How Ben Bernanke Created AOC (and the Yellow Vests)

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How Ben Bernanke Created AOC (and the Yellow Vests)

Here's my latest upgrade to using video to create content and (hopefully) reach more people.

Let me know what you think.  I can change the background very quickly now because I using a green screen.  

At any rate, the topic here is based on the recent Financial Times article which credited Ben Bernanke with creating AOC.  I go further into the Fed and other central banks fueling a class war and creating the Yellow Vests, Brexit, and Trump.

Unfortunately, the video only loads for me starting at the 21 minute mark, so if it does that for you, just grab the slider and move it back.

What do you think?  Is the message one that might reach new people?  Is it time to begin pointing out the class war with this much directness?  Should it go further?  Is the technology/quality seemingly ok for the age we're in or does it need another bump?

(I have noted that I need to light my hands so they are not in shadow, and have to watch the boundary to screen left where the mask runs out..stay in my box a bit more as it were)

I love the ability to advance through screen grabs and charts as I make my points...that's a better style for me...very natural for my brain.

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Excellent!

Really top notch, Chris!

I'm glad you pointed out that both AOC and Trump are the result of Fed policy. Also, that upward wealth redistribution is intentional and not an accidental by-product of policy.

I was touched when you had to reach for your reading glasses as I have to swap reading/distance glasses about 100 times/day. A nice human touch that vain people would not have included.

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Refinements

Chris,

The content of your presentation should be required viewing for all my fellow millennials. I found it easy to follow and as always, highly informative and engaging.

If I could offer a suggestion though, it would be to add some element of visual interest in the “shoulder box” earlier in the video. Perhaps in the format of an agenda or a quick display of a few of the charts that will be explained later. Or even just news screen grabs from headlines or scenes that underscore the points you are about to make. As it sits, the first real visual element comes in at the 5 minute mark.

Many my age need some sort of visual “hook” to get our initial attention. For better or worse, most of us were raised on a short attention span media diet.

Thanks again for the resources you provide and the work you put in to it, I would love to see this format grow in the future and reach a widening audience of the people my age who honestly need to hear it the most.

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latest update

I think the tech looks great.  Video loaded for me at the start, everything played just fine.

There is a hint of irony in making a very effective case describing how boomers (the "older generation") were being rewarded unfairly by the Fed and how Millenials are unable to buy property and how that has led to AOC socialism - only to, later on, talk about the Real Estate Investment seminar as something you are really interested in participating in.

And that brings up for me the question: how will the numbers of Real Estate Investment change in an environment of Millenial Socialism?  How would a prospective Wealth Tax affect cap rates?  How might it affect property values?  If (for instance) CA gets rid of Prop 13, how will that affect cap rates in CA?  What techniques could Millenial Socialists use to turn all those boomer-real-estate-owners into Tax Donkeys?

Last point: my viewpoint (perhaps not as relevant to your question) is that the Fed is just one factor in the creation of Millenial Socialism.  I believe that the logical endpoint of any capitalist system is Monopoly/Cartel Capitalism, that such a system is the underlying cause of the gross unfairness in our society today, this state of affairs led to the rise of Millenial Socialism, and that Bernanke's low rate policy may have sped this process up, but it did not create this dynamic.

I think the same thing almost happened in 1933.

Monopoly Capitalism is characterized by price collusion to maximize profits (insulin prices up 600% in 15 years), importing lots of new, low-wage workers to hammer down the cost of labor ("open borders" + "globalization"), and controlling government to make sure regulations benefit the monopoly capitalists (no "cheap drugs from Canada"), which all adds up to "gross unfairness" and a concentration of wealth.

The process by which the movement towards Monopoly Capitalism was sped up by Bernanke's long-term low-rate environment was detailed by the NBER, via Wolf Richter, here:

https://wolfstreet.com/2019/02/05/low-interest-rates-a-factor-in-slow-down-of-economic-productivity-growth-nber/

A reduction in long-term interest rates tends to make market structure less competitive within an industry. The reason is that while both the leader and follower within an industry increase their investment in response to a reduction in interest rates, the increase in investment is always stronger for the leader. As a result, the gap between the leader and follower increases as interest rates decline, making an industry less competitive and more concentrated.

All Bernanke did was step on the gas in a car that was already going in that direction anyway.

 

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Well done!

Well done!  The video loaded quickly and the graphics were very high quality on my screen.  

As for content:  Keep telling it like it is!  I've noticed lately that the mainstream media is reporting hints of inequality, insect collapse, climate catastrophe, financial shakiness, and other topics that were recently not discussed in polite company.  The Overton Window is shifting rapidly.  Since the mainstream is moving toward what used to be considered alarmist (or "out there"), it's time for you to really tell it like it is. Don't pull your punches.  Don't worry about alienating a first-time viewer.  Don't worry about starting a class war.  It has already started.

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Perfect

This is exactly the kind of content I'm looking for Chris. The Financial Times article is poignant and perfect to explain why so many love a young woman who seems to like, you know, have it all figured out and stuff. Plans to spend tens of trillions of dollars should'nt be taken lightly in our fragile political, financial, and enviromental atmosphere. Most of the people I know that are truly outraged typically point all the hate towards one thing....Trump. Central banks are the devil....and our war machine.

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Mill not Mills

John Stuart Mill, usually cited as J.S. Mill.

More comments later when I've digested the presentation.

 

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Elimination

This video shows nicely why people need to be eliminated and replaced by A.I. Project well under way I think.

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New technology?

Chris / Adam,

You don't have to experment with "new" technology.  Your brick wall back drop with a few flip charts might actually feel more authentic and real.

-Travis

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Explain redistributive mechanism of Fed

I was surprised to find resistance when I expressed this viewpoint to a fairly financially sophisticated friend.  He replied  “Oh.  You are a Fed hater” implying that this conclusion came out of some form of bigotry or something.

I was reminded (Yet again) that a non-mainstream conclusion must be promptly backed up by a reasonable sounding explanation in order to be accessible to those who do not already share that understanding.

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Video - better medium

Chris - 1st your communication skills are outstanding, video is a better medium to reach the masses. You truly come across as a Everyday man of the people/masses - articulate , passionate and informative. Few observations - length may be a bit long - maybe more work/editing , but perhaps 2-3 shorter (10-15 minute long ) segments, may be better and have a better chance to spread/go viral. Not sure of that checkered background - may have to experiment with that. A few of the images you showed could have been better- and some lingered on screen for too long (yellow vest images could have been better, more Yellow - maybe even embed video). Might think about embedding links to sources . Additionally a few terms and concepts not as clear to the masses (preaching to the PP educated astute crowd here), Sprial Dynamics/Integral theory talks about multi-casting (as opposed to straight broadcasting to one level of consciousness /worldview) where you consciousness use specific terms/ideology that resonates with the 3-4 world views (Tradtional, modern, post modern) Lastly I appreciate what Tim Ferriss does on his podcast/video cast- transcriptions have links to literally everything he or his guests mention in the show notes. I have an award winning Brand Developer/Graphic artist (& integral/spiral dynamic expert) who has worked with Toyota, Bell , American Airlines, Nationwide, etc - now free lancing, and close friend who worked 30 years on a national TVshow ... love to connect

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Betrayal into hopelessly unproductive works?

Despite the well warranted plaudits of the admirers of your new visualy engaging PP display, I was somewhat dismayed by the lack of serious reflection on the message you put forward. You outlined with a succinct and clear message the relation between the oscilating mechanisms and fortunes of our times. It is apparent to me that what we're seeing in the emerging AOC trend is a key recognition of what happens when, as quoted in Genesis Chapter 47:

'And when money failed in the land of Egypt, and in the land of Canaan, all the Egyptians came unto Joseph, and said, Give us bread: for why should we die in thy presence? for the money faileth."

  The ultimate truth of the current situation has not changed over the millenia and boils down to what a productive asset is. Most dictionaries hold that an asset is a "vehicle for the settlement of a debt or obilgation". Therefore, assets are really only valuable if they are by nature productive for the benefit of others. As a place holder for value, the more degradeable they are, the more valuable they become in the short term. To boil it down to the basics, the obligations of this life are, in general, for the betterment of mankind; someone outside yourself ("what does it profit a man, if he gains the whole world" . .etc.). Seminars of real estate investing, precious metal manipulating, stock trading, etc., again, cycle back to the assumption of the ever expanding economy and the chase for yield. Until that bugbear is put to rest, we will only have ourselves to blame when the SHTF, which seems to becoming  a more common occurence. Nice job highlighting the specifics, Chris, but the underlying flaw is still with us and doesn't seem to refect positivity!

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Thanks for the feedback all!
MasterOfMyDomain wrote:

Really top notch, Chris!

I'm glad you pointed out that both AOC and Trump are the result of Fed policy. Also, that upward wealth redistribution is intentional and not an accidental by-product of policy.

I was touched when you had to reach for your reading glasses as I have to swap reading/distance glasses about 100 times/day. A nice human touch that vain people would not have included.

Hey, I'm just going to roll with my age here.  I know that being a post-middle age white guy puts me at a disadvantage in the current US culture so I might as well just step fully into who I am, reading glasses included  :)

From what I've gathered:

  • Keep 'em shorter (this one was way longer than I intended...first time, what can I say...)
  • The format works well, looks good, but time to experiment with the background a bit more.  I will take a bunch of test shots and post them here for reactions.
  • Have to get to more movement and image progression sooner to hold interest.
  • Dial back the jargon, don't assume proficiency with the topic or that I am speaking to the PP faithful.  That's an important reminder...the purpose is to reach more people.

The ability to pull up and speak to images and text directly works very well for me, so I am pleased with what's possible.

I really want to reach more people, but that's getting harder with the saturation that people are feeling overall with so much content out there, coupled with the fact that the main distribution outlets (Twitter, Facebook, etc) are not very friendly these days towards messaging that is not statist/corporate friendly.  

If you are selling something, especially if its destructive or distractive in some way, or promoting more growth, the path is definitely easier.  "Social media" is really just external corporate HR and PR on steroids.  

But, hey, whattayagonnado?  Just have to accept the conditions and figure out how to work around them as best we can.  

You can definitely help by liking and sharing the videos where and when you can.  Every bit helps.  I would also ask that when they are uploaded and shared via Youtube, Twitter, Facebook and Linked in that you go to those places and share/like/upvote.  It's the currency of our times and your effort there really does help.

One day, after enough gentle pushing, we'll achieve the next level of critical mass and reach a next round of people.

Thanks in advance!  :)

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About double...

Also, the response so far has been about double the usual number of views, suggesting that the new format (and the first use of a snappier thumbnail I built after reading a suggestion in the Youtube comment area) is moving in the right direction for the Youtube environment:

Of course, I hadn't put out a video in a while so perhaps I just 'pulled a Tesla' and I'm now mistaking pent-up demand for organic traction.  ;)

From here I think that the other upgrades might include a snazzier intro trailer/teaser, more gripping music, and the use of a Peak Prosperity watermark or other idetifier to keep our name and brand front and center (thanks for the tip Mike N).

Also, yes, I'd love any other help with branding and/or marketing!  PM me, email me, put them here...just get them to me and I'll take everything under consideration.

 

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the underproduced look is more honest

Personally I hope you don't "improve" your presentations by copying the established corporate/government style. People today are looking for authenticity and not fake polish. The content is what matters and the authenticity of the person. This is better portrayed by what my millenial daughter calls the "underproduced" look. A corporate style says we are trying hard to convince you of our propaganda. I hope you won't go towards that corporate style.

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"betrayed into hopelessly unproductive works".

That phrase, when I googled it, seems to have been quoted and requoted over and again.

Where does it come from first? Hayak? Or somewhere else?

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No worries there....
jandeligans wrote:

Personally I hope you don't "improve" your presentations by copying the established corporate/government style. People today are looking for authenticity and not fake polish. The content is what matters and the authenticity of the person. This is better portrayed by what my millenial daughter calls the "underproduced" look. A corporate style says we are trying hard to convince you of our propaganda. I hope you won't go towards that corporate style.

No worries on that front.

I'll be the guy putting on his reading glasses and glancing down as I mash through the pics click by click in my home studio saying whatever comes into my head next.

The quality balance is a tricky thing....there's definitely a sweet spot between "this guy doesn't even care enough to produce something of quality so why should I even pay attenion?" and "geez, this is too slick.  I feel like I'm being sold something here and I hate that so I'm not going to listen to this guy."

Believe me, if the audio quality is too low, or the image is poorly lit, I get plenty of feedback (deserved too, keep it coming!).  It's noticed and worth paying attention to.

We're aiming for enough quality to hold attention, but not too high to lose it.  Does that make sense?

 

 

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It comes from...

The guy I quoted in the video.

John Stuart Mill.

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There we go! Thanks, Chris.

Lots of people allude to the phrase. I wondered where it was from. Now I know.

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Always Great to Hear You Call Out What the Fed Has Done

It's long been remakable to me that we don't hear more economists and politicians, across the political spectrum, calling out the Fed's role in doing great damage to society by knowingly building wealth inequality.  I really hope that, per the Financial Times editorial and your persistent criticism of the Fed, the message finally makes it out into the mainstream.  It's really an important part of finally recognizing and accepting that the Fed prints money in support of keeping that deep self-serving, wealth-serving lie alive that underlies modern economic theory:  that infinite economic growth is desireable and possible on a finite planet.

I think, Chris, a tricky part of the problem you face and will face in having your message reach a broader audience, is that audiences will, like me, more and more agree with your criticisms of the macro world of politics and economics as time goes on, but even now, they'll want to hear what your positive visions of possible futures are and how they might work at the same macro level.  I have long valued the fact that you've been particularly focused on personal and family resilence, and on telling it like it is - often in ways I don't see anywhere else - about the failures and falsehoods of current politics and macro-economics.  At one level, that's a crucial mission in itself, and you don't need to necessarily get into the complexities and controversies of trying to suggesting solutions to predicaments and to a difficult future at a larger level, since when disruption comes, we're not sure how much of the macro economiy will survive.   

It's pretty clear to me, though, it's pretty natural that most people will want to have some suggestions of what a world that works might look like on the other side of the trouble ahead that is beyond just family survival.  If the Fed stops printing money, it seems pretty clear to me and most people that markets will crash.  What should happen then?  Should they stop printing all at once or gradually?  Should all help to the resulting unemployed just happen at the local level, if that?  What about all the resource wealth that has been stolen during the current financial regime based on giving $ to rich people to buy things?  I think that any frameworks you can provide that give a sense of what a positive progression might eventually be possible may greatly help getting your views out there.

 

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Anti-semtism in France

More reporting on the anti-semitism in France.  Decide for yourself.

https://www.gatestoneinstitute.org/13826/france-project-transform

Respectfully, 

 

Jeffrey White

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The Gatestone Institute...

...can hardly be considered a credible source.

JW, you do realize who was its Chairman until 2018 when he became the national security advisor don't you?

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More observations on the new format

First, well done. I enjoyed the whole show.

  1. For me it starts at 0:00. Good.
  2. The sound level at least 3dB lower than usual. Less good but my amplifier can cope.
  3. I don’t like the background of large pixels in shades of IBM Blue. Need to think about (non)corporate image. I liked your bricks, they and their colour are homely and comforting.
  4. Well-paced, calm presentation. (So much preferable to the ulcerative Alex Jones whom I looked at a few times and quickly abandoned.)
  5. You provide citations and references to back up the main points, although you do also make a lot of assertions. I think some number of assertions will have to remain, otherwise the show becomes plodding pedantry.
  6. To an extent you're preaching to the converted, by e.g. launching straight into a QE critique. Maybe start by noting that Fred and Freda Average can't save or pay bills and this is bad and would you ever have thought that that the reason is, etc. But I defer to your experience.
  7. Good, you mention the all-important but much-ignored limits to growth at about 1:30.
  8. I do like your use of the sentence “there’s not a lot of evidence of P” where P is some proposition / assertion. Exhibits a rational, judicial and judicious, evidence-based approach.
  9. The term “socialism” means different things in Australia and France and US. To an extent you lose audiences outside the US but I don't see any easy way to deal with this.
  10. Much of the content is necessarily US-centric. With other US-originated material such as this, I usually find myself watching the US make its cultural & political choices and work through the consequences. We follow a somewhat different path, although the elites wish that we weren't so stubborn.
  11. That said, a lot of your material is entirely applicable to Australia. Wherever there is a carcass, there the vultures will gather. The elites seem to be very similar worldwide. No matter where the elites gather, there the meritocracy strengthens.
  12. Very good material circa 14:00.
  13. Good: “Work, consume, keep your mouth shut.” But, in the early 1970s I enjoyed reading a 3-line slogan painted (remarkably, because graffiti was not a social custom plague then) on the side of a railway cutting near Redfern in Sydney: “Consume / Be Silent / Die”. Some people would assert that there’s nothing new under the sun so what’s the fuss? Back to BAU.
  14. Did you get anyone to do some copyreading before going to air? The "John Stuart Mills" mistake is not great but it looks incongruous with someone of your talents.

Many thanks for your untiring efforts. They are greatly appreciated.

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antisemitism in France

Think Council on Foreign Relations and Gatestone.  Watched a few minutes of Alex Jones with Paul Thomas Watson showing clip about this issue --from their (CFR) point of reference.  Alex can get tedious wth interruptions, but I listened long enough to get the message. You have to really take hold of your own brain/mind to keep in mind who is controling, for the most part, the messaging.

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Feedback on the New Format

Chris, Peak Prosperity Video team;

First, I think this is overall a very good improvement!   But ...

I have a lot of professional knowledge about video codecs (AVC/H.264) behind video conferencing and video-on-demand that fuels my feedback as follows.  I am assuming Chris is in front of a green screen and the slide/logo bug in the upper left and the blue-pixilated background are added in post production.

You want the background inserted to (a) not be a distraction and (b) be video codec compression friendly (especially during live conferencing, but good for on-demand video too).  The blue-white-pixilated background violates both of these and seems out of place for the look and feel of Peak Prosperity.

The best choice to achieve a nice balance of (a) and (b) as well as be a bit more authentic, is a blurred, uncluttered background!   Second choice would be a solid background color.  I further suggest that blurred background(s) chosen can also help support the theme of a given episode (eg, perhaps one background for each of the three Es).

I threw together four examples to help communicate what I mean by a strongly blurred background;

https://drive.google.com/file/d/14OdpW7Rz3uiqAiNgvIOn-E07ce8xwTXN/view

https://drive.google.com/file/d/1WRjaldVA4j956YKWvPg67V2kc7H17ibL/view

https://drive.google.com/file/d/13GhX5yzjDrZFgvSsID2M_WOkZMQizZ12/view

https://drive.google.com/file/d/15YlZ6EO7LXTWpa7ut8Nzl5kUC9kAoi2K/view

David
Formerly in CTO office for Video Collaboration Group (includes Webex) at Cisco Systems

P.S.   And, striped shirts and plaid shirts are not the best for video either.

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Monetary policy, Homer Simpson style

One for the weekend, courtesy of Almost Daily Grants.

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Thank you David
dabenham wrote:

Chris, Peak Prosperity Video team;

First, I think this is overall a very good improvement!   But ...

I have a lot of professional knowledge about video codecs (AVC/H.264) behind video conferencing and video-on-demand that fuels my feedback as follows.  I am assuming Chris is in front of a green screen and the slide/logo bug in the upper left and the blue-pixilated background are added in post production.

Not done in post...all done on the fly with a green screen.  I am using OBS Studio, and its designed for live streaming (as well as recording) so I assume the compression is pretty good?  That's out of my pay zone, though, so I don't really know.  But all I do is select a background, size my webcam video feed and then place a box for charts and other .jpgs.

You want the background inserted to (a) not be a distraction and (b) be video codec compression friendly (especially during live conferencing, but good for on-demand video too).  The blue-white-pixilated background violates both of these and seems out of place for the look and feel of Peak Prosperity.

The best choice to achieve a nice balance of (a) and (b) as well as be a bit more authentic, is a blurred, uncluttered background!   Second choice would be a solid background color.  I further suggest that blurred background(s) chosen can also help support the theme of a given episode (eg, perhaps one background for each of the three Es).

I am swapping through tons and tons of backgrounds trying to find the right look and feel.  Thanks especially fo rhte mock-ups you provided as it gives me a clear sense of what you are talking about.  

I'll take a bunch of different ideas and post them here for people to react and respond to...I'd love to get one look and feel and be done with it.  Or maybe, it's one per 'type' of video offering.  The news update will have its own, but interviews another, and different ones for other different video offerings Adam and I are dreaming up.

P.S.   And, striped shirts and plaid shirts are not the best for video either.

Got it!  ;)

 

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ezlxq1949
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Beware of green

Great advice, David, and I applaud your examples of background images and colours. These should add subtle but significant punch to Chris' presentations.

You wrote:

P.S.   And, striped shirts and plaid shirts are not the best for video either.

Similar advice for colours: never wear anything green — unless you want holes in you, or even achieve the Invisible Man effect.

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Internalizing a core concept

People new to these these ideas might benefit from a brief assist in grasping the idea that infinite growth is impossible in a finite world. 

 

In your blog “Deconstructing The Green New Deal, you exemplified putting personal resilience first to putting your own oxygen mask on first. Really a nice lens and then handle on that idea, just as Fenway Park was for the idea that exponential growth in non-intuitive.

 

I bet there’s a pair of rabbits in a cramped walk-up flat somewhere who would volunteer to put some form and color into the idea of continuous growth in a finite world.

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Green New Deal, Shirts Not Included

Personally I look forward to Chris doing a Holloween presentation as a floating, talking head. Maybe a Green New Deal Gobblin. Too soon for Holloween thoughts, what about Easter? Professionalism is way over rated. I still remember the Whalie the Whale Ice Cream Cakes commercials Mr Carvel used to make. Fantasticly ameturish with honest appeal.

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