Covid in Wuhan from summer 2019 says report

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  • Tue, Oct 05, 2021 - 09:28am

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    Canuck21

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    Covid in Wuhan from summer 2019 says report

Covid was spreading “virulently” in Wuhan as early as summer 2019 – far sooner than previously thought, according to an intelligence analysis of spending on PCR testing equipment.

A new report claims to have uncovered “notable, significant and abnormal” purchases of PCR lab equipment in the second half of that year.

Analysts trawled through PCR procurement contracts in Hubei Province, of which Wuhan is the capital, and found spending had almost doubled on the previous year.

The study by Internet 2.0, a cyber security consultancy that specialises in examining data from China, says: “We have come to the conclusion that, based on the data analysed, it suggests the virus was highly likely to be spreading virulently in Wuhan, China, as early as the summer of 2019 and definitely by the autumn.”

… The report’s authors claim the growth in spending was accounted for by contracts at four main institutions – the Chinese Centres for Disease Control (CDC) in Hubei province, the Wuhan Institute of Virology, the Wuhan University of Science and Technology and a military hospital in Wuhan. The report says this is of huge importance because of the bodies’ roles in disease control and prevention.

The report alleges that the “significant increase in spending” was noticed from the summer of 2019, beginning as early as May.

(more behind the paywall).

https://www.telegraph.co.uk/world-news/2021/10/04/covid-spreading-virulently-wuhan-summer-2019-claims-report/?

  • Tue, Oct 05, 2021 - 10:28am

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    Quercus bicolor

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    That begs the question about excess deaths

Were excess death numbers fudged to fit the publics perception of when the waves occurred?

Were there not that many cases during late 2019?

Was it spreading primarily among young people and therefore causing very little death?

How do we reconcile significant viral spread in 2019 with the official deaths timeline?

  • Tue, Oct 05, 2021 - 10:28am

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    skywolf

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    Covid in Wuhan from summer 2019 says report

It doesn’t say who paid them to do the work – wonder if they just took it upon themselves to do it? Very interesting find!!

  • Tue, Oct 05, 2021 - 10:41am   (Reply to #2)

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    Canuck21

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    Covid in Wuhan from summer 2019 says report

The article doesn’t say who paid them but it does say that the results have been passed on to “US government officials”. I’d copy and paste the rest but I want to respect copyright.

To paraphrase, though, the authors do think that the increased spending in May suggests that May could be the earliest date the virus came out. The study also highlights two purchases of pathogen detection equipment made by the Wuhan CDC in September and used for the Military World Games held in the city a month later.

  • Tue, Oct 05, 2021 - 12:40pm

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    Vidor Emeliabelfort

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    Covid in Wuhan from summer 2019 says report

The satellites above the Wuhan lab in September shwed it had already been evacuated & quarantined for blocks around.

  • Tue, Oct 05, 2021 - 01:58pm

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    408_Request_Timeout

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    Covid in Wuhan from summer 2019 says report

Interesting. Here’s a paper from April (before we all had permission to talk about the lab leak theory) that used phylogenetic rooting and molecular clock methods to estimate when patient zero occurred.

https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/labs/pmc/articles/PMC7798932/

The molecular clock method said mid-October 2019, but the phylogenetic rooting said August 2019. The most interesting thing to me is seeing how the paper’s authors are basically saying that one of the two approaches has to be wrong… and by the way, this little family tree makes no sense at all, but try not to think about that too much. So I had been assuming the molecular clock answer (October) was the good one, but the PCR equipment purchases in the summer seems to point the other way. Or alternatively that there was some uncanny foresight on the part of the buyers.

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