While China remains largely in lockdown, covid-19 cases in the rest of the world are at a key juncture.
To-date, confirmed cases have been lower than feared. Though increasingly, we’re suspecting that’s due to inadequate testing & reporting.
And the cases we *do* know of (now at ~1,000) appear to be growing at an exponential rate. So the next two weeks will be critical in telling the tale. We’ll soon know whether the spread is indeed slower than initially feared, or we’ll start to see huge increases in the number of infected ex-China.
Meanwhile, the authorities around the world, including the WHO and CDC, continue to downplay the threat. But at the same time, governments are busy mobilizing massive containment efforts. Their words do not match their actions. Is there more we’re not being told?
As we’ve said, time will soon tell. Keep up your efforts to remain informed, as good information is scarce right now.