Swine flu outbreak- cases reported in California, Texas, New York and Kansas
70 dead, 1000 contaminated. Mortality rate of 7%?? Not toooo bad but lets hope this thing doesnt spread out of control. World Health Organization is stating that containment may be impossible at this point. I dont know much about lethal viruses but i do know that this thing has spread much quicker than the Bird Flu scare. Also, the fact that this has originated in Mexico City doesnt make things any better as more than 15 million people live there piled on top of each other.
The media is loving this so i am aware of the hype potential going through the roof. At the same time I am aware of the fact that pandemics do occur, just because we havent had one in a while doesnt mean we wont have one now. Perhaps the CDC and our doctors will come up with a vaccine if this does get out of control.
Economic effect: this wont help the already struggling consumer as people will be in a panic and will stay at home.
Lets see what happens. Time will tell. Lets hope this thing blows over.
I’ve been following the story on BBC. They have a section of (I think pre-screened) reader comments including this one:
I work as a resident doctor in one of the biggest hospitals in Mexico City and sadly, the situation is far from "under control". As a doctor, I realise that the media does not report the truth. Authorities distributed vaccines among all the medical personnel with no results, because two of my partners who worked in this hospital (interns) were killed by this new virus in less than six days even though they were vaccinated as all of us were. The official number of deaths is 20, nevertheless, the true number of victims are more than 200. I understand that we must avoid to panic, but telling the truth it might be better now to prevent and avoid more deaths.
Yeny Gregorio Dávila, Mexico City
I just read the report. Thats not good. Wow, a "black swan" event could be underway as we speak. I live in LA, but in the suburbs on a hill. People are already going crazy, there were 2 murder suicides and a professor going on a rampage this week alone. I could only imagine how much worse people are going to act when inflation, unemployment, civil unrest, limited oil reserves and all the other problems get worse. Just what we need on top of everything else is a pandemic. Sigh
Also 2 confirmed cases in Kansas, 8 children with Type A influenza suspected H1N1 strain in New York, and some suspected in Massachusets and Minnesota. No confirmed deaths as yet, and only 1 hospitalization.
This is spreading fast.
Thats not good. Wow, a "black swan" event could be underway as we speak. [/quote]
There’s some interesting detail in this article:
in particular this:
Alarmingly, the flu outbreak in Mexico is striking healthy young people — a pattern that would be expected if a flu virus new to humans emerged.
"Because these cases are not happening in the very old or the very young, which happens with seasonal influenza, this is an unusual event and a cause for heightened concern," Hartl said in a CBC interview.
That’s not the only eyebrow-raising feature of the swine flu outbreaks. Infections have occurred in Mexico, California, and Texas — where warm weather should mean the end of the normal flu season, says William Schaffner, MD, president-elect of the National Foundation for Infectious Diseases and chair of preventive medicine and infectious diseases at Vanderbilt University.
"Will we see this flu virus transmitted in the warm months? That would give us heartburn," Schaffner tells WebMD. "And is this a harbinger of things to come during our next flu season?"
I read in one article that the ones most seriously affected and the deaths are occurring in the 25-45-year-old people. Perhaps the healthiest among us. Go figure that one.
But I am taking this seriously and if this becomes pandemic, me and mine will stay home for a couple of months.
Glad I have that food stored up.
When the Hantavirus (sp?) struck some 12-15 years ago, I was in the thick of the biotech industry. The CDC had the virus genome sequenced within a week, identified the mode of transmission, and panic subsided when they released the results. That was well over a decade ago. I would surmise that the CDC already has the genome sequenced as we speak. If they do not announce positive new in the next few days, that will not be good. It will mean they do not want us to know how bad it is.
There are some common sense things that we all can do to limit our exposure. Perhaps the most important is to wash your hands frequently with disinfectant soap. This seems such a simple thing to do, but it can be effective. Avoid touching your hands to your mouth and face during the work day. If you suspect that you live in a "hot spot", then wear a face mask like they are starting to do in Mexico City. Avoid contact with strangers as much as possible, which might mean not riding the Metro in Mexico City, for example. Above all, use common sense.
I know these things because I’ve spent six years of my life volunteering for the American Red Cross. There are no perfect solutions, but there are some practical things we can do. We will get through this crisis, just as we have gotten through others in our lifetimes.
[Ed. note: copyright violation]
In reply to the edit….. I post DOZENS of news items from this site EVERY DAY, and have done for more than FIVE YEARS on my Australian forum without EVER being pulled up once…. EVER.
I think you’re being a little over sensitive about copyright here… you haven’t even picked up the others posted here over the past weeks, so why this one?