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Transport energy futures: long-term oil supply trends and projections

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  • Fri, Jan 13, 2012 - 05:31pm

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    SailAway

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    Transport energy futures: long-term oil supply trends and projections

 Jim Puplava in is latest podecast with Chris Nelder (  http://www.financialsense.com/financial-sense-newshour/guest-expert/2012/01/13/chris-nelder/political-stand-off-in-us-energy-policy ) mentioned a new report from the Australian Government named "Transport energy futures: long-term oil supply trends and projections". I haven’t read it yet but it seems interresting,  here is the link:

http://aie.org.au/StaticContent/Images/Report_120106.pdf

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Contents

Foreword ………………………………………………………………………………………………………………… iii

Acknowledgements ………………………………………………………………………………………………… iv

At a glance ……………………………………………………………………………………………………………….. v

Executive summary……………………………………………………………………………………………….. xxv

Chapter 1 Oil ……………………………………………………………………………………………………. 1

Chapter 2 The link between oil discovery and production …………………………….. 5

Chapter 3 North America ………………………………………………………………………………. 15

Lower 48 states ………………………………………………………………………………. 15

Alaska …………………………………………………………………………………………….. 18

Canadian conventional …………………………………………………………………. 22

Deep water and non-conventional oil ………………………………………….. 26

North America summary……………………………………………………………….. 27

Chapter 4 Latin America…………………………………………………………………………………. 45

Venezuela ……………………………………………………………………………………… 45

Mexico …………………………………………………………………………………………… 50

The Rest of Latin America ……………………………………………………………… 54

Venezuelan extra heavy and Brazilian deep water ……………………….. 58

Latin America summary …………………………………………………………………. 59

Chapter 5 Africa ……………………………………………………………………………………………… 77

Libya ………………………………………………………………………………………………. 77

Nigeria …………………………………………………………………………………………… 82

Algeria ……………………………………………………………………………………………. 86

Egypt ……………………………………………………………………………………………… 90

Angola ……………………………………………………………………………………………. 94

The Rest of Africa ………………………………………………………………………….. 98

African deep water oil …………………………………………………………………. 102

Africa summary ……………………………………………………………………………. 103

 

Chapter 6 Europe …………………………………………………………………………………………. 127

United Kingdom ………………………………………………………………………….. 127

Norway ………………………………………………………………………………………… 132

France ………………………………………………………………………………………….. 136

The Rest of Europe ………………………………………………………………………. 139

Europe summary …………………………………………………………………………. 144

Chapter 7 Eurasia ………………………………………………………………………………………….. 159

Russia …………………………………………………………………………………………… 159

China ……………………………………………………………………………………………. 164

Kazakhstan …………………………………………………………………………………… 168

Azerbaijan ……………………………………………………………………………………. 172

The Rest of Eurasia ………………………………………………………………………. 176

Chinese deep water oil production …………………………………………….. 181

Eurasia summary ………………………………………………………………………….. 181

Chapter 8 The East ……………………………………………………………………………………….. 205

Indonesia …………………………………………………………………………………….. 205

India …………………………………………………………………………………………….. 210

Malaysia ……………………………………………………………………………………….. 214

Australia……………………………………………………………………………………….. 218

The Rest of the East ……………………………………………………………………… 222

Summary of the East ……………………………………………………………………. 226

Chapter 9 Non-Gulf Middle East ………………………………………………………………….. 249

Chapter 10 The Middle East Gulf …………………………………………………………………… 259

Saudi Arabia…………………………………………………………………………………. 259

Iran ………………………………………………………………………………………………. 264

Iraq ………………………………………………………………………………………………. 268

Kuwait ………………………………………………………………………………………….. 272

The Rest of the Middle East Gulf …………………………………………………. 276

Summary of the Middle East Gulf ……………………………………………….. 280

Chapter 11 Deep water oil ……………………………………………………………………………… 303

Regional deep water oil production ……………………………………………. 306

The Gulf of Mexico ……………………………………………………………………… 307

 

Brazil ……………………………………………………………………………………………. 310

Nigeria …………………………………………………………………………………………. 313

Angola ………………………………………………………………………………………….. 315

Other deep water ………………………………………………………………………… 318

Total deep water ………………………………………………………………………….. 322

Chapter 12 Non-conventional oil …………………………………………………………………… 339

Non-conventional oil …………………………………………………………………… 340

Canadian non-conventional ………………………………………………………… 340

Venezuelan non-conventional …………………………………………………….. 341

Total non-conventional ……………………………………………………………….. 342

Chapter 13 World crude oil production ………………………………………………………… 345

Regional oil production ……………………………………………………………… 345

World oil production …………………………………………………………………… 349

Chapter 14 World liquids ……………………………………………………………………………….. 371

Natural gas plant liquids ……………………………………………………………… 371

Refinery gains………………………………………………………………………………. 376

Biofuels ………………………………………………………………………………………… 377

Minor liquids ……………………………………………………………………………….. 378

Total liquids …………………………………………………………………………………. 378

Chapter 15 Conclusions …………………………………………………………………………………. 395

Appendix A Other forecasts ……………………………………………………………………………. 399

Early world oil forecasts ………………………………………………………………. 399

Turn of the century world oil/liquids forecasts …………………………… 400

The 2008 International Energy Agency world liquids forecast ……. 404

Appendix B Data sources ………………………………………………………………………………… 407

Glossary ……………………………………………………………………………………………………………….. 411

References ……………………………………………………………………………………………………………. 417

 

 

 

 

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