Daily Digest

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Daily Digest 3/21 - Aluminum Makers Ditch Can Business, The Whole Globe Is Slowing

Thursday, March 21, 2019, 10:51 AM

Economy

Buy Gold, Sell Stocks Is the ‘Trade of Century’ Says One Hedge Fund (Adam)

Among the warning signs, Crescat cites corporate insiders who are currently selling stocks hand over fist -- indicating a potential stock bubble burst. In early 2017, those investors heavily sold shares while the S&P 500 continued climbing. That happened again in 2018. With the smart money selling once again, “the third time should be the charm for the stubborn U.S. market,” Crescat wrote to clients over the weekend.

This sector should post earnings growth double the market, but the trade comes with some risks (Thomas R.)

GE lost more than 56 percent of its value last year as investors worried about weakness in some of its key businesses and the company's ability to possibly sell those businesses. So far this year, however, investors have cheered the leadership of new CEO Larry Culp for his transparency in the company's turnaround process. Investors also feel the stock may have bottomed after hitting a low of $6.40 per share on Dec. 11.

Health Plans For State Employees Use Medicare's Hammer On Hospital Bills (edelinski)

This state-level activity could be a game changer, fueling a broad movement toward lower payments to hospitals. Montana's state employee program made the adjustment two years ago; Oregon will start this fall. Delaware's state employee program is also considering such "Medicare-based contracting" as one of several options to lower spending.

FedEx just warned the whole globe is slowing (Adam)

Despite a strong U.S. economy, FedEx said its international business weakened during the second quarter, especially in Europe. FedEx Express international was down due primarily to higher growth in lower-yielding services and lower weights per shipment, Graf said.

Deaths of six men tied to Ferguson protests alarm activists (thc0655)

Deandre Joshua’s body was found inside a burned car blocks from the protest. The 20-year-old was shot in the head before the car was torched.

Darren Seals, shown on video comforting Brown’s mother that same night, met an almost identical fate two years later. The 29-year-old’s bullet-riddled body was found inside a burning car in September 2016.

Two Big IPOs Wake 2019’s Market From a Sleepy Start (Thomas R.)

It’s one of the first signs that 2019 could yet live up to its billing as a bumper year for going public, particularly among technology firms. Uber Technologies Inc. is set to follow smaller rival Lyft out the door in the second quarter, while office chat software maker Slack Technologies Inc. and food-delivery app Postmates Inc. are also considering listings.

How big are digital payments? See this $43 billion merger (Thomas R.)

The companies are trying to create a "one-stop shop," said Darrin Peller, analyst at Wolfe Research. They believe joining forces will put them in stronger positions to capitalize on the growing e-commerce payments industry and provide improved financial technology solutions to banks and merchants. Global payments are set to reach close $3 trillion within the next five years, projects McKinsey.

74% of consumers go to Amazon when they're ready to buy something. That should be keeping retailers up at night (Thomas R.)

Key to Amazon's success is its loyal base of paying Prime members, which surpassed more than 100 million people last year. They pay a membership fee of $12.99 a month or $119 a year for perks like free two-day shipping, free two-hour delivery in certain ZIP codes, discounts at Whole Foods grocery stores, and access to Prime Video and Prime Music. Fifty-eight percent of Amazon Prime members shop online at least once a week, Feedvisor said. Meanwhile, 45 percent of Prime members are buying something from Amazon at least once a week. Five percent of consumers are buying something there daily.

Shopko store closings: Key things shoppers need to know as the business liquidates (Thomas R.)

It's clear people do care, as many lamented the demise of a retailer they said embodied its Midwest roots and made a difference in the communities it served. Those communities were often towns and villages too small for Walmart and well outside Amazon's same-day delivery service zones.

The average US consumer now pays for three streaming video services (Thomas R.)

Deloitte says that the average US consumer is currently subscribed to three streaming video services, suggesting that the stakes among all the rival players should be which ones can successfully position themselves as must-haves. Netflix, for example, is something many consumers might have a hard time giving up, while something like CBS All Access or Starz might be regarded as interesting and nice-to-have, but not necessarily essential.

Report: U.S. Airstrikes Are Killing Civilians In Somalia In Wave Of Attacks Under Trump (tmn)

Months after Donald Trump’s inauguration in 2017, sections of Somalia were declared “an area of active hostilities,” allowing AFRICOM to carry out more offensive strikes in the country on anyone deemed to be a member of the militant group al-Shabab, with less interagency vetting than was previously required.

Neo-Nazis Bet Big on Bitcoin (And Lost) (tmn)

Yet there were ideological ties, as well as practical considerations, that may have helped push neo-Nazis toward bitcoin. Bitcoin advocates—who are very ideologically committed to cryptocurrency—were, for the most part, as horrified by last week’s Islamophobic and racist murder as any reasonable human and have nothing but contempt for neo-Nazis.

Markets Brace For U.S. Decision On Iran Sanction Waivers (Thomas R.)

The U.S. granted waivers to eight of the major Iranian clients—including the biggest—China and India—after it slapped sanctions on Iran’s oil, sending oil prices sharply down in the fourth quarter of 2018, after the OPEC+ alliance had preemptively ramped up production to offset what the U.S. Administration promised to be “zero” Iranian oil exports.

Aluminum Makers Ditch Can Business (Sparky1)

The challenging economics is a troubling sign for food and packaging companies that are facing pressure to embrace recycling. The glut of used cans shows how public calls for using more recyclable materials can fall short if companies decide it isn’t profitable enough to remake them into new products.

Monsanto Weedkiller Roundup Was ‘Substantial Factor’ in Causing Man’s Cancer, Jury Says (Thomas R.)

Tuesday’s verdict concluded the first of two phases in the federal case about the possible health risks of Roundup and whether Monsanto misled the man, Edwin Hardeman, about those risks.

Mr. Hardeman used Roundup to control weeds and poison oak on his property for 26 years. He learned he had non-Hodgkin’s lymphoma in 2015.

Climate change has already started disrupting life in the Great Lakes region — and it's only going to get worse (tmn)

Three of the top five wettest years on record in Chicago have occurred in the last decade, including last year, which ranked fourth with 49.23 inches of precipitation, according to the National Weather Service.

Gold & Silver

Click to read the PM Daily Market Commentary: 3/20/19

Provided daily by the Peak Prosperity Gold & Silver Group

Article suggestions for the Daily Digest can be sent to [email protected]. All suggestions are filtered by the Daily Digest team and preference is given to those that are in alignment with the message of the Crash Course and the "3 Es."

2 Comments

thc0655's picture
thc0655
Status: Diamond Member (Offline)
Joined: Apr 27 2010
Posts: 1795
Seattle is dying

Time2help's picture
Time2help
Status: Diamond Member (Offline)
Joined: Jun 9 2011
Posts: 2923
Re: Seattle is Dying

Good news? City council is there to help.

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