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    From: Should You Relocate To A More Resilient Area?
  • Tue, Nov 12, 2019 - 5:14pm

    #
    Jeffleonard90@gmail.com

    [email protected]

    Status Member (Offline)

    Joined: Aug 17 2012

    Posts: 41

    Worth a watch

    Got this off the Survivalblog.com, more BS from government, in regards to property rights.

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Hz4-fSSDoAU

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  • From: The End Of Money
  • Tue, Nov 12, 2019 - 3:17pm

    #

    AustinAuctioneer

    Status Member (Offline)

    Joined: Jan 06 2018

    Posts: 8

    Chris,

    Thank you so much for the detailed reply!  I’ve followed your work for a decade and have made lots of big life decisions based on it, so having your up-to-date take on things is important for me (and for lots of others, obviously).  I’ve still been operating from the 50/50 probability model, so this is big news!  A couple things arise from this new information.

     

    First, I haven’t seen this 85/15 notion on PeakProsperity.com yet.  It’s very possible that I’ve just missed it, but if this is news, I encourage you to share this via an article.

     

    Second, how does this affect your take on real estate?  Seems to me that if we’re 85% likely to inflate, real estate would be a good investment, no?

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  • From: Should You Relocate To A More Resilient Area?
  • Tue, Nov 12, 2019 - 9:35am

    #

    LesPhelps

    Status Silver Member (Offline)

    Joined: Apr 30 2009

    Posts: 487

    2+

    Learning From The Past

    There are soo many ways that what is coming is different from anything homo sapiens have experienced in the past.  You can, perhaps, delineate them as well as I.

    One of the differences is that there is, for the first time, the potential for refugee migrations in the billions.  Half of the world population lives in or near China and India.  Both countries have advanced sea faring capabilities.  The California coastline is 6 to 8 thousand miles from China and India, but, never the less, I’d be concerned over that potential, not to mention people walking North from Los Angeles, or Phoenix.

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  • From: Daily Digest 11/11 – CEO Departures Hit New High In October, Australia Declares Fire Emergency
  • Tue, Nov 12, 2019 - 12:22am

    #
    Ejohnson

    Ejohnson

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    Joined: Oct 26 2018

    Posts: 16

    2+

    From the periphery...

    …to the interior. That’s the historical path of decay and collapse. Very interesting data point articles about the shortage of rural police and  decay of infrastructure in the periphery (rural dams). Cities look to be on the same track, but it seems likely they will retain services far longer.

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  • From: Should You Relocate To A More Resilient Area?
  • Mon, Nov 11, 2019 - 8:28pm

    Reply to #
    MKI

    MKI

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    Joined: Jan 12 2009

    Posts: 89

    3+

    I think we have to ask ourselves how self sufficient we really are and whether that’s a better goal than a more resilient interdependence between city and country.

    Agreed again. We systematically became self-sufficient over the last two decades re: food/water/transport (mainly for health/lifestyle reasons) but it’s not something to learn in books nor to learn quickly, nor have done in a remote area. Plus it’s very area-specific, making moving a two-decade setback. Most importantly: these are easy times of peace and prosperity…it should never be easier than today, no matter where we live.

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  • From: Should You Relocate To A More Resilient Area?
  • Mon, Nov 11, 2019 - 5:59pm

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    Uncletommy

    Uncletommy

    Status Bronze Member (Offline)

    Joined: May 03 2014

    Posts: 527

    4+

    Robie's got it right

    On this Canadian Remembrance Day, we here in Canada realize the sacrifice thousands have made during WW1 and WW2 to defend the freedoms we all take for granted. It’s communities that make an area resilient and learning to live with each other that spawns the acknowledgement that “no man’s an island”.

    So, go ahead and hunker down in your bunker and when you come out, pray there others that have taken another approach. If conflict has taught us anything, it’s when stand together the greater good wins, despite the sacrifices.

    Lest we forget!

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  • From: Should You Relocate To A More Resilient Area?
  • Mon, Nov 11, 2019 - 5:29pm

    Reply to #
    robie robinson

    robie robinson

    Status Gold Member (Offline)

    Joined: Aug 25 2009

    Posts: 890

    our community

    is close, not much occurs,

    naw, I will remain quiet

     

    settle your mare (should have been done decades ago) and enjoy the fruit of your community.

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  • From: Daily Digest 11/11 – CEO Departures Hit New High In October, Australia Declares Fire Emergency
  • Mon, Nov 11, 2019 - 4:26pm

    #
    ezlxq1949

    ezlxq1949

    Status Bronze Member (Offline)

    Joined: Apr 29 2009

    Posts: 257

    7+

    Catastrophic bushfire danger today

    As I write high winds are blowing across SE Australia. Fire conditions have been declared as “Catastrophic” in large areas of NSW and SE Queensland, and yet it is snowing lightly in the mountains. The Greater Sydney region is facing catastrophic fire danger for the first time since the category was introduced. Over 80 fires burn in Queensland. “Catastrophic” means if a fire comes, evacuate immediately as the fire services have no earthly way to save your house or your stored hay or anything.

    Climate scientists, front-line firefighters, bushfire survivors all say these fires are not normal — they are made worse by climate change. Firefighters tell us that there’s no climate change denier at the end of a firehose.

    The politicians CANNOT and WILL NOT admit that there is any possible connection between climate warming and these unusually early, monster fires. When asked, they work themselves into self-righteous anger and insist that in view of the tragedy this is not the time to talk about climate change. Their hypocrisy is breathtaking. But of course, to admit to a connection is also to admit to colossal policy failure.

    The public are starting to connect the dots. The federal and state governments are demonstrating distinct and alarming fascist tendencies as they struggle to keep the people under control. I think we live in interesting times.

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  • From: Should You Relocate To A More Resilient Area?
  • Mon, Nov 11, 2019 - 2:54pm

    #
    borderpatrol

    borderpatrol

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    Joined: Feb 21 2017

    Posts: 11

    6+

    Collapse can happen at so many different levels

    I have the book “The Modern Survival Manual” and one of the problems of during the collapse in rural areas was safety.  Authors claim that people returning to rural areas were followed by criminals and when destination was reached, criminals would take over rural household.    Watch dogs would be posioned and there didn’t appear to be much in the way organized securtiy or check points.  The one percent that grows our food is very troubling, talk about dependency and loss of skill for our most basic needs.  This next downturn could happen at many different levels, it’s hard to predict. I believe we are at greater risk cause we haven’t had any bumps in the road without food, water or power and when it does happen so many panic and there will be a severe burden on all resources.  I think of how loss of power will affect our housing, like how many homes would have to be abandoned cause of flooding of basements due to loss of power to sump pumps. How about interruption of medications to millions of American’s?  How many people have never slept in a tent or cooked outdoors? The amount of soft westerners is way off the charts.

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  • From: Should You Relocate To A More Resilient Area?
  • Mon, Nov 11, 2019 - 8:53am

    #

    thc0655

    Status Platinum Member (Offline)

    Joined: Apr 27 2010

    Posts: 1538

    3+

    Agreed: no GUARANTEED SAFE hiding places

    Except  that it’s going to be much worse than the present, what the future holds is unclear. Because it’s unclear and there are a breathtaking range of negative possibilities, it’s impossible to be sure where the best place will be in the future. (But that doesn’t negate the fact that some lucky people are currently living in some of those best places, even if they don’t know it or why.)

    Don’t forget that New Hampshire is only my Plan B to escape from my Plan A in Philadelphia. That much I’ve accomplished. I think we can survive here in NH for our predicted lifespans in retirement under a “conventional“ range of collapse scenarios. We can survive a Great Depression kind of thing. We can survive any level of crime coming to NH that I’ve seen in the US (Philadelphia, Baltimore, St. Louis, Chicago, etc.). We can survive the gradually worsening effects of global warming OR global cooling, but not sudden, catastrophic change. There are other really bad things we could survive if they come to the US because we expect they wouldn’t touch NH: riots in the streets, big increases from today in political violence, regular terrorist attacks, state and local government bankruptcies, etc. We and NH make a resilient team under most conceivable collapse scenarios.

    I have a Plan C, which is still being developed and equipped, which is based on mobility. I have discarded the idea of establishing a bug out location where we can escape to and live indefinitely in an 18th century agrarian style. That may be what we are forced to do but I don’t think I’d be lucky enough to pick the place that would be survivable in advance. Most people will find their bug out farm location ends up in the middle of a civil war, or nationalized by the government to feed survivors or the military, or in the middle of an active combat zone, or poisoned by some nuclear plant melt down or nuclear weapon strike, or in an extended drought, etc. So our Plan C (which has now been promoted to Plan B) is to maintain our ability to travel almost at a moment’s notice almost anywhere in the country if unforeseen issues literally force us out of our carefully chosen spot here. Our plan is to be able to travel with most of our wealth, tools and vital equipment with us without having to rely on local infrastructure (like gas stations, restaurants, food stores, and hotels). This way we can go to the best location at that future moment, as long as we can reach it by land. That still leaves at least three big problems in that Mad Max scenario: 1) how will we know where the good places are in a really bad societal collapse? 2) can we make ourselves so valuable that we’ll be welcome when we get there? and 3) can we survive the journey if it takes us through places experiencing open combat, violent anarchy (think: armed groups setting up “checkpoints” on roads to rob and kill travelers) or other hazards to our lives? I’m still finalizing aspects of this Plan B and hoping never to have to implement it.

    ”Happy Hunger Games! And may the odds be ever in your favor.”

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