Die Pandemie in den Rohdaten – The pandemic in raw data
This is a video that is currently going viral in the German-speaking world. The German expert in statistics Marcel Barz wanted to show his “Corona Denier” friend that the pandemic really exists. His results are astounding. He shows in his presentation step by step how he proceeded. All very comprehensible.
I can’t wait until he releases his next video because now he is dealing with vaccine side effects.
Can you give us a brief English summary?
Bless him and his integrity!
This was truly an eye opener. I will give a quick attempt at summarizing the video – made in my 3rd language German (English being my 2nd language, so bear with me…)
So Barz, the narrator, was very troubled about the emerging pandemic back in early -20, and grew increasingly annoyed with one of his friends who insisted there was no pandemic. Barz, being a man of number, a former military officer and economist set out to prove his friend wrong using numbers and raw data.
He wanted to look at three areas to prove the pandemic: The excess deaths, the percentage of ICU beds held by covid patients, and the number of cases.
He is very transparent about how to determine if the data is reliable, and goes through his method in every step. In this method he calls himself “the counter of the peas” (with green peas being a metaphor for data). How does a pea appear? Are all the peas in the pot? Are there any rotten peas in the pot?
First he looked at deaths between 2012-2020. At a quick glance it seems as if there was indeed an excess mortality of about 46000 Germans during 2020. But he doesn’t take that number at face value – how did they arrive at that number? Turns out Germanys population went from 80 to 83 million, and also demographically aged quite a bit during the time period. If more people exist, and a larger portion of them are above 80 years old – inevitably a larger number will die in any given year.
So he adjusted for percentage of deaths in each age bracket, and ranked the deadliest and least deadly year. Turns out, in Germany 2020 was not the deadliest year for ANY age category – in fact it was the LEAST deadly year for people under 30.
He made the hypothesis that it might be due to all the strict measures taken by Germany to combat the pandemic. Being a man of science he decided to compare the German data to that of my country, Sweden, where very few restrictions have been in place. There was barely any difference, for Swedes 2012 was by far the roughest year, but you wouldn’t know that from watching the news…
He could not prove a pandemic from the excess mortality, since he could not find support for it in the numbers.
On to the ICU beds! Comparing the percentage of ICU beds occupied between 2020-2021 makes it look as if there’s a far lower percentage available now – they all seem full. When he looks closer at it, it is because Germany DRASTICALLY reduced their number of existing ICU beds in nov 2020, due to some bureaucracy where if your beds are at least 75% full you get some extra funding. So of course they ditch the extra beds they might have had, to keep them at a constant 75% full. In this case it didn’t make sense to look at the percentage, so he instead looked at the admission in absolute numbers. They did not change. Not even during the first and second covid waves, the number of used ICU beds remained constant. Of these, about 4% were occupied by covid patients. Then there’s the problem that some patients were counted twice, if they were moved, and that they did not make a distinction between someone who was admitted FOR covid, vs WITH covid. Bad data overall. In conclusion, he could not prove a pandemic from the ICU numbers either.
Third, he wanted to look at the number of cases, but as most PP-people are well aware of they are, to quote Bret Weinstein “What’s the polite term for a clusterf**k…?). The data is so bad it is useless.
In conclusion, he could not prove the presence of a pandemic using the available raw data, rather than the parsed and neatly packaged propaganda numbers presented by the authorities. Disappointed he returned to his friend with his findings, or lack thereof, and his friend told him “well if you really want to see some numbers that are shooting through the roof, you should have a look in the EU registry of vaccine side effects”. It caught his attention, and he is currently crunching the numbers as only people of intelligence and integrity can. As said, bless him!
Can’t wait to see his next video!
@bergstrom_swe thank you so much for this summary. You’re right, Barz seems to be the German Martenson:-)