SLATE: Predicting the Future for the U.S. Government

Wendy S. Delmater
By Wendy S. Delmater on Mon, Sep 22, 2014 - 1:29pm

Predicting the Future for the U.S. Government: The strange but satisfying work of creating the National Intelligence Council’s Global Trends report

For a decade, part of my job was to predict the future.

I worked on the National Intelligence Council’s Global Trends report, which explores changes that may take place over the next 15 to 20 years. The goal: to help each administration take the long view. The Global Trends report, which only comes out every four years, is briefed to the president and his senior foreign and domestic advisers at the beginning of their term; many nominees for new posts use it to prepare for their confirmation hearings. Defense, State, and the Department of Homeland Security use them in their quadrennial policy reviews. Other countries also use it in their strategic planning—even countries not necessarily on always good terms, such as China and Russia...

Fascinating article.

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