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Questioning Election Integrity

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  • Wed, Nov 07, 2018 - 10:09pm



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    Just what do those graphs show?

I’m late to this discussion, and I have seen these graphs before, but I’m still puzzled about what they show. Here is how I think they were supposed to have be assembled according to the legend:

Take an election in some county. Gather the results by precinct. Now order the results by the size of the precinct, with the smallest precinct (say 10 eligible voters) first, and the largest precing (say 1000 eligible voters) last. Now starting with the smallest precinct, draw the total share of the votes of all the precincts (from the smallest) to the current one. So the graph starts on the left showing only the votes in the smallest precinct, and it ends on the right showing the average over all precincts. Is that right?

If so, I would expect that the graphs aren’t so smooth. If all the votes in a precinct are added at the same time, I would expect the graph to be a sequence of (jumping) horizontal lines, with the lines being short at the beginning (small precinct) and getting longer to the right (large precinct). If the votes are added one at a time, I would expect the graph to be a contiguous line with jumps in the first derivative where we go from one precinct to the next.

But these graphs look very smooth. Just how many precincts might there be, more than pixels on the x-axis?

What am I misunderstanding?

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