Coronavirus (Wuhan) Forum

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  • Sun, Feb 02, 2020 - 12:19am

    #31
    nedajalili

    nedajalili

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    Coronavirus

Corona virus, or the new generation of corona viruses, has killed 304 people in China.

The coronavirus is actually a common animal virus that sometimes spreads to humans and affects its respiratory organs. Surprisingly, the cause of most colds is the corona virus, but sometimes it is so evolved, anonymous, and dangerous that it kills the entire respiratory tract and eventually leads to death.

News of the Corona virus so far:

Coronavirus death toll: 304 deaths in China
Number of people affected: According to statistics, about 14,000 people worldwide have been infected.
World Emergencies: The World Health Organization has declared a “global emergency” due to the outbreak of the virus outside China, describing it as “unprecedented.”

  • Mon, Feb 03, 2020 - 03:57am

    #32
    Matties

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    Re: Edwardelinsky

Yes, they are beating the false drum of the food market.

On the same time they are warning that now the Corona virus with the changed spike protein is out there this can infect the wildlife there. A human – animal exposure as you will. This in turn can create new dangerous corona virussen.

Talking about Pandora’s box.

https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/epdf/10.1002/jmv.25682

  • Mon, Feb 03, 2020 - 07:11pm

    #33
    Mark Baxter

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    N95 mask reusability? Treating flu at home? Open forum?

Hi! I’m new to Peak Prosperity and am hoping to get information on the following: 1. I only have a few N95 disposable masks and am wondering if there is away to make them reusable. For example, by treating with Clorox or perhaps wearing a surgical mask beneath, and disposing of that. I could probably find this information on YouTube but I wanted something recommended by Peak Prosperity . 2. I need good tips on treating the flu at home. 3. Does this site have an open forum)

Is anyone else concerned with the preparing aspect of a pandemic? I spend time away from my family and have instructed my wife to start buying more food items, water etc. just in case of a lockdown or any type of shortage.

What we’re buying:

  • canned meats (roast beef, tuna, chili, bacon-although it’s getting too expensive)
  • vegetables (corn, black and white beans, green beans, tomatoes, greens, fruit)
  • aseptic milk (32 oz cartons)
  • shredded and block cheese (can be frozen)
  • potato flakes, shreds in dry format and also frozen for our garage freezer
  • coconut water, canned
  • whole wheat berries (soft spring wheat, hard red winter) 400 lbs so far
  • oat groats
  • organic dried corn
  • rice-Basmati and Jasmine mostly, some white rice (250 lbs)
  • condiments (soy sauce, chili paste, fermented black beans, sesame oil, wooster sauce, hot sauce, mayo & mustard)
  • spices and seasonings (many types-garlic powders, onion powder, cumin seed, chili powder, whole cloves, nutmeg, allspice, coriander, ginger, mustard seeds
  • coconut milk
  • coconut oil
  • lard
  • freeze-dried vegetables
  • freeze-dried meats
  • freeze-dried meals ( lasagna, chili, meat entrees, bean burgers)
  • freeze-dried fruits
  • loads of peanut butter
  • canned butter

We sue these items to build really nice meals, so we could stay home a long, long time and not suffer as far as eating goes. Of course, we stock much freshwater and medicines and toiletries etc.

I’m confident that properly stocking up your home with essentials described above creates security and helps reduce stress, which is critical for keeping the immune system strong. People underestimate the effects of stress and worry on the human body. I see young, healthy people at work who are under stress start to break down. You see mineral deficiencies (anemia), lots of sicknesses, difficulty sleeping, poor digestion, sadness etc. Just about each one of them has stress and worry in their life and many are on anti-depressants or ADHD meds.

A Pandemic like this causes panic too….so these steps above are crucial to take, also keeping cash on hand!! Forgot to mention that. We also practice and teach others how to construct meals using the type of stuff we store -it takes practice. Just acquire a little bit each week, don’t go into debt buying anything…that is NOT SMART.

We’ve accumulated 1 year or longer within the past year and did not borrow a cent to do it. We bake bread, make yogurt and sauerkraut too. Keep your gut healthy, avoid alcohol and junk food.

Wishing everybody the best!

 

 

  • Tue, Feb 04, 2020 - 09:54am   (Reply to #33)

    #35
    Mark Williams

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    re: N95 mask reusability? Treating flu at home? Open forum?

I don’t know how effective this will be but I intend to drop old ones in a plastic bag, leave for 5 days, then swab (filter plastic etc), then put under a UV light ($20 ones which are used to set nail varnish). If I can avoid using old ones I will but not sure I will have that luxury.

  • Tue, Feb 04, 2020 - 01:16pm

    #36
    Matties

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    re: N95 mask reusability?

Yes disinfecting them would do the trick.

Putting them in hot water 80 Celsius.

Putting alcohol on them with minimum 70% ethanol.

Things like that.

  • Tue, Feb 04, 2020 - 04:32pm

    #37
    joeldjro

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    Coronavirus data predictions using 2nd order polynomial regression

I generated a graph with a polynomial regression with the data set I have collected until now and the equations are as follow:

Number of Confirmed Cases = 152.69d^2 – 1061.8d + 1824.4; R^2 = 0.9956

Number of Deaths = 2.8351d^2 – 16.539d + 33.801; R^2 = 0.9911

Using these equations for today (day 16 on my data set) the number of cases would have been 23,924 and the number of deaths 495. In comparison, the most recent data out of wuflu.live 2020/2/4 @ 1743 shows: confirmed cases 23910, deaths 493.

Pinecar,

I’ve learned over the years to make up my posts elsewhere and just paste them into the box. You still have them that way, no matter what.

– Wendy

  • Wed, Feb 05, 2020 - 02:47am   (Reply to #2)

    #39

    Morpheus

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    re: About the Coronavirus

Chris, have you seen these sites yet?

I’d think that Johns Hopkins would be the gold standard for epidemiological study.

(I know, Argumentum ad Vericundiam, but I can’t allow myself to succumb to analysis-paralysis, I still look at everything with the skeptical eye of a scientist, even JHU).

ncov-model-2

and this map is very convenient, based on Johns Hopkins data:

https://gisanddata.maps.arcgis.com/apps/opsdashboard/index.html#/bda7594740fd40299423467b48e9ecf6

  • Wed, Feb 05, 2020 - 02:57am   (Reply to #37)

    #40

    Morpheus

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    re: Coronavirus data predictions using 2nd order polynomial regression

Joel, any concerns regarding overfitting? I asked due to unusually high R-squared value which seems to fit the data extremely well.

Have you tried performing this fit without say, the last 3 data points, retaining them as the test set, and then use the remaining as a training set?

Then perform the prediction on the test set to see how well the regression analysis fits “predicted data”?

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