The QE Experiment Has Failed

After 10 years of robbing Peter to pay Paul, we're all broke
Friday, April 27, 2018, 1:01 PM

In this week's Off The Cuff podcast, Chris and Mish Shedlock discuss:

  • Backfiring Sanctions
    • Turns out, supply chains are complicated
  • Job Losses Now Exceeding Job Gains
    • First time (quarterly) since 2010
  • Trouble For Housing
    • Affordability is going from bad to horrible
  • The QE Experiment Has Failed
    • After 10 years of evidence, we have a verdict

The cracks in the central planner's long-term strategy are beginning to show. 

Volatility is returning to the world's financial markets, which stubbornly now resist to hit new highs. Job growth is peaking. Nearly everyone younger than the baby boomers is getting priced out of the housing market. And the unity of the recent globalization era is fracturing nearly everywhere around the world.

When it comes down to it, all the massive efforts to "save the system" following the onset of the 2008 Great Financial Crisis have served to do is enrich a small number of elites and corporations at the expense of everyone else. 

Click to listen to a sample of this Off the Cuff Podcast or Enroll today to access the full audio and other premium content today.
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PeakProsperity.com

Energy Is The Non-Negotiable Element Defining Our Future

As goes energy, so goes wealth
Friday, April 20, 2018, 8:05 PM

Executive Summary

  • What the Laws of Thermodynamics tell us about Energy
  • How those same Laws then apply to the Economy
  • Why the science convinces us a "forced economic contraction" is in our future
  • What we can choose to do about it

If you have not yet read Part 1: The Economy Is Cooked, available free to all readers, please click here to read it first.

One of my bigger 'learnings' from writing The Crash Course in book form was the deepening of my appreciation for the utter importance of energy to our way of life and to the process of creating (and maintaining) wealth. 

I spent time reacquainting myself with the laws of thermodynamics and came away with a far more focused view of the predicament in which we find ourselves.

I know that 'using the term thermodynamics' may sound awfully bookish or geeky, but it's by far the most important concept if one wants to understand the role of energy in our economy and why our economy will almost certainly fail to operate well in a world of declining net energy.

The laws of thermodynamics have never been violated by humans, not even for a millisecond.  Just like the law of gravity, they just exist as something we can either pay attention to, or not.  Our choice.  But they cannot be violated. At least, they haven't yet; so betting on a future where such laws have been repealed by human ingenuity would not be, shall we say, a sound wager.

A problem with the laws of thermodynamics is that they require a little bit of study to understand and they are loaded with wacky jargon which masks some very simple ideas.  Gravity is easy - all one has to do to appreciate it is get a few feet off the ground - the farther the better - in order for the reptilian portions of the brain to kick in and take over and make you very, very aware of gravity's potential consequences. Unfortunately, the laws of thermodynamics are less obvious, and we don't have a hard-wired evolutionary pathway that will force awareness upon us.  We have to come by an appreciation of the laws intellectually.

The first law simply states that.. » Read more

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Olivier Le Moal/Shutterstock

Off The Cuff: Silver Set To Soar?

An epic short squeeze looks to be in the making
Friday, April 20, 2018, 1:24 AM

In this week's Off The Cuff podcast, Chris and Davefairtex discuss:

  • Crazy Like A Fox?
    • Evaluating Trump's colorful record so far
  • Silver Set To Soar?
    • An epic short squeeze looks in the making
  • Commodity Complex Break-Out?
    • Rising oil prices are leading the way
  • Beware The Bitcoin?
    • Reasons to proeed with caution before re-entering the crypto space

PeakProsperity.com's gold & silver analyst joins Off The Cuff this week to discuss his tingling spider-sense, which is predicting a price breakout in silver.

Click to listen to a sample of this Off the Cuff Podcast or Enroll today to access the full audio and other premium content today.
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Shutterstock

What To Prepare For

The paths a confrontation with Russia is most likely to take
Friday, April 13, 2018, 7:45 PM

Executive Summary

  • Projecting the 5 most likely outcomes from the current standoff with Russia over Syria
    • Level 1: Conflict avoided
    • Level 2: Limited skirmish
    • Level 3: Escalated regional conflict
    • Level 4: War
    • Level 5: Things go nuclear
  • The truly crazy option to keep our eyes out for
  • Why preparing now is an absolute must

If you have not yet read Part 1: The War Machine Springs To Life Over Syria available free to all readers, please click here to read it first.

NOTE:  If you've not yet read our special report on how to prepare for an outbreak of war with Russia, or could use a refresher, please do so before reading further.

In that report, you'll find that “war” may mean anything from a trade war to cyber-attacks to an actual shooting war. Due to that broad spectrum of possibilities, preparing for a US/NATO war with Russia must include everything from the basics (food, water, fuel) to holding some cash out of the banks (in case they stop working for some reason), to having a modicum of physical gold and/or silver bullion handy.

Here are the base level preparations you should have in place regardless of what sort of war comes along:

  • A minimum of three months of food for your family plus others.  You decide how many others that might be.  A couple of close friends?  Half your neighborhood? 
  • Water filtration devices capable of filtering one gallon per person, per day, for three months.  You may have to buy extra devices and/or filters to accomplish this.  If you do not have access to your own water (well, nearby pond, lake or stream), then stored water sufficient to last several weeks.
  • Cash out of the bank that can cover three months of living expenses.
  • A bug out bag pre-loaded with your most valuable documents, irreplaceable pictures, medicines, weapons & ammunition, some cash and some gold/silver bullion.  As the natural disasters of late have shown, you never know when you might have to pick up and flee with little/no warning. 
  • All the basics in case of a nuclear exchange or a grid-down event that causes nuclear plants to overheat and explode as happened in Fukushima.  Dosimeters/Geiger counters, plastic sheeting, tape, and disposable coveralls and facemasks. Read our complete report on the topic here.

As for the likeliest outcomes to expect from this flare-up in Syria, we calculate them as follows... » Read more