Ebola Outbreak 2014
Thanks for keeping us up-to-date, Sax.
As Ebola raged through West Africa last summer, an experimental drug was tried for the first time on two American aid workers in Liberia who were gravely ill with the virus. Both recovered, one of them rapidly.
Though it could not be said for sure that the drug, ZMapp, was responsible, patients and doctors began clamoring for it. But there was enough to treat only a handful of patients. Federal officials vowed to produce more.
Six months later, very little has been produced, diminishing the chances that the drug can be used to treat large numbers of patients in the current outbreak, which appears to be ebbing.
Doubling time of Ebola now almost a year. It looks like things are a whole lot better now. Rather than rising exponentially – going vertical – you can see in the chart below that the graph is instead starting to flatten out.
No doubt we'll get to read all about it in a few years once they figure out what went on, but as of right now it sure looks like the projections made back in September (when doubling time was 3 weeks) will not come to pass.
Remember this article Chris posted?
Now, check this out:
Certainly not to downplay in anyway the seriousness of ebola, is it not kind of ironic that we pretty much have (or have had) a solution (i.e. vaccine prevention) at hand yet have become complacent for whatever reasons. Whether it be valid or perceived "conscientious objector" status, laziness, cost, education, fear, and so forth, this certainly seems to have the possibilty of becoming quite serious.
- Despite improvements in case finding and management, burial practices, and community engagement, the decline in case incidence has stalled. The spike in cases in Guinea and continued widespread transmission in Sierra Leone underline the considerable challenges that must still be overcome to get to zero cases. The infrastructure, systems, and people needed to end the epidemic are now in place; response measures must now be fully implemented.
Ebola Situation reports
- A total of 116 new confirmed cases of Ebola virus disease (EVD) were reported in the week to 8 March, compared with 132 the previous week. Liberia reported no new confirmed cases for the second consecutive week. New cases in Guinea and Sierra Leone occurred in a geographically contiguous…
- A total of 132 new confirmed cases of Ebola virus disease (EVD) were reported in the week to 1 March, an increase on the previous week (99 new cases). Liberia reported no new confirmed cases this week, the first time since the week of 26 May 2014. The weekly number of confirmed cases has…
- A total of 99 new confirmed cases of Ebola virus disease (EVD) were reported in the week to 22 February. Guinea reported 35 new confirmed cases. Cases continue to arise from unknown chains of transmission. Transmission remains widespread in Sierra Leone, with 63 new confirmed cases. A spike…
- A total of 128 new confirmed cases of Ebola virus disease (EVD) were reported in the week to 15 February. Guinea reported 52 new confirmed cases – a decrease from the previous week, and the first week-to-week decline since January 25. Transmission remains widespread in Sierra Leone, with 74…
- Total weekly case incidence increased for the second consecutive week, with 144 new confirmed cases reported in the week to 8 February. Guinea reported a sharp increase in incidence, with 65 new confirmed cases compared with 39 the week before. Transmission remains widespread in Sierra…
Ebola Outbreak 2014 had shook the world. It is suggests that those who have succumbed have less of an immune response and presumably anything to enhance your immunity will be a good thing. One should avoid traveling during such dangerous outbreak. For easy traveling book cheap parking with http://www.swiftairportparking.co.uk/.
- No confirmed cases of Ebola virus disease (EVD) were reported in the week to 4 October. This is the first time that a complete epidemiological week has elapsed with zero confirmed cases since March 2014. All contacts have now completed follow-up in Sierra Leone. However, over 500 contacts…