US Passes Strong Sanctions Against Iran

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  • Fri, Jul 02, 2010 - 08:11pm

    #61
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    Re: US Passes Strong Sanctions Against Iran

Will austerity be catalyst for war asks Dylan Grice of SocGen via ZeroHedge: http://www.zerohedge.com/article/will-austerity-be-catalyst-war?

This echoes Marc Faber’s views about war as the final diversion of the poplulace from its problems by a failing polity/financial system.

Kudos to SocGen for allowing its analysts to publish this sort of commentary.

  • Sat, Jul 03, 2010 - 12:36am

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    Re: US Passes Strong Sanctions Against Iran

I haven’t heard once that China has signed off on this venture.  So I wouldn’t count on the Chinese just sitting by idly and allowing us to plow into a client of theirs.  Russia on the other hand IMO, is being massaged very well and will turn a blind eye.  

As I’ve said, this is not an “if”, but a “when”.  It’s how the other players react that will determine the fate of many, many days ahead.

  • Sat, Jul 03, 2010 - 04:17am

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    Re: US Passes Strong Sanctions Against Iran

[quote=LogansRun]

I haven’t heard once that China has signed off on this venture.  So I wouldn’t count on the Chinese just sitting by idly and allowing us to plow into a client of theirs.  Russia on the other hand IMO, is being massaged very well and will turn a blind eye.  

As I’ve said, this is not an “if”, but a “when”.  It’s how the other players react that will determine the fate of many, many days ahead.

[/quote]

June 25/2010-Asia Times:

SHANGHAI -.

“This means China, as one of the five permanent members of the UNSC as well as a traditional friend of Iran, has acted unusually in casting its vote in favor of this fourth round of UN sanctions.”

http://www.atimes.com/atimes/China/LF25Ad02.html

  • Sat, Jul 03, 2010 - 11:05am

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    Re: US Passes Strong Sanctions Against Iran

Here are some other interesting pieces of the global puzzle (related or not):

Israel and Turkey in ‘secret’ talks:

An Israeli cabinet minister and  Turkey’s foreign minister have met in secret in an apparent attempt to mend ties damaged by an Israel forces raid on an aid ship bound for the Gaza Strip.

Benjamin Ben-Eliezer, Israel’s trade and industry minister, met Ahmet Davutoglu in Brussels to discuss ways of repairing bilateral ties.

http://english.aljazeera.net/news/europe/2010/07/2010719338349552.html

Turkey ‘closes airspace’ to Israel

Turkey’s prime minister says his country has closed its airspace to some Israeli military flights.

Recep Tayyip Erdogan, who was quoted by the state-run Anatolia agency, did not elaborate on the decision.

He was speaking in Toronto, Canada, where he was attending the G20 summit.

http://english.aljazeera.net/news/middleeast/2010/06/201062871949989367.html

Saudis urge US on Middle East peace

Saudi Arabia’s king is due to travel to Washington to meet Barack Obama, the US president, to discuss Israeli-Palestinian peacemaking, the nuclear standoff with Iran, and economic co-operation.

The meeting on Tuesday is also likely to focus on US policy in Afghanistan, following the sacking of the US military commander there and mutual national security efforts.

King Abdullah, 86, will be at the White House just a week before Obama is due to meet Binyamin Netanyahu, the Israeli prime minister,…

http://english.aljazeera.net/news/americas/2010/06/201062951518293452.html

Thank you, everyone for your informative posts on this subject. I’m a relatively new user on CM and it’s refreshing to be able to participate in an intelligent discussion of current events with people who don’t depend on CNN for their information.

It certainly looks as if the chessboard has been set and the pieces are being moved into ‘check’. I hope we’re wrong and there won’t be a war with Iran but I fear they are intent on instigating one. Additionally, the possibility of a ‘false flag’ operation to fool people into supporting it looms in my mind like a dark cloud on the horizon. 

 

 

 

 

  • Sat, Jul 03, 2010 - 11:55am

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    Re: US Passes Strong Sanctions Against Iran

Well, that changes everything, doesn’t it.  Ugh.  Thanks for the info AP.

[quote=agitating prop]

[quote=LogansRun]

I haven’t heard once that China has signed off on this venture.  So I wouldn’t count on the Chinese just sitting by idly and allowing us to plow into a client of theirs.  Russia on the other hand IMO, is being massaged very well and will turn a blind eye.  

As I’ve said, this is not an “if”, but a “when”.  It’s how the other players react that will determine the fate of many, many days ahead.

[/quote]

June 25/2010-Asia Times:

SHANGHAI -.

“This means China, as one of the five permanent members of the UNSC as well as a traditional friend of Iran, has acted unusually in casting its vote in favor of this fourth round of UN sanctions.”

http://www.atimes.com/atimes/China/LF25Ad02.html

[/quote]

  • Sat, Jul 03, 2010 - 04:24pm

    #66
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    Re: US Passes Strong Sanctions Against Iran

Let us not forget India, an Asian giant which is almost wholly dependent on imported energy:

Days after the UN sanctions and the US imposing a new set of stiff sanctions on Tehran, India will keep its diplomatic and economic engagement on track when Iranian Finance Minister Shamsuddin Huseini holds talks here July 8-9.

Husseini arrives here Wednesday on a three-day visit with a delegation comprising officials from the ministries of finance and petroleum. The two sides will review steps to expand cooperation in diverse areas, including industry, pharmaceuticals, agriculture and mines, added the sources. They will also discuss expanded cooperation in science and technology, IT, nano-technology, bio-technology and energy.

The two sides will also discuss the tri-nation gas pipeline that has been bogged down for years over differences on key issues like pricing of the gas and the security of the pipeline that will pass through the volatile western province of Pakistan. Iran and Pakistan recently signed the pipeline deal, but left the door open for India to join.

Being a UN member, India has no choice but to abide by the United Nations Security Council resolution. Although India need not follow the US sanctions, there will be unstated US pressure on New Delhi not to embark on any major investment or energy project with Tehran.

http://sify.com/finance/days-after-sanctions-iranian-minister-heads-to-india-news-default-khdqucadjca.html

The UN sanctions are easy enough for India to follow. They merely prohibit the sale of weapons and weapon components to Iran. 

But the US sanctions go much farther, allowing the US to punish nations which invest in Iranian energy projects (such as the proposed pipeline) by cutting them off from US trade and banking.

India’s strategic interests require it to secure sources of petroleum in its region. What breathtaking impertinence for the US to unilaterally, extraterritorially declare, ‘you can’t do that, or we will punish you.’

With even US states increasingly defying federal laws (gun laws, drug laws, Real ID Act, etc.), are countries on the other side of the globe really going to knuckle under to Uncle Sam on a life-or-death matter such as energy supply? I hardly think so. 

But as the bullying Washington colossus has demonstrated before, it has a strong tendency to resort to annihilatory violence when defied. We are the new Soviets, comrades. Long live the glorious 234th anniversary of the Great July 4th Peoples Revolution! 

  • Sat, Jul 03, 2010 - 05:00pm

    #67
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    Re: US Passes Strong Sanctions Against Iran

Turkey likewise will continue cooperation with Iran, says Turkey’s minister for energy and natural resources:

TEHRAN, IRAN (BNO NEWS) – Turkey will continue its current energy deals with Iran despite the recent sanctions imposed by the United Nations (UN) High Security Council against the Islamic republic, Fars news agency reported on Friday.

Turkey will continue to cooperate with Iran because the sanctions did not include any specific restriction on energy deals. Energy is not part of the UN sanctions,” Turkish Energy and Natural Resources Minister Taner Yildiz said.

The European country is currently conducting technical studies in the South Pars gas field in Iran. The research could potentially yield significant investments for both nations.

In recent years, Iran and Turkey have increased cooperation in different areas like economy, security, trade, education and culture.

http://www.islandcrisis.net/2010/07/turkey-continue-energy-deals-iran-sanctions/

The Turkish minister is quite right about the UN sanctions not pertaining to energy. But investing in Iranian energy projects — logical enough for Turkey, since it shares a border with Iran — will put it on a collision course with the sweeping US sanctions.

Would the US be prepared to cut off trade with Turkey, a fellow NATO member? In his signing statement (a common Dubya Bush practice which O’Bomba criticized in his campaign, but now routinely employs himself), the president emphasized his flexibility to grant waivers from the sanctions:

“The Act provides a powerful tool against Iran’s development of nuclear weapons and support of terrorism, while at the same time preserving flexibility to time and calibrate sanctions,” the statement said. “In particular, it provides new authority for addressing the situation of those countries that are closely cooperating in multilateral efforts to constrain Iran. The Act appropriately provides this special authority to waive the application of petroleum-related sanctions provisions to a person from such a closely cooperating country, out of recognition for the key role such a country plays in ongoing multilateral efforts to constrain Iran.”

http://www.jta.org/news/article/2010/07/02/2739894/obama-emphasizes-waiver-in-iran-sanctions-statement

But the vendetta crowd is pre-emptively hissing threats, as noted in the same article:

Some pro-Israel groups have already joined Republicans in urging Obama not to exercise several waiver options he has in the bill.

If war breaks out, it’s a least a matter of record who was pushing for escalation. 

  • Sat, Jul 03, 2010 - 05:23pm

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    Re: US Passes Strong Sanctions Against Iran

A curious tidbit from the Jerusalem Post:

Israel Radio reported that the [U.S.] State Department asked that Defense Minister Ehud Barak join the prime minister on his trip, so that all of the relevant issues may be discussed. Barak has not decided whether to fly to the US or not.

http://www.jpost.com/International/Article.aspx?id=180242

The Israeli Defense Minister, reluctant to accept an invitation to the U.S.? Maybe he’s busy. Maybe he doesn’t want to be grilled in detail on some of the plans he’s working on. Staying away provides deniability.

Even the initiation of the request by the U.S. side seems a little odd. Worried about a unilateral action by a client state, that Washington is not clued in on? It’s happened before, you know.

 

  • Mon, Jul 05, 2010 - 03:23pm

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    Re: US Passes Strong Sanctions Against Iran

US sanctions on Iran begin to bite, says an AFP article:

TEHRAN — Airports in Britain, Germany and the United Arab Emirates have refused to refuel Iranian passenger planes since Washington imposed unilateral sanctions on Tehran last week, ISNA news agency said Monday.

IRNA, the official state news agency, said in a separate report that Kuwaiti airports have also turned down fuel for Iranian planes.

“Since last week, after the passing of the unilateral law by America and the sanctions against Iran, airports in England, Germany, the UAE have refused to give fuel to Iranian planes,” ISNA quoted Mehdi Aliyari, secretary of the Iranian Airlines Union, as saying.

The decision by the airports in these countries comes at a time when a large number of expatriate Iranians, especially those in Europe, travel to and from Iran for summer holidays.

Aliyari said their refusal has so far impacted Iran Air, the national carrier, and a leading private airline, Mahan Air, as both operate several flights to Europe.

Heshmatollah Falahat-Pisheh, a lawmaker and member of Iranian parliament’s committee on foreign policy and national security, warned of retaliatory action by Tehran, especially towards the United Arab Emirates.

“Despite US claims that the sanctions are smart and aimed at preventing nuclear and missile development, we see these sanctions targeting Iran’s development … and seeking to hurt … Iranians,” he told ISNA.

“We should definitely do the same thing to the Emirates, Britain and Germany whose planes need to be refuelled in Iran.”

http://www.google.com/hostednews/afp/article/ALeqM5ijLhMoJB3BBcBPdy3qZ3QTSLkSxg

Lookin’ good for world peace — NOT!

 

  • Mon, Jul 05, 2010 - 03:39pm

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    Re: US Passes Strong Sanctions Against Iran

India’s Foreign Minister, using the indirect langauge of diplomacy, criticizes US sanctions on Iran, before meeting with Iran’s finance and petroleum ministers:

New Delhi, July 5 (IANS) In an oblique reference to the US sanctions on Iran that also target foreign companies doing business with Tehran, India Monday voiced its concern, saying such “unilateral sanctions” can have “a direct and adverse impact” on India’s energy security.

“We are justifiably concerned that the extra-territorial nature of certain unilateral sanctions recently imposed by individual countries, with their restrictions on investment by third countries in Iran’s energy sector, can have a direct and adverse impact on Indian companies, and more importantly, on our energy security and our attempts to meet the development needs of our people,” Rao said.

Rao’s comments have set a positive tone for the two-day meeting between External Affairs Minister S.M. Krishna and Iranian Finance Minister Shamsuddin Huseini starting Wednesday.

The US sanctions have the potential to affect a slew of Indian companies doing business with Tehran in the energy sector, including Indian oil and gas companies that are doing business with Iran, including Indian Oil Corporation (IOC), Oil India Limited (OIL), Oil and Natural Gas Corporation (ONGC), ONGC Videsh Ltd and Petronet LNG. These companies were identified by the US Government Accountability Office (GAO) in a 23-page report in April.

Signalling India’s resolve to continue with its economic and energy ties with Iran, home to third largest proven oil reserves and second largest gas reserves, in the face of the latest round of sanctions, Rao said: “Iran is a country extremely important to India from the perspective of energy security.”

“India has repeatedly made clear the fact that accessing energy resources from all parts of the world is absolutely critical to the continued growth of its economy and Iran has the potential to play an important role in this regard,” said Rao.


http://www.sindhtoday.net/news/2/153094.htm

India is no more going to tolerate the US cutting off its petroleum imports from Iran, than the US would put up with India ordering it to cut the pipelines from Canada.

Lawsy mercy, ‘certain countries’ sho’ is gettin’ uppity dese days … Frown

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