Jiangsu Province (Among a few others) in China 0 deaths?
I have a question about some of the numbers that are being reported out of China, and I was wondering if you could give me your input on it. A little about me, I am a university student at Duke Kunshan University, a joint cooperation between Duke and Wuhan Universities in Jiangsu Province Kunshan. On my phone in the WeChat application (A Chinese app used for everything from texting and paying money to keep up with the latest information regarding the epidemic), specifically under the epidemic information, the province where I have been studying in has still, even up until now, reported 0 deaths. It is a bold move to be reporting 0 deaths if it were a lie because it only takes one death to for a few people to realize that the numbers are BS and to quickly start doubting the data and the trustworthiness of what is getting reported. Because of this, I feel like the numbers reported out of China, not including Hubei where Wuhan is located, may be relatively trustworthy. Also, some of my friends who went back home before the holidays to different cities around China and those who are staying on campus have told me that the situation does not resemble what videos released from Wuhan look like. Do you think that the numbers from China, not including Hubei, can be trusted (perhaps because of the fact that the hospital systems are not completely overrun and or that the quarantine measures are having an effect)?
Look at Taiwan and Hong Kong. They have had cases for just about as long as you would expect Jiangsu to have. They have much better healthcare there and are not overwhelmed like Hubei. The death rate is 3% there, but look at the death rates of the vast majority of the other provinces. They are much lower than that. No, I don’t believe the data is correct.
But wouldn’t it make sense for the CCP to then just simply report 1 or 2 deaths so it’s not as suspicious if they were to by lying? Also, Jiangsu (Like many eastern Chinese provinces) are very well off. It is one of the wealthiest in the country and all provinces except Hubei, according to the data, seem to be handling the situation much better. Given the measures China has taken to prevent further spreading of the disease, could it be possible that the numbers are for the most part accurate, and inaccuracy comes from the ones in Hubei since the situation is out of hand there?